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Copa del Rey · round 128 · 12 November 2026 · 17:30

Calvo Sotelo vs Albacete tip, odds and prediction, 12 November 2026, Copa del Rey

Calvo Sotelo
0–3
1Calvo Sotelo6.60
XDraw4.90
2Albacete1.46

Top odds available · Updated 12/11/26, 16:38

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Played: final score 0–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Calvo Sotelo v Albacete takes place on 12 November 2026 · 17:30 at Estadio Municipal Ciudadde Puertollano (Puertollano). We back Albacete (64%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.

Calvo Sotelo vs Albacete: tip and prediction
Main tip · Handicap
Albacete -1 (Asian handicap)
1.87
Chance 55% · confidence medium

Wins: Albacete win by 2 or more. Stake back: Albacete win by 1. Loses: a draw, Albacete lose.

Second tip · Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.51
Chance 62% · confidence medium
Combo
Albacete & over 2.5 goals
2.29
44% · fair combo odds
0–2likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Albacete (X2) – probability 85%, odds up to 1.12.
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Calvo Sotelo vs Albacete: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

    What to expect

    We make Albacete the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 0–2 (11.0%). We expect goals and an open game.

    On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.51), with a probability of 62% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 52% and over 2.5 goals is 58%.

    Main points of the prediction

    1. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 58%.
    2. Not available: Calvo Sotelo 0, Albacete 0.

    Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals

    Other option: Over 2.5 goals (probability 58%, odds up to 1.62). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

    Absences

    Not available for Calvo Sotelo: no absences. Not available for Albacete: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

    Calvo Sotelo vs Albacete: odds from several bookmakers

    Match result1X2
    Top odds available6.604.901.46
    Market average6.194.451.44
    Lowest odds5.133.761.40
    GoalsBestAverageChance
    Over 1.5 goals1.201.1778.6%
    Over 2.5 goals1.621.6158.0%
    Under 2.5 goals2.302.2242.0%
    Over 3.5 goals2.542.4637.5%
    BTTS – yes1.911.7952.1%
    BTTS – no2.001.9447.9%

    Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 12/11/26, 16:38. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 8.4%.

    All bookmakers →

    Main facts

    • Likely result: Calvo Sotelo 0–2 Albacete, roughly 3 goals in total.
    • Absences: Calvo Sotelo 0, Albacete 0.

    Who will win Calvo Sotelo vs Albacete?

    Calvo Sotelo15%
    Draw21%
    Albacete64%

    To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

    Calvo Sotelo vs Albacete: more betting tips

    Draw or Albacete (X2)85.0% · fair odds 1.18 · best 1.12
    Likely
    Over 1.5 goals78.6% · fair odds 1.27 · best 1.20
    Likely
    Albacete to win64.2% · fair odds 1.56 · best 1.46
    Likely
    Under 3.5 goals62.5% · fair odds 1.60 · best 1.51
    Likely
    Over 2.5 goals58.0% · fair odds 1.72 · best 1.62
    Possible
    Both teams score: yes52.1% · fair odds 1.92 · best 1.91
    Possible
    Both teams score: no47.9% · fair odds 2.09 · best 2.00
    Outsider
    Under 2.5 goals42.0% · fair odds 2.38 · best 2.30
    Outsider
    Over 3.5 goals37.5% · fair odds 2.67 · best 2.54
    Outsider
    Draw20.8% · fair odds 4.81 · best 4.90
    Outsider
    Calvo Sotelo to win15.0% · fair odds 6.68 · best 6.60
    Outsider

    Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

    Corners and cards

    Cornersline 9.5 corners
    Over 1.79 · Under 1.90
    probability of over 51.5%

    Score prediction

    0 : 211.0%
    0 : 110.5%
    1 : 29.9%
    1 : 19.4%
    0 : 37.7%
    1 : 36.9%

    Calvo Sotelo vs Albacete: injuries, suspensions, absences

    Calvo Sotelo

    • No reported absences

    Albacete

    • No reported absences

    Absences can still change up to kick-off.

    Calvo Sotelo vs Albacete: last matches of both teams

    Calvo Sotelo

    L 8/11/26 · Numancia 6–0 Calvo Sotelo
    L 1/11/26 · Calvo Sotelo 1–2 Guadalajara
    D 25/10/26 · Getafe II 2–2 Calvo Sotelo
    L 18/10/26 · SS Reyes 2–1 Calvo Sotelo
    D 11/10/26 · Calvo Sotelo 0–0 RSD Alcalá

    Albacete

    W 7/11/26 · Leganés 1–3 Albacete
    W 31/10/26 · Albacete 2–1 Sabadell
    W 25/10/26 · Albacete 2–0 Eldense
    L 17/10/26 · Sporting Gijón 2–1 Albacete
    L 12/10/26 · Valladolid 5–0 Albacete

    Returns calculator

    Potential return0 €
    Net profit0 €
    Implied probability0%
    Market margin8.4%

    Questions and answers

    Which bet do we recommend for Calvo Sotelo vs Albacete?

    Albacete -1 (Asian handicap) (1.87); Under 3.5 goals (1.51).

    Who will win Calvo Sotelo vs Albacete?

    As we see it: Calvo Sotelo to win 15%, the draw 21%, Albacete to win 64%.

    What is the kick-off time and venue?

    12 November 2026, 17:30, at Estadio Municipal Ciudadde Puertollano, Puertollano.

    Who will be missing?

    Calvo Sotelo: no absences. Albacete: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

    Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

    We give over 2.5 goals a 58% chance (odds 1.62), against 42% for under 2.5 (odds 2.30).

    Will both teams score?

    By our numbers, both sides scoring is 52% (odds 1.91).

    What correct score is most probable?

    In order: 0–2 (11.0%), 0–1 (10.5%), 1–2 (9.9%).

    Where do your predictions come from?

    It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

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    18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.