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UEFA Nations League · Matchweek 5 · 12 November 2026 · 17:00

Armenia vs Cyprus tip, odds and prediction, 12 November 2026, UEFA Nations League

Armenia
DDLLW
1–1
Cyprus
DWWDL
1Armenia3.26
XDraw3.15
2Cyprus2.88

Top odds available · Updated 12/11/26, 16:09

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TipOddsProbabilityMore tipsAbsencesTableAnalysisComparisonH2HFAQ

Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Armenia and Cyprus meet on 12 November 2026 · 17:00 at Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium (Yerevan), under referee Orel Grinfeld. We see an evenly balanced game. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.

Armenia vs Cyprus: tip and prediction
Main tip · Handicap
Cyprus +0.25 (Asian handicap)
1.82
Chance 62% · confidence medium

Wins: Cyprus win. Half wins (half the stake back): a draw. Loses: Cyprus lose.

Second tip · Goals
Under 2.5 goals
1.75
Chance 58% · confidence medium
1–1likely score
≈ 2 goalstotal in the match
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Armenia vs Cyprus: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Armenia: 3rd, 5 points from 5 matches (1W 2D 2L). Cyprus: 2nd, 8 points (2W 2D 1L).
  2. Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Armenia 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded, Cyprus 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Armenia: 1W 1D 2L, goals 4–5; Cyprus: 2W 1D 1L, goals 5–3.
  4. Head to head. Head to head over 4 meetings: Armenia 1 win, Cyprus 1 win, plus 2 draws; goals 6–7.

What to expect

We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 1–1, close to 2 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (13.2%). We see a fairly level contest.

On goals we like Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.75), with a probability of 58% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 48% and over 2.5 goals is 42%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 4; Armenia 1 win, 2 draws, Cyprus 1 win.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 3.3 per match.
  3. This competition, scored–conceded: Armenia 4–5, Cyprus 5–3.
  4. Projected: close to 2 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 42%.
  5. Not available: Armenia 0, Cyprus 0.

Alternative tip: Draw or Cyprus (X2)

Other option: Draw or Cyprus (X2) (probability 68%, odds up to 1.52). We project close to 2 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Armenia: no absences. Not available for Cyprus: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Armenia vs Cyprus: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available3.263.152.88
Market average2.993.042.49
Lowest odds2.122.802.38
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.421.4066.3%
Over 2.5 goals2.392.2741.7%
Under 2.5 goals1.751.6258.3%
Over 3.5 goals4.604.2522.1%
BTTS – yes2.001.9248.4%
BTTS – no1.911.8051.6%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 12/11/26, 16:09. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 7.1%.

All bookmakers →

Main facts

  • Likely result: Armenia 1–1 Cyprus, roughly 2 goals in total.
  • Table: Armenia 3rd (5 points), Cyprus 2nd (8 points).
  • Form in the competition: Armenia 1W 1D 2L (4:5), Cyprus 2W 1D 1L (5:3).
  • H2H: 4 matches: Armenia 1W 2D 1L, goals 6–7.
  • Absences: Armenia 0, Cyprus 0.

Who will win Armenia vs Cyprus?

Armenia32%
Draw31%
Cyprus38%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Armenia vs Cyprus: more betting tips

Under 3.5 goals77.9% · fair odds 1.28 · best 1.23
Likely
Draw or Cyprus (X2)68.4% · fair odds 1.46 · best 1.52
Likely
Over 1.5 goals66.3% · fair odds 1.51 · best 1.42
Likely
Under 2.5 goals58.3% · fair odds 1.71 · best 1.75
Possible
Both teams score: no51.6% · fair odds 1.94 · best 1.91
Possible
Both teams score: yes48.4% · fair odds 2.07 · best 2.00
Outsider
Over 2.5 goals41.7% · fair odds 2.40 · best 2.39
Outsider
Cyprus to win37.6% · fair odds 2.66 · best 2.88
Outsider
Armenia to win31.6% · fair odds 3.16 · best 3.26
Outsider
Draw30.7% · fair odds 3.25 · best 3.15
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals22.1% · fair odds 4.53 · best 4.60
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 2.05 · Under 1.71
probability of over 45.5%

Score prediction

1 : 113.2%
0 : 112.0%
1 : 011.0%
0 : 010.0%
1 : 27.9%
2 : 17.3%

Armenia vs Cyprus: injuries, suspensions, absences

Armenia

  • No reported absences

Cyprus

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Standings and form

League C – Group B

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Montenegro54-1-09:513
2Cyprus52-2-16:48
3Armenia51-2-25:65
4Latvia50-1-43:81

Recent matches

Armenia

12 NovDArmenia 1–1 Cyprus
5 OctDMontenegro 0–0 Armenia
2 OctLCyprus 2–0 Armenia
28 SeptLArmenia 2–3 Montenegro
25 SeptWArmenia 2–0 Latvia

Cyprus

12 NovDArmenia 1–1 Cyprus
5 OctWCyprus 2–1 Latvia
2 OctWCyprus 2–0 Armenia
28 SeptDLatvia 0–0 Cyprus
25 SeptLMontenegro 2–1 Cyprus

Home and away

Armenia at home3 matches: 1W 1D 1L, goals 5–4
Cyprus away3 matches: 0W 2D 1L, goals 2–3

Armenia vs Cyprus: last matches of both teams

Armenia

D 5/10/26 · Montenegro 0–0 Armenia
L 2/10/26 · Cyprus 2–0 Armenia
L 28/9/26 · Armenia 2–3 Montenegro
W 25/9/26 · Armenia 2–0 Latvia

Cyprus

W 5/10/26 · Cyprus 2–1 Latvia
W 2/10/26 · Cyprus 2–0 Armenia
D 28/9/26 · Latvia 0–0 Cyprus
L 25/9/26 · Montenegro 2–1 Cyprus

Team comparison

ArmeniaCyprus
36%Form64%
44%Attack56%
38%Defence63%
50%Head to head50%
45%Goals55%
47.7%Overall52.5%

Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.

Form in the competition

ArmeniaDDLLW
CyprusDWWDL

Head to head

All matches
1Armenia
2Draws
1Cyprus
12/11/26 · Armenia 1–1 Cyprus
2/10/26 · Cyprus 2–0 Armenia
28/3/23 · Armenia 2–2 Cyprus
13/11/17 · Armenia 3–2 Cyprus

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.1%

Questions and answers

Which bet do we recommend for Armenia vs Cyprus?

Cyprus +0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.82); Under 2.5 goals (1.75).

Who will win Armenia vs Cyprus?

As we see it: Armenia to win 32%, the draw 31%, Cyprus to win 38%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

12 November 2026, 17:00, at Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium, Yerevan. Referee: Orel Grinfeld.

Who will be missing?

Armenia: no absences. Cyprus: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 42% chance (odds 2.39), against 58% for under 2.5 (odds 1.75).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 48% (odds 2.00).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–1 (13.2%), 0–1 (12.0%), 1–0 (11.0%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

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18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.