Andorra vs Gibraltar tip, odds and prediction, 13 November 2026, UEFA Nations League

Andorra vs Gibraltar prediction and betting preview

Andorra host Gibraltar in the UEFA Nations League, Matchweek 5, on 13 November 2026 at 19:45. Andorra sit third with 1 point and Gibraltar second with 2, so the table gap is small. The form behind it is not, and that is where we want to start.

Can Andorra's home form be trusted?

Not much, at least not in this competition. Andorra have one draw and two defeats, with one goal scored and three conceded, which is 0.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match. Their only home game so far ended 1-2 against Malta, and the home goals record reads 1:2.

Their last three matches in all competitions have yielded no win, one draw and two defeats, with a goal return of 1:3. They lost 1-2 at home to Malta, drew 0-0 at Gibraltar, then lost 1-0 away to Malta. Those are the games we are working from, and they do not paint a team that is finding a way to score.

Why Gibraltar's draws look more useful than they sound

Gibraltar have not lost in this competition. Two draws, one goal scored, one conceded, and 0.5 goals per match in both directions is not exciting, but it is steady. Their away record in the table is one draw from one match, with no wins and no defeats.

Their last two matches in all competitions were a 0-0 draw at home to Andorra and a 1-1 draw away at Malta. Neither ended in a win, and neither ended in a defeat. We see a side that is hard to beat rather than one that is about to run riot, which suits a bet built around not losing.

What do the last four meetings tell us?

More than the table does. Over the last four meetings Gibraltar have won two, drawn two, and Andorra have won none. The goals total over those four games is 0:2, so the head-to-head has been a story of Gibraltar taking the narrow results. Gibraltar won 1-0 on 4 September 2024 and 1-0 on 19 November 2022, while the 2021 meeting in Andorra and the 0-0 on 27 September 2026 both ended goalless.

Is that enough to bet on? On its own, no. But it lines up with the form, and when both point the same direction we pay attention.

Who is missing for either side?

No absences have been reported for Andorra or Gibraltar, so we expect both coaches to have their strongest options available. That removes one variable from the preview, though it does not change how the two teams have been playing.

Draw or Gibraltar at 1.95: our main tip

Our main tip is Draw or Gibraltar (X2) at odds 1.95, with a chance of 50% in the market. We are going against the home side here. The bookmakers make Andorra the most likely winners, and the price on the draw-or-Gibraltar line reflects that. The form and the head-to-head give us a reason to think that trust is misplaced.

• Gibraltar have lost none of their last two matches, so the away side has been hard to beat lately.
• Andorra have won none of their last three matches, which is the number we would weigh most heavily.
• Gibraltar have won two of the last four meetings, while Andorra have won none.
• The market puts the bet at 50% with best odds of 1.95, which is a price we are happy to take on this evidence.

On the likeliest scores, the main tip wins on 0-0, 1-1 and 0-1, and loses on 1-0, 2-0 and 2-1. In other words, an Andorra win is what sinks it. A narrow Andorra win is the most likely single outcome in the market, and we would not back Andorra at 1.92 on what we have seen from them.

Our tip for Andorra vs Gibraltar: Over 1.5 goals

Our second tip is Over 1.5 goals at odds 1.78, which the market gives a 54% chance. We do not have a strong argument beyond that number, so we treat it as the smaller, more cautious line. It wins on 1-1, 2-0 and 2-1, and loses on 1-0, 0-0 and 0-1. A 1-1 wins both tips, which is why we think the pair works together, though it also means they share a route to success.

Which other bets would we add?

Gibraltar +1 on the Asian handicap at odds 1.45 is the alternative we like most. At +1 the bet wins unless Gibraltar lose by two goals or more, and a defeat by exactly one goal returns the stake. It sits well with the main tip and gives a wider net than a straight draw.

Under 2.5 goals at odds 1.35 is one of the shorter prices on the list, and the market gives it a 71% chance. We would use it only as a small add-on, because the price is short and the total the market expects is about two goals. It fits with the cautious reading of this match, though it does not add much to the main tip.

Where we land before the kick-off

Andorra are at home, and the bookmakers trust them. The recent record, though, points the other way: no win in three, and Gibraltar have not lost in two. We think Draw or Gibraltar at 1.95 is the bet with the best case, with Over 1.5 goals at 1.78 as the secondary line, and Gibraltar +1 at 1.45 if you want a little more cover.