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Primeira Liga · Matchweek 11 · 7 November 2026 · 15:30

Nacional vs Académico Viseu tip, odds and prediction, 7 November 2026, Primeira Liga

1Nacional3.06
XDraw3.39
2Académico Viseu2.44

Top odds available · Updated 2/11/26, 09:01

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Nacional and Académico Viseu meet on 7 November 2026 · 15:30 at Estádio da Madeira (Funchal). We see an evenly balanced game. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.

Nacional vs Académico Viseu: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
Draw or Académico Viseu (X2)
1.41
Goals
Both teams to score
1.70
68%chance of the result
55%goals tip: chance
1–1likely score
≈ 2 goalstotal in the match

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Nacional vs Académico Viseu: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available3.063.392.44
Market average2.943.272.37
Lowest odds2.803.102.30
Megapari3.003.322.39
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.301.2972.4%
Over 2.5 goals1.971.9249.2%
Under 2.5 goals1.911.8650.8%
Over 3.5 goals3.303.2228.9%
BTTS – yes1.701.6954.8%
BTTS – no2.052.0445.2%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 09:01. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.8%.

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Megapari: prices for this match

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Partner odds, refreshed 2/11/26, 15:11. A click takes you to this match at Megapari. 18+

Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Nacional 1–1 Académico Viseu, roughly 2 goals in total.
  • Table: Nacional 15th (7 points), Académico Viseu 6th (20 points).
  • Form in the competition: Nacional 2W 1D 6L (10:18), Académico Viseu 5W 2D 2L (13:11).
  • H2H: 9 matches: Nacional 3W 5D 1L, goals 16–11.
  • Absences: Nacional 0, Académico Viseu 0.

Who will win Nacional vs Académico Viseu?

Nacional32%
Draw29%
Académico Viseu40%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Nacional vs Académico Viseu: more betting markets

Over 1.5 goals72.4% · fair odds 1.38 · best 1.30
Likely
Under 3.5 goals71.1% · fair odds 1.41 · best 1.33
Likely
Draw or Académico Viseu (X2)68.1% · fair odds 1.47 · best 1.41
Likely
Both teams score: yes54.8% · fair odds 1.83 · best 1.70
Possible
Under 2.5 goals50.8% · fair odds 1.97 · best 1.91
Possible
Over 2.5 goals49.2% · fair odds 2.03 · best 1.97
Outsider
Both teams score: no45.2% · fair odds 2.21 · best 2.05
Outsider
Académico Viseu to win39.5% · fair odds 2.53 · best 2.44
Outsider
Nacional to win31.9% · fair odds 3.14 · best 3.06
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals28.9% · fair odds 3.46 · best 3.30
Outsider
Draw28.6% · fair odds 3.49 · best 3.39
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Most likely correct scores

1 : 112.4%
0 : 19.9%
1 : 08.8%
1 : 28.7%
2 : 17.7%
0 : 07.1%

Nacional vs Académico Viseu: injuries, suspensions, absences

Nacional

  • No reported absences

Académico Viseu

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Nacional vs Académico Viseu: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1FC Porto1010-0-025:430
2Benfica97-1-126:822
3Sporting CP106-3-123:1121
4Santa Clara106-3-115:621
5Arouca106-2-213:720
6Académico Viseu106-2-215:1220
7GIL Vicente94-2-38:714
8SC Braga104-2-412:1114
9Moreirense104-2-413:1714
10Alverca93-2-413:1311
11Famalicão102-4-414:1410
12Estrela102-4-415:1910
13Vitória SC92-2-510:108
14Marítimo102-2-69:218
15Nacional102-1-710:197
16Rio Ave102-1-79:237
17Casa Pia102-1-75:197
18Estoril100-2-85:192

Recent matches

Nacional

1 NovLArouca 1–0 Nacional
25 OctWNacional 1–0 SC Braga
11 OctLRio Ave 3–2 Nacional
19 SeptLNacional 0–4 Famalicão
12 SeptLNacional 1–3 Alverca

Académico Viseu

1 NovWAcadémico Viseu 2–1 Rio Ave
25 OctWSporting CP 1–2 Académico Viseu
10 OctWAcadémico Viseu 2–1 Estoril
20 SeptWEstrela 0–2 Académico Viseu
12 SeptWAcadémico Viseu 2–1 Vitória SC

Home and away

Nacional at home5 matches: 2W 0D 3L, goals 6–10
Académico Viseu away5 matches: 3W 2D 0L, goals 9–5

Nacional vs Académico Viseu: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Nacional: 15th, 7 points from 10 matches (2W 1D 7L). Académico Viseu: 6th, 20 points (6W 2D 2L).
  2. Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Nacional 1.1 scored and 2.0 conceded, Académico Viseu 1.4 scored and 1.2 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Nacional: 2W 1D 6L, goals 10–18; Académico Viseu: 5W 2D 2L, goals 13–11.
  4. Head to head. Head to head over 9 meetings: Nacional 3 wins, Académico Viseu 1 win, plus 5 draws; goals 16–11.

What to expect

We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 1–1, close to 2 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (12.4%). We see a fairly level contest.

On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.70), with a probability of 55% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 55% and over 2.5 goals is 49%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 9; Nacional 3 wins, 5 draws, Académico Viseu 1 win.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 3.0 per match.
  3. This competition, scored–conceded: Nacional 10–18, Académico Viseu 13–11.
  4. Projected: close to 2 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 49%.
  5. Not available: Nacional 0, Académico Viseu 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 55%, odds up to 1.70). We project close to 2 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Nacional: no absences. Not available for Académico Viseu: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Nacional vs Académico Viseu: the numbers side by side

NacionalAcadémico Viseu
17%Form83%
31%Attack69%
20%Defence80%
50%Head to head50%
50%Goals50%
32.5%Overall67.5%

Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.

Form in the competition

NacionalLWLLL
Académico ViseuWWWWW

Nacional vs Académico Viseu: head to head

All matches
3Nacional
5Draws
1Académico Viseu
9/3/24 · Nacional 1–1 Académico Viseu
29/10/23 · Académico Viseu 1–1 Nacional
28/5/23 · Nacional 3–2 Académico Viseu
21/1/23 · Académico Viseu 1–1 Nacional
7/5/22 · Nacional 1–2 Académico Viseu
29/12/21 · Académico Viseu 1–4 Nacional

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.8%

Nacional vs Académico Viseu: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Nacional vs Académico Viseu?

On the result, our pick is Draw or Académico Viseu (X2) (1.41); on goals, Both teams to score (1.70). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Académico Viseu (X2).

Who will win Nacional vs Académico Viseu?

As we see it: Nacional to win 32%, the draw 29%, Académico Viseu to win 40%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

7 November 2026, 15:30, at Estádio da Madeira, Funchal.

Who will be missing?

Nacional: no absences. Académico Viseu: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 49% chance (odds 1.97), against 51% for under 2.5 (odds 1.91).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 55% (odds 1.70).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–1 (12.4%), 0–1 (9.9%), 1–0 (8.8%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

Benfica vs Alverca 2 NovGIL Vicente vs Vitória SC 2 NovFamalicão vs Arouca 6 NovSporting CP vs Moreirense 7 NovSanta Clara vs GIL Vicente 8 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.