Coupe de France
Bet with Mino Casino →Our tip for Vendée Fontenay vs Clermont Foot (Coupe de France, 14 November 2026, 15:00): At least one team fails to score at odds of 2.00. Second tip: Clermont Foot to win at odds of 1.18. The bookmakers' odds give Vendée Fontenay 7%, the draw 11% and Clermont Foot 82%. The most likely score is 0–3.
Vendée Fontenay vs Clermont Foot prediction and betting preview
Our tip for this one is that at least one team fails to score, at odds 2.00 (chance 51%). It is a narrow edge rather than a confident call, and the price is what makes it worth a stake. Vendée Fontenay host Clermont Foot in the Coupe de France, 1/128-finals, on 14 November 2026 at 15:00.
Main facts
- Likely result: Vendée Fontenay 0–3 Clermont Foot, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Absences: Vendée Fontenay 0, Clermont Foot 0.
Why the no-goal angle makes sense here
We would not pretend this is a tip built on deep analysis. The main case rests on the bookmakers' own numbers, and we happen to agree with them. Three points carry it:
- The market gives at least one team failing to score a 51% chance, so the bookmakers themselves lean towards it.
- The best price we found on it is 2.00, which is the number that makes the bet worth backing at all.
- A 51% chance at 2.00 is a small edge, and we are comfortable taking a small edge on a cup tie where the goals are expected to come from one side.
The bookmakers expect Clermont to do most of the scoring. Their expected goals are 3 for Clermont and 1 for Vendée Fontenay, about 4 in total. That expectation is exactly what keeps the no-goal bet alive: if Clermont dominate, Vendée are the side most likely to be shut out.
Who will win Vendée Fontenay vs Clermont Foot?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Clermont's recent results and what they tell us
Clermont come into this on the back of a mixed run. In their last five matches in all competitions they have won once, drawn twice and lost twice. They beat Rodez 1-0 at home, drew 1-1 at Nantes and 3-3 at Laval, and lost 2-3 to RED Star FC 93 and 0-2 to Guingamp at home. Across those five games they scored 7 and conceded 9, so the defence has been far from watertight. That matters for the second tip, but for the no-goal bet we are more interested in the scoring pattern: both teams scored in three of those matches, and more than 2.5 goals came in two.
These figures cover every competition Clermont have played, not only the league, so they are a picture of their overall rhythm rather than of one table.
Vendée Fontenay vs Clermont Foot: last matches of both teams
Vendée Fontenay
Clermont Foot
Vendée Fontenay, no meetings on record and a clean injury sheet
There is no earlier meeting between these two sides on our records, so there is no head-to-head pattern to lean on. Neither side has any absence reported, which means the teams should be close to full strength. We take that as a neutral point. It does not make Vendée a dangerous attacking threat on the bookmakers' figures, and the 7% chance they carry to win outright tells its own story.
The likeliest exact scores on the market are 0-3 at 10.1%, 0-2 at 9.7% and 1-3 at 8.0%. Two of those three have Vendée on nil, which is the scenario our tip relies on. The 1-3 score is the one that beats us, since both sides find the net in it.
Vendée Fontenay vs Clermont Foot: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Score prediction
Vendée Fontenay vs Clermont Foot: injuries, suspensions, absences
Vendée Fontenay
- No reported absences
Clermont Foot
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Our other tip: Clermont Foot to win
The second tip is Clermont Foot to win at odds 1.18, with a chance of 82%. The bookmakers' price makes it a short-priced favourite rather than a value bet, and we would not expect a big return from it. Still, the market puts Vendée's chance of winning at 7% and a draw at 11%, so the result the bookmakers expect is clear. We back Clermont to win, and we back the no-goal bet on the same match, knowing both can win together on the most likely scores.
Other bets we would consider
If you want more than the two tips, we like Clermont Foot -1.5 at odds 1.42 (chance 68%). At -1.5 Clermont must win by 2 or more, which is a demanding condition. It is also the kind of bet that fits the expected-goals picture, with the bookmakers projecting three goals for Clermont against one for Vendée. Over 2.5 goals at odds 1.28 (chance 75%) is the other option we would consider, since the bookmakers expect around four goals in total and Clermont's scoring in recent matches has been modest but present.
Our reasoning is simple. The market expects Clermont to score and expects Vendée to struggle, and the best prices on both the no-goal bet and the Clermont win line up with that view. We are backing the scenario the bookmakers themselves describe, at prices that reflect it.
Vendée Fontenay vs Clermont Foot: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 23.00 | 11.70 | 1.18 |
| Market average | 14.92 | 8.63 | 1.12 |
| Lowest odds | 10.00 | 6.40 | 1.08 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.06 | 1.05 | 88.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.28 | 1.24 | 75.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 4.20 | 3.77 | 24.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.76 | 1.62 | 56.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 2.25 | 1.90 | 48.6% |
| BTTS – no | 2.00 | 1.80 | 51.4% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 13/11/26, 09:18. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 8.0%.
Returns calculator
Questions and answers
Which bet do we recommend for Vendée Fontenay vs Clermont Foot?
At least one team fails to score (2.00); Clermont Foot to win (1.18).
Who will win Vendée Fontenay vs Clermont Foot?
As we see it: Vendée Fontenay to win 7%, the draw 11%, Clermont Foot to win 82%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
14 November 2026, 15:00, at to be confirmed.
Who will be missing?
Vendée Fontenay: no absences. Clermont Foot: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 75% chance (odds 1.28), against 25% for under 2.5 (odds 4.20).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 49% (odds 2.25).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 0–3 (10.1%), 0–2 (9.7%), 1–3 (8.0%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.