Friday's correct score predictions
The likeliest score of the two most predictable matches of the day, in one slip.
UEFA Nations League
Segunda División
Copa del Rey
Coupe de France
Saturday's correct score predictions
The likeliest score of the two most predictable matches of the day, in one slip.
UEFA Nations League
Segunda División
League Two
Coupe de France
League One
Sunday's correct score predictions
The likeliest score of the two most predictable matches of the day, in one slip.
Segunda División
UEFA Nations League
Picks are fixed once published. A correct score bet counts the score after 90 minutes; the fair odds are one divided by the chance of the score.
More tips for today
Our record
| Picks | Hits | Hit rate | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 7 days | 11 | 3 | 27% |
| Last 30 days | 11 | 3 | 27% |
One unit on each pick at the best odds of publication, settled up to Thu 12 Nov.
Thu 12 Nov
Correct score predictions: how they work
A correct score bet pays when you name the exact score after 90 minutes. It is one of the hardest markets in football and one of the best paid: even the likeliest score of a match usually comes in only once or twice in ten, which is why its odds are high.
How we predict the scores
Our predictions come from a score model fitted to the bookmakers' odds of each match. From their prices for the result and for the number of goals, the model estimates how many goals each side is expected to score and gives every possible score its chance: 1-0, 1-1, 2-1 and so on. The score with the highest chance is our prediction for the match. No score is picked by hand.
One score for every match
For each match we show one score, the likeliest, with its chance and its fair odds. The fair odds are one divided by that chance: a score with a 12% chance has fair odds of 8.33. Compare them with the odds the bookmaker offers for that score; when the bookmaker pays more, the price is in your favour. Matches are grouped by competition, and the most predictable ones, where the likeliest score has the highest chance, come first.
The correct score double
The double at the top of the page joins the predicted scores of the two most predictable matches of the day into one slip. Both scores must come in, so its chance is the chance of the first score times the chance of the second, and it is small: that is what makes the odds of such a double so high. The card shows that chance and the fair odds of the slip.
Reading the chances
Football has many possible results, so a likeliest score at 12% is a normal figure, not a weak one. A match between two sides expected to score little often has 1-0 or 0-0 on top; a match with an open favourite spreads its chance over 2-0, 2-1 and 3-1. The fair odds tell you which price would be fair for that chance.
Today, tomorrow and the weekend
The tabs show today's predictions, tomorrow's and the coming weekend's. Today's are fixed once published; the other days can still change as new odds arrive.
Our record
Below the predictions you find the recent ones with the final score, and a table of the last 7 and 30 days: how many predictions were settled, how many scores came in and the hit rate. For the main tip of each match see our Predictions, and for several picks in one slip our Accumulators.
Bet responsibly
Most correct score bets lose, even the best ones. Stake small amounts you can afford to lose, keep to a budget and only bet if you are 18 or over.
Questions and answers
How are the correct scores predicted?
From a score model fitted to the bookmakers' odds of the match: it estimates the goals of each side and gives every score its chance. We show the likeliest.
Why one score per match?
One clear prediction is easier to follow and to check. The score we show is the one our model gives the highest chance.
What is the correct score double?
The predicted score of two different matches in one slip. Both must come in, so its chance is the product of the two chances.
Why are the chances so low?
Football has many possible results, so even the likeliest score of a match rarely has a high chance. That is why correct score odds are high.
Does extra time count?
No. The correct score market is settled on the score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
What are the fair odds?
One divided by our chance. If a bookmaker offers more for the same scores, the price is in your favour.
How do you measure your record?
For every past match we count whether our predicted score came in; the table shows the hits and the hit rate over 7 and 30 days.
Are these sure correct scores?
No. No score is sure and most correct score bets lose; stake only what you can afford to lose, and only if you are 18 or over.
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.