Bet with Mino Casino →Played: final score 2–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Montenegro v Latvia takes place on 12 November 2026 · 19:45 at Gradski Stadion (Podgorica); Jérôme Brisard will referee. We back Montenegro (75%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.
Wins: Montenegro win by 2 or more. Loses: Montenegro win by 1, a draw, Montenegro lose.
Montenegro vs Latvia: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Montenegro: 1st, 13 points from 5 matches (4W 1D 0L). Latvia: 4th, 1 point (0W 1D 4L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Montenegro 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded, Latvia 0.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Montenegro: 3W 1D 0L, goals 7–4; Latvia: 0W 1D 3L, goals 2–6.
- Head to head. Head to head over 5 meetings: Montenegro 3 wins, Latvia 0 wins, plus 2 draws; goals 7–4.
What to expect
We make Montenegro the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 2–0 (15.5%). We see a fairly level contest.
The result only pays 1.28, so the goals markets are an option too: At least one team fails to score (odds 1.57), with a probability of 62% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 38% and over 2.5 goals is 53%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 5; Montenegro 3 wins, 2 draws, Latvia 0 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.2 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Montenegro 7–4, Latvia 2–6.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 53%.
- Not available: Montenegro 0, Latvia 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: no
Other option: Both teams score: no (probability 62%, odds up to 1.57). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Montenegro: no absences. Not available for Latvia: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Montenegro vs Latvia: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.28 | 6.11 | 13.50 |
| Market average | 1.25 | 5.61 | 11.91 |
| Lowest odds | 1.20 | 4.54 | 7.53 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.26 | 1.24 | 75.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.84 | 1.79 | 52.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.05 | 2.00 | 47.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.03 | 2.95 | 31.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 2.50 | 2.43 | 38.2% |
| BTTS – no | 1.57 | 1.50 | 61.8% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 12/11/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.6%.
Main facts
- Likely result: Montenegro 2–0 Latvia, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Montenegro 1st (13 points), Latvia 4th (1 point).
- Form in the competition: Montenegro 3W 1D 0L (7:4), Latvia 0W 1D 3L (2:6).
- H2H: 5 matches: Montenegro 3W 2D 0L, goals 7–4.
- Absences: Montenegro 0, Latvia 0.
Who will win Montenegro vs Latvia?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Montenegro vs Latvia: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Score prediction
Montenegro vs Latvia: injuries, suspensions, absences
Montenegro
- No reported absences
Latvia
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Standings and form
League C – Group B
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montenegro | 5 | 4-1-0 | 9:5 | 13 |
| 2 |  Cyprus | 5 | 2-2-1 | 6:4 | 8 |
| 3 |  Armenia | 5 | 1-2-2 | 5:6 | 5 |
| 4 | Latvia | 5 | 0-1-4 | 3:8 | 1 |
Recent matches
Montenegro
Home and away
Montenegro vs Latvia: last matches of both teams
Montenegro
Latvia
Team comparison
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
MontenegroWDWWWLatviaLLLDLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which bet do we recommend for Montenegro vs Latvia?
Montenegro -1.5 (Asian handicap) (1.92); At least one team fails to score (1.57).
Who will win Montenegro vs Latvia?
As we see it: Montenegro to win 75%, the draw 17%, Latvia to win 8%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
12 November 2026, 19:45, at Gradski Stadion, Podgorica. Referee: Jérôme Brisard.
Who will be missing?
Montenegro: no absences. Latvia: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 53% chance (odds 1.84), against 47% for under 2.5 (odds 2.05).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 38% (odds 2.50).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 2–0 (15.5%), 1–0 (14.1%), 3–0 (11.3%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.