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Primeira Liga · Matchweek 11 · 8 November 2026 · 15:30

Estoril vs Marítimo tip, odds and prediction, 8 November 2026, Primeira Liga

LLLLL
VS
1Estoril2.14
XDraw3.58
2Marítimo3.52

Top odds available · Updated 2/11/26, 09:01

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Estoril and Marítimo meet on 8 November 2026 · 15:30 at Estádio António Coimbra da Mota (Estoril). Estoril (45%) are favourites in our book. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.

Estoril vs Marítimo: tip and prediction
Result
Estoril to win
2.14
Goals
Both teams to score
1.70
45%chance of the result
55%goals tip: chance
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Estoril or draw (1X) – probability 72%, odds up to 1.33.

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Estoril vs Marítimo: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available2.143.583.52
Market average2.073.453.40
Lowest odds2.003.303.30
Megapari2.093.503.44
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.271.2674.0%
Over 2.5 goals1.921.8750.6%
Under 2.5 goals1.961.9149.4%
Over 3.5 goals3.203.1129.9%
BTTS – yes1.701.6954.8%
BTTS – no2.052.0445.2%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 09:01. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.9%.

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Megapari: prices for this match

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Partner odds, refreshed 2/11/26, 14:46. A click takes you to this match at Megapari. 18+

Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Estoril 1–1 Marítimo, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Estoril 18th (2 points), Marítimo 14th (8 points).
  • Form in the competition: Estoril 0W 2D 8L (5:19), Marítimo 2W 2D 5L (9:19).
  • H2H: 17 matches: Estoril 7W 7D 3L, goals 22–14.
  • Absences: Estoril 0, Marítimo 0.

Who will win Estoril vs Marítimo?

Estoril45%
Draw27%
Marítimo28%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Estoril vs Marítimo: more betting markets

Over 1.5 goals74.0% · fair odds 1.35 · best 1.27
Likely
Estoril or draw (1X)72.4% · fair odds 1.38 · best 1.33
Likely
Under 3.5 goals70.1% · fair odds 1.43 · best 1.36
Likely
Both teams score: yes54.8% · fair odds 1.83 · best 1.70
Possible
Over 2.5 goals50.6% · fair odds 1.98 · best 1.92
Possible
Under 2.5 goals49.4% · fair odds 2.02 · best 1.96
Outsider
Estoril to win45.3% · fair odds 2.21 · best 2.14
Outsider
Both teams score: no45.2% · fair odds 2.21 · best 2.05
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals29.9% · fair odds 3.34 · best 3.20
Outsider
Marítimo to win27.6% · fair odds 3.63 · best 3.52
Outsider
Draw27.1% · fair odds 3.68 · best 3.58
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Most likely correct scores

1 : 112.0%
1 : 010.4%
2 : 19.3%
2 : 08.1%
0 : 17.7%
1 : 26.9%

Estoril vs Marítimo: injuries, suspensions, absences

Estoril

  • No reported absences

Marítimo

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Estoril vs Marítimo: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1FC Porto1010-0-025:430
2Benfica97-1-126:822
3Sporting CP106-3-123:1121
4Santa Clara106-3-115:621
5Arouca106-2-213:720
6Académico Viseu106-2-215:1220
7GIL Vicente94-2-38:714
8SC Braga104-2-412:1114
9Moreirense104-2-413:1714
10Alverca93-2-413:1311
11Famalicão102-4-414:1410
12Estrela102-4-415:1910
13Vitória SC92-2-510:108
14Marítimo102-2-69:218
15Nacional102-1-710:197
16Rio Ave102-1-79:237
17Casa Pia102-1-75:197
18Estoril100-2-85:192

Recent matches

Estoril

31 OctLFC Porto 4–0 Estoril
25 OctLEstoril 1–3 Moreirense
10 OctLAcadémico Viseu 2–1 Estoril
20 SeptLEstoril 1–2 Casa Pia
14 SeptLSC Braga 1–0 Estoril

Marítimo

1 NovLMarítimo 0–2 Santa Clara
23 OctLVitória SC 5–0 Marítimo
10 OctLMarítimo 1–2 FC Porto
19 SeptDGIL Vicente 1–1 Marítimo
14 SeptLMoreirense 3–1 Marítimo

Home and away

Estoril at home5 matches: 0W 2D 3L, goals 3–8
Marítimo away5 matches: 1W 1D 3L, goals 5–12

Estoril vs Marítimo: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Estoril: 18th, 2 points from 10 matches (0W 2D 8L). Marítimo: 14th, 8 points (2W 2D 6L).
  2. Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Estoril 0.5 scored and 1.9 conceded, Marítimo 1.0 scored and 2.1 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Estoril: 0W 2D 8L, goals 5–19; Marítimo: 2W 2D 5L, goals 9–19.
  4. Head to head. Head to head over 17 meetings: Estoril 7 wins, Marítimo 3 wins, plus 7 draws; goals 22–14.

What to expect

We make Estoril the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (12.0%). We see a fairly level contest.

The two signals clash: on table position the Marítimo look stronger, yet the bookmakers rate the home side a little higher. A game like that is hard to predict, so playing it safer with your bets makes sense.

On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.70), with a probability of 55% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 55% and over 2.5 goals is 51%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 17; Estoril 7 wins, 7 draws, Marítimo 3 wins.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 2.1 per match.
  3. This competition, scored–conceded: Estoril 5–19, Marítimo 9–19.
  4. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 51%.
  5. Not available: Estoril 0, Marítimo 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 55%, odds up to 1.70). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Estoril: no absences. Not available for Marítimo: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Estoril vs Marítimo: the numbers side by side

EstorilMarítimo
0%Form100%
50%Attack50%
54%Defence46%
71%Head to head29%
67%Goals33%
58.4%Overall41.6%

Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.

Form in the competition

EstorilLLLLL
MarítimoLLLDL

Estoril vs Marítimo: head to head

All matches
7Estoril
7Draws
3Marítimo
27/5/23 · Estoril 3–1 Marítimo
22/1/23 · Marítimo 1–0 Estoril
5/2/22 · Marítimo 0–0 Estoril
27/8/21 · Estoril 2–1 Marítimo
27/1/21 · Marítimo 1–3 Estoril
7/4/18 · Estoril 1–1 Marítimo

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.9%

Estoril vs Marítimo: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Estoril vs Marítimo?

On the result, our pick is Estoril to win (2.14); on goals, Both teams to score (1.70). Prefer less risk? Go for Estoril or draw (1X).

Who will win Estoril vs Marítimo?

As we see it: Estoril to win 45%, the draw 27%, Marítimo to win 28%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

8 November 2026, 15:30, at Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, Estoril.

Who will be missing?

Estoril: no absences. Marítimo: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 51% chance (odds 1.92), against 49% for under 2.5 (odds 1.96).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 55% (odds 1.70).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–1 (12.0%), 1–0 (10.4%), 2–1 (9.3%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

Benfica vs Alverca 2 NovGIL Vicente vs Vitória SC 2 NovFamalicão vs Arouca 6 NovNacional vs Académico Viseu 7 NovSporting CP vs Moreirense 7 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.