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UEFA Nations League · Matchweek 5 · 12 November 2026 · 19:45

Czech Republic vs Spain tip, odds and prediction, 12 November 2026, UEFA Nations League

Czech Republic
LLLLL
0–2
Spain
WWWWW
1Czech Republic13.00
XDraw7.02
2Spain1.27

Top odds available · Updated 12/11/26, 18:00

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TipOddsProbabilityMore tipsAbsencesTableAnalysisComparisonH2HFAQ

Played: final score 0–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Czech Republic v Spain takes place on 12 November 2026 · 19:45 at Stadion Letná (Prague); Nikola Dabanović will referee. We back Spain (77%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.

Czech Republic vs Spain: tip and prediction
Main tip · Handicap
Czech Republic +2 (Asian handicap)
1.83
Chance 56% · confidence medium
Second tip · Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.55
Chance 62% · confidence medium
Combo
Spain & over 2.5 goals
1.86
54% · fair combo odds
0–2likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Spain (X2) – probability 92%, odds up to 1.06. The result alone pays short odds, so we would back a goals tip with it.
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Czech Republic vs Spain: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Czech Republic: 4th, 0 points from 5 matches (0W 0D 5L). Spain: 1st, 15 points (5W 0D 0L).
  2. Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Czech Republic 0.5 scored and 2.5 conceded, Spain 3.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Czech Republic: 0W 0D 4L, goals 2–10; Spain: 4W 0D 0L, goals 12–5.
  4. Head to head. Head to head over 5 meetings: Czech Republic 0 wins, Spain 4 wins, plus 1 draw; goals 3–10.

What to expect

We make Spain the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 0–2 (12.7%). We expect goals and an open game.

The result only pays 1.27, so the goals markets are an option too: Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.55), with a probability of 62% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 46% and over 2.5 goals is 62%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 5; Czech Republic 0 wins, 1 draw, Spain 4 wins.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 2.6 per match.
  3. This competition, scored–conceded: Czech Republic 2–10, Spain 12–5.
  4. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 62%.
  5. Not available: Czech Republic 0, Spain 0.

Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals

Other option: Under 3.5 goals (probability 59%, odds up to 1.65). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Czech Republic: no absences. Not available for Spain: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Czech Republic vs Spain: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available13.007.021.27
Market average11.606.541.22
Lowest odds8.875.611.18
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.181.1482.0%
Over 2.5 goals1.551.5261.9%
Under 2.5 goals2.552.4638.1%
Over 3.5 goals2.412.3140.9%
BTTS – yes2.202.0445.6%
BTTS – no1.751.7154.4%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 12/11/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.9%.

All bookmakers →

Main facts

  • Likely result: Czech Republic 0–2 Spain, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Czech Republic 4th (0 points), Spain 1st (15 points).
  • Form in the competition: Czech Republic 0W 0D 4L (2:10), Spain 4W 0D 0L (12:5).
  • H2H: 5 matches: Czech Republic 0W 1D 4L, goals 3–10.
  • Absences: Czech Republic 0, Spain 0.

Who will win Czech Republic vs Spain?

Czech Republic8%
Draw15%
Spain77%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Czech Republic vs Spain: more betting tips

Draw or Spain (X2)91.8% · fair odds 1.09 · best 1.06
Likely
Over 1.5 goals82.0% · fair odds 1.22 · best 1.18
Likely
Spain to win77.3% · fair odds 1.29 · best 1.27
Likely
Over 2.5 goals61.9% · fair odds 1.62 · best 1.55
Likely
Under 3.5 goals59.1% · fair odds 1.69 · best 1.65
Possible
Both teams score: no54.4% · fair odds 1.84 · best 1.75
Possible
Both teams score: yes45.6% · fair odds 2.19 · best 2.20
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals40.9% · fair odds 2.44 · best 2.41
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals38.1% · fair odds 2.62 · best 2.55
Outsider
Draw14.5% · fair odds 6.89 · best 7.02
Outsider
Czech Republic to win8.2% · fair odds 12.17 · best 13.00
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 8.5 corners
Over 1.69 · Under 2.06
probability of over 54.9%
Cardsline 3.5 cards
Over 1.93 · Under 1.83
probability of over 48.7%

Score prediction

0 : 212.7%
0 : 310.6%
0 : 110.2%
1 : 28.9%
1 : 37.4%
1 : 17.1%

Czech Republic vs Spain: injuries, suspensions, absences

Czech Republic

  • No reported absences

Spain

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Standings and form

League A – Group C

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Spain55-0-014:515
2England54-0-116:412
3Croatia51-0-45:163
4Czechia50-0-52:120

Recent matches

Czech Republic

12 NovLCzech Republic 0–2 Spain
6 OctLEngland 3–0 Czech Republic
3 OctLSpain 3–1 Czech Republic
29 SeptLCzech Republic 0–2 England
26 SeptLCzech Republic 1–2 Croatia

Spain

12 NovWCzech Republic 0–2 Spain
6 OctWCroatia 1–2 Spain
3 OctWSpain 3–1 Czech Republic
29 SeptWSpain 4–1 Croatia
26 SeptWEngland 2–3 Spain

Home and away

Czech Republic at home3 matches: 0W 0D 3L, goals 1–6
Spain away3 matches: 3W 0D 0L, goals 7–3

Czech Republic vs Spain: last matches of both teams

Czech Republic

L 6/10/26 · England 3–0 Czech Republic
L 3/10/26 · Spain 3–1 Czech Republic
L 29/9/26 · Czech Republic 0–2 England
L 26/9/26 · Czech Republic 1–2 Croatia

Spain

W 6/10/26 · Croatia 1–2 Spain
W 3/10/26 · Spain 3–1 Czech Republic
W 29/9/26 · Spain 4–1 Croatia
W 26/9/26 · England 2–3 Spain

Team comparison

Czech RepublicSpain
0%Form100%
14%Attack86%
33%Defence67%
9%Head to head91%
27%Goals73%
19.2%Overall80.8%

Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.

Form in the competition

Czech RepublicLLLLL
SpainWWWWW

Head to head

All matches
0Czech Republic
1Draws
4Spain
12/11/26 · Czech Republic 0–2 Spain
3/10/26 · Spain 3–1 Czech Republic
12/6/22 · Spain 2–0 Czech Republic
5/6/22 · Czech Republic 2–2 Spain
13/6/16 · Spain 1–0 Czech Republic

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin5.9%

Questions and answers

Which bet do we recommend for Czech Republic vs Spain?

Czech Republic +2 (Asian handicap) (1.83); Over 2.5 goals (1.55).

Who will win Czech Republic vs Spain?

As we see it: Czech Republic to win 8%, the draw 15%, Spain to win 77%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

12 November 2026, 19:45, at Stadion Letná, Prague. Referee: Nikola Dabanović.

Who will be missing?

Czech Republic: no absences. Spain: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 62% chance (odds 1.55), against 38% for under 2.5 (odds 2.55).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 46% (odds 2.20).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 0–2 (12.7%), 0–3 (10.6%), 0–1 (10.2%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

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18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.