Bet with Mino Casino →Our tip for Georgia vs Hungary (UEFA Nations League, 14 November 2026, 17:00): Under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.56. Second tip: Draw or Hungary (X2) at odds of 1.40. The bookmakers' odds give Georgia 31%, the draw 31% and Hungary 38%. The most likely score is 1–1.
Georgia vs Hungary prediction and betting preview
Our main tip is Under 2.5 goals at odds 1.59 (chance 62%) for the UEFA Nations League Matchweek 5 meeting between Georgia and Hungary, which kicks off on 14 November 2026 at 17:00. Georgia have not found the net lately, and we think the price still underrates how little their attack is producing.
Main facts
- Likely result: Georgia 1–1 Hungary, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Georgia 4th (2 points), Hungary 2nd (7 points).
- Form in the competition: Georgia 0W 2D 2L (0:2), Hungary 2W 1D 1L (3:2).
- H2H: 1 match: Georgia 0W 0D 1L, goals 0–1.
- Absences: Georgia 0, Hungary 0.
Georgia's scoring drought
In this competition Georgia are fourth on 2 points from 4 matches, with two draws and two defeats and no win. They have scored 0 goals and conceded 2, which works out at 0.0 scored and 0.5 conceded per match. At home they have one draw and one defeat, again with no goal to show for it.
The wider run is no better. Across all competitions Georgia have drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last four, and they failed to score in every one of those games. Their defence has at least held up, with no goal conceded in 2 of them, but a side that cannot score is not one we want to back to trouble a Hungary team that has kept clean sheets too.
Who will win Georgia vs Hungary?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Georgia vs Hungary: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 3.14 | 3.15 | 2.54 |
| Market average | 2.99 | 3.06 | 2.46 |
| Lowest odds | 2.78 | 2.84 | 2.29 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.52 | 1.47 | 63.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.55 | 2.50 | 38.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.56 | 1.53 | 62.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 5.25 | 4.86 | 19.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 2.10 | 2.04 | 45.7% |
| BTTS – no | 1.75 | 1.71 | 54.3% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 13/11/26, 08:15. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.9%.
Hungary's thin but tidy form
Hungary sit second in the table on 7 points, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, a goal record of 3:2 and 0.8 goals scored per match. Those numbers are from this competition only, and they are a fair guide to what the table is measuring: a side that wins narrowly rather than goes on a scoring spree. Away from home they have won 1, drawn 1 and lost none.
Across all competitions Hungary have won 2 and lost only 1 of their last four. They scored 3 and conceded 2 in those matches, and only 1 of the four went over 2.5 goals. That is the profile we want for an Under: good results built on controlled, low-volume games rather than high-scoring ones.
Standings and form
League B – Group B
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Northern Ireland | 4 | 2-2-0 | 4:0 | 8 |
| 2 |  Hungary | 4 | 2-1-1 | 3:2 | 7 |
| 3 |  Ukraine | 4 | 1-1-2 | 2:5 | 4 |
| 4 |  Georgia | 4 | 0-2-2 | 0:2 | 2 |
Recent matches
Georgia
Home and away
The one meeting so far
These two sides have met once before, and Hungary won that match 1-0 on 2 October 2026. It was a single goal, and Georgia did not score. We do not read too much into one game, but it fits the pattern we see in both teams' recent results: defences doing most of the work.
Main tip: why the under holds up
The Under is the bet we trust most here, and four things in the data back it up:
- Georgia have had more than 2.5 goals in only 0 of their last 4 matches.
- Georgia kept a clean sheet in 2 of their last 4.
- Hungary have had more than 2.5 goals in only 1 of their last 4 matches.
- Hungary kept a clean sheet in 2 of their last 4.
The expected total is about 2 goals, with both sides expected to score about 1, and the market puts the under at 62% at best odds of 1.59. On the likeliest exact scores, the Under wins on 0-1, 1-1, 1-0, 0-0 and 0-2, and it loses only on 1-2. We would be happy with a result from that list, and most of the likeliest outcomes sit in it.
Georgia vs Hungary: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Score prediction
Georgia vs Hungary: last matches of both teams
Georgia
Hungary
Prices and the goals market
The bookmakers rate Hungary the most likely winner at 40% (best odds 2.45), with Georgia at 29% (best odds 3.30) and a draw at 31% (best odds 3.18). The margin on the match result is 7.0%. On goals, over 2.5 is at 38% (best odds 2.55) and under 2.5 at 62% (best odds 1.59). The market is describing what it expects, not a share of previous matches, and it leans firmly towards the under.
Head to head
All matchesGeorgia vs Hungary: injuries, suspensions, absences
Georgia
- No reported absences
Hungary
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Our other tip: Draw or Hungary
Our second tip is Draw or Hungary (X2) at odds 1.37 (chance 71%). Hungary have won 2 of their last 4 and lost only 1, while Georgia have won none of theirs. In this competition Hungary are second with 7 points, against Georgia's 2, and Hungary have won 1 and drawn 1 on the road. Hungary have also won the only meeting between the two, 1-0, so the draw-or-Hungary pair covers the outcomes we think most likely. The one likeliest score it loses on is 1-0, which is the exact result Hungary won with last time.
Team comparison
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
GeorgiaDLDLHungaryWWDLOther bets worth a look
If you want to add something to the two tips, we would look at Hungary +0.5 at odds 1.39 (chance 70%), which wins unless Hungary lose by 1 or more, so a draw or a Hungary win both settle it. We also like Georgia +1 at odds 1.28 (chance 76%), which wins unless Georgia lose by 2 or more, and a defeat by exactly 1 returns the stake. Both suit a game where we expect the scoreline to stay modest. For a little more punch, Under 9.5 corners at odds 1.58 (chance 61%) fits the same picture of a match that does not break open.
Why the under is the call
Georgia have not scored in any of their last four matches, and Hungary have managed only 3 goals in theirs. Both teams have kept clean sheets, the expected total is about 2 goals, and the market is at 62% on the Under. Those are the reasons we are backing the under, with the draw-or-Hungary pair as our second line.
Match odds
Returns calculator
Questions and answers
Which bet do we recommend for Georgia vs Hungary?
Under 2.5 goals (1.56); Draw or Hungary (X2) (1.40).
Who will win Georgia vs Hungary?
As we see it: Georgia to win 31%, the draw 31%, Hungary to win 38%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
14 November 2026, 17:00, at Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena, Tbilisi. Referee: Ondřej Berka.
Who will be missing?
Georgia: no absences. Hungary: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 38% chance (odds 2.55), against 62% for under 2.5 (odds 1.56).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 46% (odds 2.10).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (13.4%), 0–1 (12.7%), 1–0 (11.6%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.