Bet with Mino Casino →Played: final score 1–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Türkiye entertain Belgium on 12 November 2026 · 17:00 at Gürsel Aksel Stadium (Izmir), with Sandro Schärer the man in the middle. Belgium (49%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
Wins: Belgium win. Half lost (half the stake back): a draw. Loses: Belgium lose.
Türkiye vs Belgium: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Türkiye: 4th, 0 points from 5 matches (0W 0D 5L). Belgium: 3rd, 9 points (3W 0D 2L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Türkiye 0.5 scored and 2.8 conceded, Belgium 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Türkiye: 0W 0D 4L, goals 2–11; Belgium: 2W 0D 2L, goals 6–5.
- Head to head. Head to head over 2 meetings: Türkiye 0 wins, Belgium 2 wins, plus 0 draws; goals 1–5.
What to expect
We make Belgium the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (9.8%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.48), with a probability of 65% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 65% and over 2.5 goals is 65%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 2; Türkiye 0 wins, 0 draws, Belgium 2 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 3.0 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Türkiye 2–11, Belgium 6–5.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 65%.
- Not available: Türkiye 0, Belgium 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Other option: Under 3.5 goals (probability 56%, odds up to 1.75). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Türkiye: no absences. Not available for Belgium: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Türkiye vs Belgium: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 3.90 | 4.15 | 1.99 |
| Market average | 3.54 | 3.97 | 1.92 |
| Lowest odds | 3.17 | 3.38 | 1.86 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.15 | 1.12 | 83.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.48 | 1.46 | 64.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.78 | 2.65 | 35.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.20 | 2.14 | 44.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.44 | 1.42 | 65.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.80 | 2.68 | 34.7% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 12/11/26, 16:09. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.7%.
Main facts
- Likely result: Türkiye 1–1 Belgium, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Türkiye 4th (0 points), Belgium 3rd (9 points).
- Form in the competition: Türkiye 0W 0D 4L (2:11), Belgium 2W 0D 2L (6:5).
- H2H: 2 matches: Türkiye 0W 0D 2L, goals 1–5.
- Absences: Türkiye 0, Belgium 0.
Who will win Türkiye vs Belgium?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Türkiye vs Belgium: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Score prediction
Türkiye vs Belgium: injuries, suspensions, absences
Türkiye
- No reported absences
Belgium
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Standings and form
League A – Group A
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Italy | 5 | 3-1-1 | 11:6 | 10 |
| 2 |  France | 5 | 3-1-1 | 8:5 | 10 |
| 3 | Belgium | 5 | 3-0-2 | 8:6 | 9 |
| 4 | Türkiye | 5 | 0-0-5 | 3:13 | 0 |
Recent matches
Türkiye
Home and away
Türkiye vs Belgium: last matches of both teams
Türkiye
Belgium
Team comparison
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
TürkiyeLLLLLBelgiumWLWLWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
Which bet do we recommend for Türkiye vs Belgium?
Belgium -0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.75); Over 2.5 goals (1.48).
Who will win Türkiye vs Belgium?
As we see it: Türkiye to win 27%, the draw 24%, Belgium to win 49%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
12 November 2026, 17:00, at Gürsel Aksel Stadium, Izmir. Referee: Sandro Schärer.
Who will be missing?
Türkiye: no absences. Belgium: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 65% chance (odds 1.48), against 35% for under 2.5 (odds 2.78).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 65% (odds 1.44).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (9.8%), 1–2 (9.3%), 0–1 (7.0%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.