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UEFA Nations League · Matchweek 5 · 13 November 2026 · 19:45

Slovakia vs Faroe Islands tip, odds and prediction, 13 November 2026, UEFA Nations League

Slovakia
WDWW
VS
Faroe Islands
DDDD
1Slovakia1.39
XDraw5.00
2Faroe Islands9.50

Top odds available · Updated 13/11/26, 12:10

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Our tip for Slovakia vs Faroe Islands (UEFA Nations League, 13 November 2026, 19:45): Faroe Islands +1.5 (Asian handicap) at odds of 1.78. Second tip: At least one team fails to score at odds of 1.62. The bookmakers' odds give Slovakia 70%, the draw 20% and Faroe Islands 10%. The most likely score is 2–0.

Slovakia vs Faroe Islands: tip and prediction
Main tip · Handicap
Faroe Islands +1.5 (Asian handicap)
1.78
Chance 55% · confidence medium

Wins: Faroe Islands win, a draw, Faroe Islands lose by 1. Loses: Faroe Islands lose by 2 or more.

Second tip · Goals
At least one team fails to score
1.62
Chance 58% · confidence medium
Combo
Slovakia & over 2.5 goals
2.44
41% · fair combo odds
2–0likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Slovakia or draw (1X) – probability 90%, odds up to 1.09.
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Slovakia vs Faroe Islands prediction and betting preview

Slovakia lead this UEFA Nations League Matchweek 5 table with 10 points, and the Faroe Islands sit second on 4. Bookmakers price Slovakia at 70% to win, with best odds of 1.37, and we have no real case against the favourite on the result. Our focus is on how the Faroese cope, in a fixture the market expects to yield about 3 goals, with Slovakia 2 and the Faroe Islands 1. Kick-off is on 13 November 2026 at 19:45.

Main facts

  • Likely result: Slovakia 2–0 Faroe Islands, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Slovakia 1st (10 points), Faroe Islands 2nd (4 points).
  • Form in the competition: Slovakia 3W 1D 0L (9:2), Faroe Islands 0W 4D 0L (5:5).
  • H2H: 1 match: Slovakia 0W 1D 0L, goals 1–1.
  • Absences: Slovakia 0, Faroe Islands 0.

Slovakia's scoring against a side that draws

Slovakia have found the net 9 times across 4 games in this competition, while letting in just 2. They have collected 3 wins and 1 draw, and both of their home matches were victories, producing 4 goals scored and 1 conceded at home. Their average of 2.3 goals per match is the figure we place the most faith in within this group.

The Faroe Islands have yet to claim a victory in this competition, yet they have also never tasted defeat. All 4 games finished level, with 5 goals scored and 5 conceded. On the road they have drawn 2 and suffered no losses, a pattern that points to a side who are hard to beat rather than one who are simply weak.

Who will win Slovakia vs Faroe Islands?

Slovakia70%
Draw20%
Faroe Islands10%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

What the last four results say

Over the latest four fixtures in every competition, Slovakia secured 3 victories and 1 draw without a single loss, scoring 9 times and conceding 2. Both sides found the net in two of those four, and two matches also produced more than 2.5 goals. Slovakia went without conceding in 2 of the 4.

The Faroese sequence has a different feel. All four matches ended level, and both sides found the net in each one, with 5 goals scored in each direction. Just 1 of those games went beyond 2.5 goals. We see more value in that pattern when the odds are generous than when they are short, and that reasoning is the source of our selections.

Slovakia vs Faroe Islands: last matches of both teams

Slovakia

W 6/10/26 · Moldova 0–4 Slovakia
D 2/10/26 · Faroe Islands 1–1 Slovakia
W 29/9/26 · Slovakia 2–1 Kazakhstan
W 26/9/26 · Slovakia 2–0 Moldova

Faroe Islands

D 6/10/26 · Kazakhstan 2–2 Faroe Islands
D 2/10/26 · Faroe Islands 1–1 Slovakia
D 29/9/26 · Moldova 1–1 Faroe Islands
D 26/9/26 · Faroe Islands 1–1 Kazakhstan

Head to head

All matches
0Slovakia
1Draws
0Faroe Islands
2/10/26 · Faroe Islands 1–1 Slovakia

One previous meeting and no team news

There is very little head-to-head history to go on. Their lone earlier encounter was the 2 October 2026 fixture, hosted by the Faroe Islands, and it finished 1-1. A single game is not enough to form a firm view, though it does fit well with the wider picture.

Neither team has any injury or suspension issues to report. The latest team news leaves our read on the odds unchanged.

Slovakia vs Faroe Islands: injuries, suspensions, absences

Slovakia

  • No reported absences

Faroe Islands

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Team comparison

SlovakiaFaroe Islands
71%Form29%
64%Attack36%
71%Defence29%
50%Head to head50%
50%Goals50%
64.3%Overall35.7%

Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.

Form in the competition

SlovakiaWDWW
Faroe IslandsDDDD

Our tip for Slovakia vs Faroe Islands: Faroe Islands +1.5

Our top selection is Faroe Islands +1.5 in the Asian handicap market, priced at 1.83, with the market implying a 53% chance. At +1.5, the wager pays out as long as the Faroe Islands do not lose by two or more goals. We like it for three reasons:

  • The Faroe Islands have gone unbeaten in their last 4 matches across all competitions.
  • On the road, they have played out two draws without suffering a single defeat.
  • The best available odds of 1.83 put the bet's implied probability at 53%.

The bet pays out on 1-0, 2-1 and 1-1, but goes down on 2-0, 3-0 and 3-1. Slovakia edging it by a single goal, or the game ending level, keeps the selection in play; a wide winning margin of two goals or more is the outcome that sinks it. We have no appetite for backing the Faroe Islands to take all three points, and we wouldn't commit a large stake either, yet the odds strike us as good value.

Standings and form

League C – Group C

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Slovakia43-1-09:210
2Faroe Islands40-4-05:54
3Moldova41-1-23:84
4Kazakhstan40-2-25:72

Recent matches

Slovakia

6 OctWMoldova 0–4 Slovakia
2 OctDFaroe Islands 1–1 Slovakia
29 SeptWSlovakia 2–1 Kazakhstan
26 SeptWSlovakia 2–0 Moldova

Faroe Islands

6 OctDKazakhstan 2–2 Faroe Islands
2 OctDFaroe Islands 1–1 Slovakia
29 SeptDMoldova 1–1 Faroe Islands
26 SeptDFaroe Islands 1–1 Kazakhstan

Home and away

Slovakia at home2 matches: 2W 0D 0L, goals 4–1
Faroe Islands away2 matches: 0W 2D 0L, goals 3–3

Our follow-up pick and a handful of side bets

Our second pick is Both teams to score: No priced at 1.70, which the market rates at 57%. Slovakia kept 2 clean sheets in their last 4 games and scored in every one of them, and that defensive form is the key factor behind this selection.
Winning scorelines: 2-0, 1-0, 3-0.
Losing scorelines: 2-1, 1-1, 3-1.

If you'd like another option on the card, we fancy Slovakia to win at 1.37, a market chance of 70%, as the straight result behind our selections. Over 1.5 goals at 1.27 (75%) is a small-stake ticket we would look at. Under 3.5 goals at 1.39 (69%) suits a home side grinding out a result rather than a high-scoring affair.
None of these clashes with our two tips, and we'd keep the stakes light on each of them.

Slovakia vs Faroe Islands: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available1.395.009.50
Market average1.354.719.05
Lowest odds1.294.408.00
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.301.2873.3%
Over 2.5 goals1.951.9049.9%
Under 2.5 goals1.951.8950.1%
Over 3.5 goals3.403.2129.3%
BTTS – yes2.302.2241.8%
BTTS – no1.621.6058.2%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 13/11/26, 12:10. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.3%.

All bookmakers →

Slovakia vs Faroe Islands: more betting tips

Slovakia or draw (1X)89.6% · fair odds 1.12 · best 1.09
Likely
Over 1.5 goals73.3% · fair odds 1.36 · best 1.30
Likely
Under 3.5 goals70.7% · fair odds 1.42 · best 1.36
Likely
Slovakia to win69.6% · fair odds 1.44 · best 1.39
Likely
Both teams score: no58.2% · fair odds 1.72 · best 1.62
Possible
Under 2.5 goals50.1% · fair odds 2.00 · best 1.95
Possible
Over 2.5 goals49.9% · fair odds 2.00 · best 1.95
Outsider
Both teams score: yes41.8% · fair odds 2.39 · best 2.30
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals29.3% · fair odds 3.41 · best 3.40
Outsider
Draw20.0% · fair odds 5.00 · best 5.00
Outsider
Faroe Islands to win10.4% · fair odds 9.59 · best 9.50
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.91 · Under 1.82
probability of over 48.8%

Score prediction

2 : 014.1%
1 : 014.1%
3 : 09.4%
2 : 19.2%
1 : 19.2%
0 : 07.1%

Reading the likeliest scores

The exact score with the highest probability is 2-0 at 13.4%, followed by 1-0 at 12.8% and 3-0 at 9.4%. This reflects the odds-implied view of the market and lines up with an expected-goals figure of 2 versus 1. The bookmaker margin on the match result sits at 7.4%, so keep that in mind when you compare prices.

If we were betting with our own cash, we'd be rooting for 1-0 or 1-1, since either score keeps our primary pick in play while the Faroe Islands live up to their track record. A 2-0 Slovakia win is what the market is pricing in, and it's the outcome that would do us the most damage, so we won't dress that up.

Match odds

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.3%

Questions and answers

Which bet do we recommend for Slovakia vs Faroe Islands?

Faroe Islands +1.5 (Asian handicap) (1.78); At least one team fails to score (1.62).

Who will win Slovakia vs Faroe Islands?

As we see it: Slovakia to win 70%, the draw 20%, Faroe Islands to win 10%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

13 November 2026, 19:45, at Kosicka futbalova arena, Kosice. Referee: Mohammad Al-Emara.

Who will be missing?

Slovakia: no absences. Faroe Islands: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 50% chance (odds 1.95), against 50% for under 2.5 (odds 1.95).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 42% (odds 2.30).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 2–0 (14.1%), 1–0 (14.1%), 3–0 (9.4%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

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18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.

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