Primeira Liga predictions: upcoming matches
Today · Mon 2 Nov
Benfica
AlvercaBenfica to win1.1585%10%5%
20:15
GIL Vicente
Vitória SCDraw or Vitória SC (X2)1.4433%30%37%
Fri 6 Nov
Famalicão
AroucaSat 7 Nov
Nacional
Académico ViseuDraw or Académico Viseu (X2)1.4132%29%40%
Alverca
Casa Pia—
Sporting CP
MoreirenseSporting CP to win1.1881%12%7%
Sun 8 Nov
Santa ClaraGIL VicenteSanta Clara or draw (1X)1.3044%30%26%
15:30
Estoril
MarítimoEstoril to win2.1445%27%28%
18:00Vitória SC
FC PortoFC Porto to win1.7619%26%55%
20:30
Rio Ave
SC BragaSC Braga to win1.6016%23%61%
20:30
EstrelaBenficaBenfica to win1.228%13%79%
Tips and odds give guidance and no more. Open any match for its full preview.
Primeira Liga: streaks ahead of the next games
Each streak runs back from the newest game and only includes this season's matches in this competition.
Primeira Liga: the numbers, season by season
| 2026/27 * | 2025/26 | 2024/25 | 2023/24 | 2022/23 | 2021/22 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 88 | 308 | 308 | 308 | 308 | 308 |
| Home wins | 40% (35) | 41% (127) | 43% (133) | 44% (134) | 49% (152) | 40% (123) |
| Draws | 20% (18) | 27% (84) | 26% (80) | 24% (75) | 18% (55) | 28% (87) |
| Away wins | 40% (35) | 31% (97) | 31% (95) | 32% (99) | 33% (101) | 32% (98) |
| Both teams scored | 48% (42) | 48% (147) | 49% (150) | 54% (166) | 44% (134) | 53% (162) |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% (49) | 54% (165) | 49% (152) | 56% (171) | 48% (148) | 49% (150) |
| Goals per match | 2.73 | 2.67 | 2.57 | 2.87 | 2.50 | 2.63 |
* Unfinished season. Qualifying rounds are excluded and only competition games count; percentages relate to games played, with the game count given in brackets.
Primeira Liga: most common scores
| Score | Matches | Share | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1–0 | 180 | 11% | 9.0 |
| 1–1 | 176 | 11% | 9.3 |
| 0–1 | 149 | 9% | 10.9 |
| 2–1 | 129 | 8% | 12.6 |
| 1–2 | 120 | 7% | 13.6 |
Data from all games in the competition's previous 6 seasons. Each score's fair price is one over its share, so frequent scores come with shorter odds.
Primeira Liga: our prediction method
What lies behind our Primeira Liga (Portugal) predictions? Odds from several bookmakers for each game, minus the margin and averaged, which give us probabilities for 1, X and 2 plus a definite tip. After 10 matches, FC Porto are first.
- The tip is the single outcome we rate highest. In matches where the favourite is barely ahead, we recommend double chance.
- The coloured 1 – X – 2 bar divides our estimate across the three outcomes: home side wins, draw, away side wins.
- Fair odds work out as 1 divided by the probability. Bookmaker odds above that level may be value, but value does not mean the bet will win.
Use the table for the latest standings, the results for games already played, the fixture list for upcoming matchweeks, the scorers ranking for goalscorers and the cards ranking for bookings.
Primeira Liga: frequently asked questions
Primeira Liga: which games come with a prediction?
The next predicted match: Benfica – Alverca – Mon 2 Nov · 20:15.
Primeira Liga: how do we choose which tips to give?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, strip away the margin and work out an average. The tip is shared to inform you.
What do the 1, X and 2 on the bar stand for?
They are the three outcomes – home win (1), draw (X), away win (2) – and the colours show our estimated probability for each.
What are fair odds?
To get fair odds, divide 1 by the probability we estimate for a result. If a bookmaker pays more, the bet may be value, yet no bet is certain to win.
Primeira Liga: how many goals does a game produce on average?
Average goals per game this season: 2.73. Games with both teams scoring: 48%. Games with over 2.5 goals: 56%.
Primeira Liga: which score do we see most often?
1–0 is the score seen most often across the seasons on show (11% of games).
Can I be sure to win with a prediction?
No. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Nobody under 18 may bet; please gamble with care.
Primeira Liga predictions and tips
This is our Primeira Liga predictions page: every match comes with a tip, odds and the probability of each result, along with the latest team trends and competition data from past seasons. Predictions for the other competitions are gathered on the Predictions page, and the Bookmakers page compares bookmakers.
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.