Bet with Mino Casino →Played: final score 2–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
England v Croatia takes place on 12 November 2026 · 19:45 at Wembley Stadium (London); Morten Krogh will referee. We back England (76%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.
Wins: England win by 2 or more. Loses: England win by 1, a draw, England lose.
England vs Croatia: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. England: 2nd, 12 points from 5 matches (4W 0D 1L). Croatia: 3rd, 3 points (1W 0D 4L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: England 3.5 scored and 0.8 conceded, Croatia 1.0 scored and 3.5 conceded.
- Form in the competition. England: 3W 0D 1L, goals 14–3; Croatia: 1W 0D 3L, goals 4–14.
- Head to head. Head to head over 7 meetings: England 5 wins, Croatia 1 win, plus 1 draw; goals 17–6.
What to expect
We make England the favourites. The projected scoreline is 3–1, close to 4 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 2–0 (11.4%). We expect goals and an open game.
The result only pays 1.28, so the goals markets are an option too: Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.47), with a probability of 65% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 50% and over 2.5 goals is 65%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 7; England 5 wins, 1 draw, Croatia 1 win.
- Average goals in their meetings: 3.3 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: England 14–3, Croatia 4–14.
- Projected: close to 4 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 65%.
- Not available: England 0, Croatia 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Other option: Under 3.5 goals (probability 56%, odds up to 1.74). We project close to 4 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for England: no absences. Not available for Croatia: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
England vs Croatia: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.28 | 6.60 | 12.50 |
| Market average | 1.25 | 6.15 | 10.54 |
| Lowest odds | 1.21 | 5.22 | 7.91 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.15 | 1.12 | 83.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.47 | 1.44 | 65.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.80 | 2.68 | 35.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.23 | 2.16 | 43.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.88 | 1.85 | 50.2% |
| BTTS – no | 1.95 | 1.86 | 49.8% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 12/11/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.9%.
Main facts
- Likely result: England 2–0 Croatia, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: England 2nd (12 points), Croatia 3rd (3 points).
- Form in the competition: England 3W 0D 1L (14:3), Croatia 1W 0D 3L (4:14).
- H2H: 7 matches: England 5W 1D 1L, goals 17–6.
- Absences: England 0, Croatia 0.
Who will win England vs Croatia?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
England vs Croatia: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Score prediction
England vs Croatia: injuries, suspensions, absences
England
- No reported absences
Croatia
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Standings and form
League A – Group C
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Spain | 5 | 5-0-0 | 14:5 | 15 |
| 2 | England | 5 | 4-0-1 | 16:4 | 12 |
| 3 | Croatia | 5 | 1-0-4 | 5:16 | 3 |
| 4 |  Czechia | 5 | 0-0-5 | 2:12 | 0 |
Recent matches
England
Home and away
England vs Croatia: last matches of both teams
England
Croatia
Team comparison
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
EnglandWWWWLCroatiaLLLLWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which bet do we recommend for England vs Croatia?
England -1.5 (Asian handicap) (1.76); Over 2.5 goals (1.47).
Who will win England vs Croatia?
As we see it: England to win 76%, the draw 15%, Croatia to win 9%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
12 November 2026, 19:45, at Wembley Stadium, London. Referee: Morten Krogh.
Who will be missing?
England: no absences. Croatia: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 65% chance (odds 1.47), against 35% for under 2.5 (odds 2.80).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 50% (odds 1.88).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 2–0 (11.4%), 3–0 (9.7%), 2–1 (9.1%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.