Bet with Mino Casino →Played: final score 0–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
San Marino v Belarus takes place on 12 November 2026 · 19:45 at San Marino Stadium (Serravalle); Goga Kikacheishvili will referee. We back Belarus (83%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.
San Marino vs Belarus: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. San Marino: 4th, 0 points from 5 matches (0W 0D 5L). Belarus: 2nd, 10 points (3W 1D 1L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: San Marino 0.3 scored and 4.0 conceded, Belarus 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded.
- Form in the competition. San Marino: 0W 0D 4L, goals 1–16; Belarus: 2W 1D 1L, goals 5–2.
- Head to head. Head to head over 4 meetings: San Marino 0 wins, Belarus 4 wins, plus 0 draws; goals 0–13.
What to expect
We make Belarus the favourites. The projected scoreline is 0–3, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 0–2 (16.2%). We expect goals and an open game.
The result only pays 1.16, so the goals markets are an option too: Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.48), with a probability of 64% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 29% and over 2.5 goals is 57%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 4; San Marino 0 wins, 0 draws, Belarus 4 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 3.3 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: San Marino 1–16, Belarus 5–2.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 57%.
- Not available: San Marino 0, Belarus 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Other option: Over 2.5 goals (probability 57%, odds up to 1.72). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for San Marino: no absences. Not available for Belarus: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
San Marino vs Belarus: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 26.00 | 10.17 | 1.16 |
| Market average | 19.41 | 8.34 | 1.13 |
| Lowest odds | 12.04 | 6.38 | 1.07 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.21 | 1.19 | 78.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.72 | 1.65 | 57.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.29 | 2.20 | 42.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.72 | 2.60 | 35.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 3.80 | 3.19 | 29.2% |
| BTTS – no | 1.36 | 1.31 | 70.8% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 12/11/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.4%.
Main facts
- Likely result: San Marino 0–2 Belarus, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: San Marino 4th (0 points), Belarus 2nd (10 points).
- Form in the competition: San Marino 0W 0D 4L (1:16), Belarus 2W 1D 1L (5:2).
- H2H: 4 matches: San Marino 0W 0D 4L, goals 0–13.
- Absences: San Marino 0, Belarus 0.
Who will win San Marino vs Belarus?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
San Marino vs Belarus: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Score prediction
San Marino vs Belarus: injuries, suspensions, absences
San Marino
- No reported absences
Belarus
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Standings and form
League C – Group A
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Albania | 5 | 4-0-1 | 10:3 | 12 |
| 2 | Belarus | 5 | 3-1-1 | 7:2 | 10 |
| 3 |  Finland | 5 | 2-1-2 | 9:4 | 7 |
| 4 | San Marino | 5 | 0-0-5 | 1:18 | 0 |
Recent matches
San Marino
Home and away
San Marino vs Belarus: last matches of both teams
San Marino
Belarus
Team comparison
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
San MarinoLLLLLBelarusWWWDLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which bet do we recommend for San Marino vs Belarus?
Over 2.5 goals (1.72); Belarus to win (1.16).
Who will win San Marino vs Belarus?
As we see it: San Marino to win 5%, the draw 11%, Belarus to win 83%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
12 November 2026, 19:45, at San Marino Stadium, Serravalle. Referee: Goga Kikacheishvili.
Who will be missing?
San Marino: no absences. Belarus: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 57% chance (odds 1.72), against 43% for under 2.5 (odds 2.29).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 29% (odds 3.80).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 0–2 (16.2%), 0–3 (13.8%), 0–1 (12.7%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.