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Primeira Liga · Matchweek 11 · 8 November 2026 · 15:30

Santa Clara vs GIL Vicente tip, odds and prediction, 8 November 2026, Primeira Liga

1Santa Clara2.19
XDraw3.26
2GIL Vicente3.72

Top odds available · Updated 2/11/26, 04:59

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Santa Clara entertain GIL Vicente on 8 November 2026 · 15:30 at Estádio de São Miguel (Ponta Delgada). We do not see a favourite here. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.

Santa Clara vs GIL Vicente: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
Santa Clara or draw (1X)
1.30
Goals
Under 2.5 goals
1.48
74%chance of the result
63%goals tip: chance
1–0likely score
≈ 2 goalstotal in the match

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Santa Clara vs GIL Vicente: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available2.193.263.72
Market average2.193.263.72
Lowest odds2.193.263.72
Megapari2.223.173.48
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.581.5861.5%
Over 2.5 goals2.562.5636.6%
Under 2.5 goals1.481.4863.4%
Over 3.5 goals4.864.8619.0%
BTTS – yes2.202.2042.3%
BTTS – no1.611.6157.7%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 04:59. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 3.2%.

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Megapari: prices for this match

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Partner odds, refreshed 2/11/26, 15:11. A click takes you to this match at Megapari. 18+

Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Santa Clara 1–0 GIL Vicente, roughly 2 goals in total.
  • Table: Santa Clara 4th (21 points), GIL Vicente 7th (14 points).
  • Form in the competition: Santa Clara 5W 3D 1L (13:6), GIL Vicente 4W 2D 3L (8:7).
  • H2H: 18 matches: Santa Clara 9W 3D 6L, goals 20–17.
  • Absences: Santa Clara 0, GIL Vicente 0.

Who will win Santa Clara vs GIL Vicente?

Santa Clara44%
Draw30%
GIL Vicente26%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Santa Clara vs GIL Vicente: more betting markets

Under 3.5 goals81.0% · fair odds 1.23 · best 1.14
Likely
Santa Clara or draw (1X)74.0% · fair odds 1.35 · best 1.30
Likely
Under 2.5 goals63.4% · fair odds 1.58 · best 1.48
Likely
Over 1.5 goals61.5% · fair odds 1.63 · best 1.58
Likely
Both teams score: no57.7% · fair odds 1.73 · best 1.61
Possible
Santa Clara to win44.2% · fair odds 2.26 · best 2.19
Outsider
Both teams score: yes42.3% · fair odds 2.37 · best 2.20
Outsider
Over 2.5 goals36.6% · fair odds 2.73 · best 2.56
Outsider
Draw29.7% · fair odds 3.36 · best 3.26
Outsider
GIL Vicente to win26.0% · fair odds 3.84 · best 3.72
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals19.0% · fair odds 5.26 · best 4.86
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Most likely correct scores

1 : 014.6%
1 : 113.1%
0 : 011.6%
0 : 110.5%
2 : 09.1%
2 : 18.2%

Santa Clara vs GIL Vicente: injuries, suspensions, absences

Santa Clara

  • No reported absences

GIL Vicente

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Santa Clara vs GIL Vicente: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1FC Porto1010-0-025:430
2Benfica97-1-126:822
3Sporting CP106-3-123:1121
4Santa Clara106-3-115:621
5Arouca106-2-213:720
6Académico Viseu106-2-215:1220
7GIL Vicente94-2-38:714
8SC Braga104-2-412:1114
9Moreirense104-2-413:1714
10Alverca93-2-413:1311
11Famalicão102-4-414:1410
12Estrela102-4-415:1910
13Vitória SC92-2-510:108
14Marítimo102-2-69:218
15Nacional102-1-710:197
16Rio Ave102-1-79:237
17Casa Pia102-1-75:197
18Estoril100-2-85:192

Recent matches

Santa Clara

1 NovWMarítimo 0–2 Santa Clara
26 OctLSanta Clara 1–2 Benfica
10 OctWCasa Pia 0–1 Santa Clara
20 SeptDSanta Clara 0–0 SC Braga
13 SeptWArouca 1–2 Santa Clara

GIL Vicente

24 OctLGIL Vicente 0–1 FC Porto
19 OctWSC Braga 1–2 GIL Vicente
9 OctWMoreirense 0–1 GIL Vicente
19 SeptDGIL Vicente 1–1 Marítimo
13 SeptLBenfica 3–1 GIL Vicente

Home and away

Santa Clara at home5 matches: 2W 2D 1L, goals 8–4
GIL Vicente away4 matches: 2W 1D 1L, goals 4–4

Santa Clara vs GIL Vicente: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Santa Clara: 4th, 21 points from 10 matches (6W 3D 1L). GIL Vicente: 7th, 14 points (4W 2D 3L).
  2. Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Santa Clara 1.4 scored and 0.7 conceded, GIL Vicente 0.9 scored and 0.8 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Santa Clara: 5W 3D 1L, goals 13–6; GIL Vicente: 4W 2D 3L, goals 8–7.
  4. Head to head. Head to head over 18 meetings: Santa Clara 9 wins, GIL Vicente 6 wins, plus 3 draws; goals 20–17.

What to expect

We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 1–1, close to 2 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–0 (14.6%). We see a fairly level contest.

On goals we like Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.48), with a probability of 63% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 42% and over 2.5 goals is 37%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 18; Santa Clara 9 wins, 3 draws, GIL Vicente 6 wins.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 2.1 per match.
  3. This competition, scored–conceded: Santa Clara 13–6, GIL Vicente 8–7.
  4. Projected: close to 2 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 37%.
  5. Not available: Santa Clara 0, GIL Vicente 0.

Alternative tip: Over 1.5 goals

Other option: Over 1.5 goals (probability 61%, odds up to 1.58). We project close to 2 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Santa Clara: no absences. Not available for GIL Vicente: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Santa Clara vs GIL Vicente: the numbers side by side

Santa ClaraGIL Vicente
59%Form41%
62%Attack38%
67%Defence33%
80%Head to head20%
64%Goals36%
67.0%Overall33.0%

Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.

Form in the competition

Santa ClaraWLWDW
GIL VicenteLWWDL

Santa Clara vs GIL Vicente: head to head

All matches
9Santa Clara
3Draws
6GIL Vicente
21/3/26 · Santa Clara 1–0 GIL Vicente
3/11/25 · GIL Vicente 1–0 Santa Clara
15/3/25 · GIL Vicente 0–1 Santa Clara
25/10/24 · Santa Clara 2–1 GIL Vicente
6/5/23 · Santa Clara 3–2 GIL Vicente
29/12/22 · GIL Vicente 1–0 Santa Clara

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin3.2%

Santa Clara vs GIL Vicente: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Santa Clara vs GIL Vicente?

On the result, our pick is Santa Clara or draw (1X) (1.30); on goals, Under 2.5 goals (1.48). Prefer less risk? Go for Santa Clara or draw (1X).

Who will win Santa Clara vs GIL Vicente?

As we see it: Santa Clara to win 44%, the draw 30%, GIL Vicente to win 26%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

8 November 2026, 15:30, at Estádio de São Miguel, Ponta Delgada.

Who will be missing?

Santa Clara: no absences. GIL Vicente: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 37% chance (odds 2.56), against 63% for under 2.5 (odds 1.48).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 42% (odds 2.20).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–0 (14.6%), 1–1 (13.1%), 0–0 (11.6%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

Benfica vs Alverca 2 NovGIL Vicente vs Vitória SC 2 NovFamalicão vs Arouca 6 NovNacional vs Académico Viseu 7 NovSporting CP vs Moreirense 7 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.