Bet with MINO CASINO →Benfica entertain Alverca on 2 November 2026 · 20:15 at Estádio da Luz (Lisbon), with Bruno Pires Costa the man in the middle. Benfica (85%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
Benfica vs Alverca: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.15 | 10.40 | 22.00 |
| Market average | 1.12 | 9.27 | 18.61 |
| Lowest odds | 1.10 | 8.00 | 15.00 |
| Megapari | 1.09 | 10.50 | 25.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.12 | 1.08 | 86.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.37 | 1.32 | 71.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.44 | 3.27 | 28.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.93 | 1.84 | 51.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 2.22 | 2.07 | 44.9% |
| BTTS – no | 1.75 | 1.69 | 55.1% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 12:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.4%.
Megapari: prices for this match
Partner odds, refreshed 2/11/26, 12:56. A click takes you to this match at Megapari. 18+
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Benfica 3–0 Alverca, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Benfica 2nd (22 points), Alverca 10th (11 points).
- Form in the competition: Benfica 7W 1D 1L (26:8), Alverca 3W 2D 4L (13:13).
- H2H: 2 matches: Benfica 2W 0D 0L, goals 4–2.
- Absences: Benfica 0, Alverca 0.
Who will win Benfica vs Alverca?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Benfica vs Alverca: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Benfica vs Alverca: injuries, suspensions, absences
Benfica
- No reported absences
Alverca
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Benfica vs Alverca: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 10 | 10-0-0 | 25:4 | 30 |
| 2 | Benfica | 9 | 7-1-1 | 26:8 | 22 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 10 | 6-3-1 | 23:11 | 21 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 10 | 6-3-1 | 15:6 | 21 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 10 | 6-2-2 | 13:7 | 20 |
| 6 |  Académico Viseu | 10 | 6-2-2 | 15:12 | 20 |
| 7 |  GIL Vicente | 9 | 4-2-3 | 8:7 | 14 |
| 8 |  SC Braga | 10 | 4-2-4 | 12:11 | 14 |
| 9 |  Moreirense | 10 | 4-2-4 | 13:17 | 14 |
| 10 | Alverca | 9 | 3-2-4 | 13:13 | 11 |
| 11 |  Famalicão | 10 | 2-4-4 | 14:14 | 10 |
| 12 |  Estrela | 10 | 2-4-4 | 15:19 | 10 |
| 13 |  Vitória SC | 9 | 2-2-5 | 10:10 | 8 |
| 14 |  Marítimo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 9:21 | 8 |
| 15 |  Nacional | 10 | 2-1-7 | 10:19 | 7 |
| 16 |  Rio Ave | 10 | 2-1-7 | 9:23 | 7 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 10 | 2-1-7 | 5:19 | 7 |
| 18 |  Estoril | 10 | 0-2-8 | 5:19 | 2 |
Recent matches
Benfica
Home and away
Benfica vs Alverca: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Benfica: 2nd, 22 points from 9 matches (7W 1D 1L). Alverca: 10th, 11 points (3W 2D 4L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Benfica 2.9 scored and 0.9 conceded, Alverca 1.4 scored and 1.4 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Benfica: 7W 1D 1L, goals 26–8; Alverca: 3W 2D 4L, goals 13–13.
- Head to head. Head to head over 2 meetings: Benfica 2 wins, Alverca 0 wins, plus 0 draws; goals 4–2.
What to expect
We make Benfica the favourites. The projected scoreline is 3–1, close to 4 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 3–0 (11.7%). We expect goals and an open game.
The result only pays 1.15, so the goals markets are an option too: At least one team fails to score (odds 1.75), with a probability of 55% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 45% and over 2.5 goals is 71%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 2; Benfica 2 wins, 0 draws, Alverca 0 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 3.0 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Benfica 26–8, Alverca 13–13.
- Projected: close to 4 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 71%.
- Not available: Benfica 0, Alverca 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: no
Other option: Both teams score: no (probability 55%, odds up to 1.75). We project close to 4 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Benfica: no absences. Not available for Alverca: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Benfica vs Alverca: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
BenficaWWLWWAlvercaLWWWLBenfica vs Alverca: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Benfica vs Alverca: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Benfica vs Alverca?
On the result, our pick is Benfica to win (1.15); on goals, At least one team fails to score (1.75). Prefer less risk? Go for Benfica or draw (1X).
Who will win Benfica vs Alverca?
As we see it: Benfica to win 85%, the draw 10%, Alverca to win 5%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
2 November 2026, 20:15, at Estádio da Luz, Lisbon. Referee: Bruno Pires Costa.
Who will be missing?
Benfica: no absences. Alverca: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 71% chance (odds 1.37), against 29% for under 2.5 (odds 3.44).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 45% (odds 2.22).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 3–0 (11.7%), 2–0 (11.5%), 4–0 (8.9%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.