Bet with Mino Casino →Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Albania and Finland meet on 12 November 2026 · 19:45 at Arena Kombëtare (Tirana), under referee Joao Pinheiro. Albania (46%) are favourites in our book. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.
Albania vs Finland: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Albania: 1st, 12 points from 5 matches (4W 0D 1L). Finland: 3rd, 7 points (2W 1D 2L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Albania 2.0 scored and 0.8 conceded, Finland 2.3 scored and 0.5 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Albania: 3W 0D 1L, goals 8–3; Finland: 2W 1D 1L, goals 9–2.
- Head to head. Head to head over 2 meetings: Albania 1 win, Finland 1 win, plus 0 draws; goals 3–2.
What to expect
We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 1–1, close to 2 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–0 (16.1%). We see a fairly level contest.
On goals we like Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.45), with a probability of 66% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 41% and over 2.5 goals is 34%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 2; Albania 1 win, 0 draws, Finland 1 win.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.5 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Albania 8–3, Finland 9–2.
- Projected: close to 2 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 34%.
- Not available: Albania 0, Finland 0.
Alternative tip: Over 1.5 goals
Other option: Over 1.5 goals (probability 60%, odds up to 1.62). We project close to 2 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Albania: no absences. Not available for Finland: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Albania vs Finland: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 2.12 | 3.06 | 4.40 |
| Market average | 2.06 | 2.98 | 4.14 |
| Lowest odds | 1.84 | 2.75 | 3.72 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.62 | 1.57 | 59.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.83 | 2.72 | 34.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.45 | 1.43 | 65.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 6.50 | 5.54 | 17.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 2.38 | 2.25 | 41.3% |
| BTTS – no | 1.65 | 1.58 | 58.7% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 12/11/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.6%.
Main facts
- Likely result: Albania 1–0 Finland, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Albania 1st (12 points), Finland 3rd (7 points).
- Form in the competition: Albania 3W 0D 1L (8:3), Finland 2W 1D 1L (9:2).
- H2H: 2 matches: Albania 1W 0D 1L, goals 3–2.
- Absences: Albania 0, Finland 0.
Who will win Albania vs Finland?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Albania vs Finland: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Score prediction
Albania vs Finland: injuries, suspensions, absences
Albania
- No reported absences
Finland
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Standings and form
League C – Group A
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Albania | 5 | 4-0-1 | 10:3 | 12 |
| 2 |  Belarus | 5 | 3-1-1 | 7:2 | 10 |
| 3 | Finland | 5 | 2-1-2 | 9:4 | 7 |
| 4 |  San Marino | 5 | 0-0-5 | 1:18 | 0 |
Recent matches
Albania
Home and away
Albania vs Finland: last matches of both teams
Albania
Finland
Team comparison
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
AlbaniaWWLWWFinlandLLWDWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which bet do we recommend for Albania vs Finland?
Draw or Finland (X2) (1.92); Under 2.5 goals (1.45).
Who will win Albania vs Finland?
As we see it: Albania to win 46%, the draw 32%, Finland to win 23%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
12 November 2026, 19:45, at Arena Kombëtare, Tirana. Referee: Joao Pinheiro.
Who will be missing?
Albania: no absences. Finland: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 34% chance (odds 2.83), against 66% for under 2.5 (odds 1.45).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 41% (odds 2.38).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–0 (16.1%), 1–1 (12.9%), 0–0 (12.9%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.