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League One · Matchweek 15 · 14 November 2026 · 15:00

Milton Keynes Dons vs Burton Albion tip, odds and prediction, 14 November 2026, League One

1Milton Keynes Dons1.60
XDraw4.15
2Burton Albion5.05

Top odds available · Updated 1/11/26, 05:43

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Milton Keynes Dons v Burton Albion takes place on 14 November 2026 · 15:00 at Stadium MK (Milton Keynes). We back Milton Keynes Dons (58%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.

Milton Keynes Dons vs Burton Albion: tip and prediction
Result
Milton Keynes Dons to win
1.60
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.50
Combo
Milton Keynes Dons & over 2.5 goals
2.56
39% · fair combo odds
58%chance of the result
63%goals tip: chance
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Milton Keynes Dons or draw (1X) – probability 82%, odds up to 1.17.

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Milton Keynes Dons vs Burton Albion: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available1.604.155.05
Market average1.584.035.01
Lowest odds1.573.904.98
Megapari1.594.154.98
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.181.1678.7%
Over 2.5 goals1.631.6357.6%
Under 2.5 goals2.252.2142.4%
Over 3.5 goals2.502.4737.0%
BTTS – yes1.701.6855.1%
BTTS – no2.092.0644.9%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 1/11/26, 05:43. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 8.0%.

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Megapari: prices for this match

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Partner odds, refreshed 2/11/26, 15:11. A click takes you to this match at Megapari. 18+

Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Milton Keynes Dons 1–1 Burton Albion, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Milton Keynes Dons 11th (18 points), Burton Albion 15th (17 points).
  • Form in the competition: Milton Keynes Dons 4W 6D 3L (22:20), Burton Albion 4W 5D 5L (18:21).
  • Absences: Milton Keynes Dons 0, Burton Albion 0.

Who will win Milton Keynes Dons vs Burton Albion?

Milton Keynes Dons58%
Draw23%
Burton Albion18%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Milton Keynes Dons vs Burton Albion: more betting markets

Milton Keynes Dons or draw (1X)81.5% · fair odds 1.23 · best 1.17
Likely
Over 1.5 goals78.7% · fair odds 1.27 · best 1.18
Likely
Under 3.5 goals63.0% · fair odds 1.59 · best 1.50
Likely
Milton Keynes Dons to win58.5% · fair odds 1.71 · best 1.60
Possible
Over 2.5 goals57.6% · fair odds 1.74 · best 1.63
Possible
Both teams score: yes55.1% · fair odds 1.81 · best 1.70
Possible
Both teams score: no44.9% · fair odds 2.23 · best 2.09
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals42.4% · fair odds 2.36 · best 2.25
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals37.0% · fair odds 2.70 · best 2.50
Outsider
Draw23.0% · fair odds 4.34 · best 4.15
Outsider
Burton Albion to win18.5% · fair odds 5.41 · best 5.05
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Most likely correct scores

1 : 110.2%
2 : 19.9%
1 : 09.7%
2 : 09.5%
3 : 16.5%
3 : 06.2%

Milton Keynes Dons vs Burton Albion: injuries, suspensions, absences

Milton Keynes Dons

  • No reported absences

Burton Albion

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Milton Keynes Dons vs Burton Albion: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Huddersfield138-4-127:1128
2Stockport County148-2-426:1426
3Oxford United126-5-120:1123
4Luton137-2-426:2023
5Plymouth147-2-521:1923
6Reading136-4-325:1322
7Bradford136-4-310:822
8Cambridge United145-6-321:2121
9Sheffield Wednesday135-5-322:1420
10Leicester135-4-422:1919
11Milton Keynes Dons134-6-322:2018
12Mansfield Town125-3-420:1818
13Wycombe134-6-321:2318
14Leyton Orient135-2-619:1417
15Burton Albion144-5-518:2117
16Stevenage124-4-417:1316
17Notts County123-5-413:1414
18AFC Wimbledon133-4-69:2113
19Blackpool123-3-617:2112
20Doncaster133-3-714:2212
21Wigan133-1-911:2210
22Peterborough132-4-711:2310
23Barnsley122-3-712:229
24Bromley132-3-813:339

Recent matches

Milton Keynes Dons

31 OctWMilton Keynes Dons 6–1 Doncaster
27 OctWMilton Keynes Dons 4–1 Bromley
24 OctWStevenage 0–1 Milton Keynes Dons
20 OctLBlackpool 2–0 Milton Keynes Dons
17 OctWMilton Keynes Dons 2–1 Luton

Burton Albion

31 OctLWycombe 2–0 Burton Albion
24 OctWBurton Albion 2–1 Leyton Orient
20 OctDBurton Albion 0–0 Bradford
17 OctDPeterborough 2–2 Burton Albion
10 OctLDoncaster 1–0 Burton Albion

Home and away

Milton Keynes Dons at home7 matches: 3W 3D 1L, goals 15–10
Burton Albion away7 matches: 2W 1D 4L, goals 6–11

Milton Keynes Dons vs Burton Albion: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Milton Keynes Dons: 11th, 18 points from 13 matches (4W 6D 3L). Burton Albion: 15th, 17 points (4W 5D 5L).
  2. Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Milton Keynes Dons 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded, Burton Albion 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Milton Keynes Dons: 4W 6D 3L, goals 22–20; Burton Albion: 4W 5D 5L, goals 18–21.

What to expect

We make Milton Keynes Dons the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (10.2%). We expect goals and an open game.

On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.50), with a probability of 63% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 55% and over 2.5 goals is 58%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. This competition, scored–conceded: Milton Keynes Dons 22–20, Burton Albion 18–21.
  2. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 58%.
  3. Not available: Milton Keynes Dons 0, Burton Albion 0.

Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals

Other option: Over 2.5 goals (probability 58%, odds up to 1.63). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Milton Keynes Dons: no absences. Not available for Burton Albion: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Milton Keynes Dons vs Burton Albion: the numbers side by side

Milton Keynes DonsBurton Albion
71%Form29%
76%Attack24%
55%Defence45%
85%Head to head15%
71%Goals29%
71.3%Overall28.7%

Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.

Form in the competition

Milton Keynes DonsWWWLW
Burton AlbionLWDDL

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin8.0%

Milton Keynes Dons vs Burton Albion: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Milton Keynes Dons vs Burton Albion?

On the result, our pick is Milton Keynes Dons to win (1.60); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.50). Prefer less risk? Go for Milton Keynes Dons or draw (1X).

Who will win Milton Keynes Dons vs Burton Albion?

As we see it: Milton Keynes Dons to win 58%, the draw 23%, Burton Albion to win 18%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

14 November 2026, 15:00, at Stadium MK, Milton Keynes.

Who will be missing?

Milton Keynes Dons: no absences. Burton Albion: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 58% chance (odds 1.63), against 42% for under 2.5 (odds 2.25).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 55% (odds 1.70).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–1 (10.2%), 2–1 (9.9%), 1–0 (9.7%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

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18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.