Bet with Mino Casino →Our tip for France vs Türkiye (UEFA Nations League, 15 November 2026, 19:45): Türkiye +2 (Asian handicap) at odds of 2.07. Second tip: Both teams to score at odds of 1.75. The bookmakers' odds give France 76%, the draw 14% and Türkiye 9%. The most likely score is 2–0.
France vs Türkiye prediction and betting preview
We are backing Both teams to score at odds of 1.93 in the UEFA Nations League clash between France and Türkiye at 19:45 on 15 November 2026. The bookmakers give it a 51% chance, so this is a tip with a real risk attached. Our second tip is France to win at odds of 1.75, which the market rates at 55%.
Main facts
- Likely result: France 2–0 Türkiye, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: France 2nd (10 points), Türkiye 4th (0 points).
- Form in the competition: France 3W 1D 1L (8:5), Türkiye 0W 0D 5L (3:13).
- H2H: 3 matches: France 1W 1D 1L, goals 2–3.
- Absences: France 0, Türkiye 0.
Two sides moving in opposite directions
In this competition France sit top of the table with 10 points from 4 matches, having won 3, drawn 1 and lost none. Their goals read 7:2, and they average 1.8 scored and 0.5 conceded per match. At home they have won 1, drawn 1 and lost none, with goals 5:2. Nothing in that record suggests a team that is struggling to close out games.
Türkiye are fourth with 0 points, and they have lost all four of their matches in this competition. Their goals read 2:11, and their away record is 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, with goals 1:6. They average 0.5 scored and 2.8 conceded. The gap between the two sides on paper is wide, and we see no reason to pretend otherwise.
Who will win France vs Türkiye?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Goals scored and conceded in the last four
Across all competitions, France's last four matches brought 3 wins, 1 draw and no defeats, with 7 goals scored and 2 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those matches, and in 2 France kept a clean sheet. Their 1-1 draw with Italy is the only blemish on the run, and the 4-1 win over Belgium is the result that best shows what their attack can do.
Türkiye's last four across all competitions were all defeats, with 2 goals scored and 11 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those games, and Türkiye failed to score in 2 of them. The 3-0 loss to Belgium and the 3-1 loss to Italy show how far their defence has been stretched. We would not expect a sudden change of shape against a side with France's record.
Standings and form
League A – Group A
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Italy | 5 | 3-1-1 | 11:6 | 10 |
| 2 |  France | 5 | 3-1-1 | 8:5 | 10 |
| 3 |  Belgium | 5 | 3-0-2 | 8:6 | 9 |
| 4 |  Türkiye | 5 | 0-0-5 | 3:13 | 0 |
Recent matches
France
Home and away
Three meetings, one result each way
The last three meetings split one win for France, one draw and one win for Türkiye, with goals 2:3 in total. The most recent was on 25/9/26, when Türkiye lost 0-1 to France, and before that came France 1-1 Türkiye on 14/10/19 and Türkiye 2-0 France on 8/6/19. The older results tell us very little about these squads as they are now, so we give them little weight.
No absences have been reported for either France or Türkiye.
Head to head
All matchesFrance vs Türkiye: injuries, suspensions, absences
France
- No reported absences
Türkiye
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
What the prices say
The bookmakers put France at 55% to win at best odds of 1.75, a draw at 13% with best odds of 7.70, and Türkiye at 7% with best odds of 15.00. The bookmaker margin on the match result is 7.2%, so the prices leave little room for value on the outright. The market expects about 4 goals in total, with France around 3 and Türkiye around 1. The most likely exact scores are 2-0 at 10.4%, 3-0 at 10.0% and 2-1 at 8.3%.
Team comparison
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
FranceLWDWWTürkiyeLLLLLOur other tip: Both teams to score
We are backing Both teams to score at 1.93, with the market giving it 51% at best odds. Our reasons are these.
- Both teams scored in 2 of the last 4 matches of France.
- France failed to score in 0 of their last 4 matches, so their attack has not dried up.
- Both teams scored in 2 of the last 4 matches of Türkiye.
- The expected total is about 4 goals.
The bet is not a certainty, and the scorelines decide it. It would lose on 2-0, 3-0, 4-0 and 1-0, because Türkiye would be held scoreless in each of them. It would win on 2-1 and 3-1, which are the French wins where Türkiye find a goal. That is the picture we expect, and it is why we think the price is worth taking.
France vs Türkiye: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Score prediction
France vs Türkiye: last matches of both teams
France
Türkiye
France to win is the safer call
Our second tip is France to win at 1.75, with an 55% chance from the bookmakers. France have won 3 of their last 4 matches and lost none of them, while Türkiye have won none of theirs. France are first in the table with 10 points and Türkiye fourth with 0, and at home France have won 1, drawn 1 and lost none. The price is short, but the reasons behind it are sound. This bet wins on every one of the likeliest scores we have, from 1-0 to 4-0, so it is the one we would take if you want less risk.
Goals and handicap options on the card
If you prefer a goals market, we like Over 2.5 goals at 1.32, which the bookmakers rate at 72%. That fits the expected total of about 4 goals, and it sits comfortably alongside our main tip. France -1.5 at 1.50 is the other option we looked at. At -1.5 France must win by 2 or more for the bet to land, and the bookmakers give it 63%. We would not put the handicap ahead of the goals bet, because the scoreline has to be wide rather than simply a French win. Türkiye +1.5 at 2.50 we would leave alone, since its 37% chance does not persuade us.
France vs Türkiye: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.26 | 7.00 | 11.00 |
| Market average | 1.23 | 6.51 | 9.99 |
| Lowest odds | 1.20 | 5.70 | 7.91 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.11 | 1.08 | 86.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.36 | 1.32 | 71.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.40 | 3.24 | 28.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.91 | 1.86 | 50.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.75 | 1.71 | 54.6% |
| BTTS – no | 2.10 | 2.05 | 45.4% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 13/11/26, 12:30. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.9%.
Match odds
Returns calculator
Questions and answers
Which bet do we recommend for France vs Türkiye?
Türkiye +2 (Asian handicap) (2.07); Both teams to score (1.75).
Who will win France vs Türkiye?
As we see it: France to win 76%, the draw 14%, Türkiye to win 9%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
15 November 2026, 19:45, at Matmut Stadium, Lyon.
Who will be missing?
France: no absences. Türkiye: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 71% chance (odds 1.36), against 29% for under 2.5 (odds 3.40).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 55% (odds 1.75).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 2–0 (9.8%), 3–0 (9.0%), 2–1 (8.8%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.