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Primeira Liga · Matchweek 10 · 2 November 2026 · 20:15

GIL Vicente vs Vitória SC tip, odds and prediction, 2 November 2026, Primeira Liga

1GIL Vicente3.00
XDraw3.26
2Vitória SC2.69

Top odds available · Updated 2/11/26, 12:00

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GIL Vicente v Vitória SC takes place on 2 November 2026 · 20:15 at Estádio Cidade de Barcelos (Barcelos); Helder Carvalho will referee. We call it a level game. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.

GIL Vicente vs Vitória SC: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
Draw or Vitória SC (X2)
1.44
Goals
Under 2.5 goals
1.70
67%chance of the result
57%goals tip: chance
1–1likely score
≈ 2 goalstotal in the match

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GIL Vicente vs Vitória SC: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available3.003.262.69
Market average2.883.142.55
Lowest odds2.753.002.45
Megapari2.913.192.53
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.421.3967.5%
Over 2.5 goals2.272.2142.9%
Under 2.5 goals1.701.6657.1%
Over 3.5 goals4.204.0323.3%
BTTS – yes1.911.8650.1%
BTTS – no1.911.8749.9%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 12:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.8%.

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Megapari: prices for this match

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Partner odds, refreshed 2/11/26, 15:11. A click takes you to this match at Megapari. 18+

Match at a glance

  • Likely result: GIL Vicente 1–1 Vitória SC, roughly 2 goals in total.
  • Table: GIL Vicente 7th (14 points), Vitória SC 13th (8 points).
  • Form in the competition: GIL Vicente 4W 2D 3L (8:7), Vitória SC 2W 2D 5L (10:10).
  • H2H: 23 matches: GIL Vicente 7W 6D 10L, goals 26–37.
  • Absences: GIL Vicente 0, Vitória SC 0.

Who will win GIL Vicente vs Vitória SC?

GIL Vicente33%
Draw30%
Vitória SC37%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

GIL Vicente vs Vitória SC: more betting markets

Under 3.5 goals76.7% · fair odds 1.30 · best 1.25
Likely
Over 1.5 goals67.5% · fair odds 1.48 · best 1.42
Likely
Draw or Vitória SC (X2)67.2% · fair odds 1.49 · best 1.44
Likely
Under 2.5 goals57.1% · fair odds 1.75 · best 1.70
Possible
Both teams score: yes50.1% · fair odds 2.00 · best 1.91
Possible
Both teams score: no49.9% · fair odds 2.00 · best 1.91
Outsider
Over 2.5 goals42.9% · fair odds 2.33 · best 2.27
Outsider
Vitória SC to win37.1% · fair odds 2.70 · best 2.69
Outsider
GIL Vicente to win32.8% · fair odds 3.05 · best 3.00
Outsider
Draw30.1% · fair odds 3.32 · best 3.26
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals23.3% · fair odds 4.29 · best 4.20
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 2.08 · Under 1.67
probability of over 44.5%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 113.0%
0 : 111.3%
1 : 010.4%
0 : 09.1%
1 : 28.2%
2 : 17.5%

GIL Vicente vs Vitória SC: injuries, suspensions, absences

GIL Vicente

  • No reported absences

Vitória SC

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

GIL Vicente vs Vitória SC: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1FC Porto1010-0-025:430
2Benfica97-1-126:822
3Sporting CP106-3-123:1121
4Santa Clara106-3-115:621
5Arouca106-2-213:720
6Académico Viseu106-2-215:1220
7GIL Vicente94-2-38:714
8SC Braga104-2-412:1114
9Moreirense104-2-413:1714
10Alverca93-2-413:1311
11Famalicão102-4-414:1410
12Estrela102-4-415:1910
13Vitória SC92-2-510:108
14Marítimo102-2-69:218
15Nacional102-1-710:197
16Rio Ave102-1-79:237
17Casa Pia102-1-75:197
18Estoril100-2-85:192

Recent matches

GIL Vicente

24 OctLGIL Vicente 0–1 FC Porto
19 OctWSC Braga 1–2 GIL Vicente
9 OctWMoreirense 0–1 GIL Vicente
19 SeptDGIL Vicente 1–1 Marítimo
13 SeptLBenfica 3–1 GIL Vicente

Vitória SC

23 OctWVitória SC 5–0 Marítimo
11 OctLBenfica 2–0 Vitória SC
20 SeptDVitória SC 1–1 Moreirense
12 SeptLAcadémico Viseu 2–1 Vitória SC
6 SeptDVitória SC 0–0 Casa Pia

Home and away

GIL Vicente at home5 matches: 2W 1D 2L, goals 4–3
Vitória SC away4 matches: 0W 0D 4L, goals 3–8

GIL Vicente vs Vitória SC: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. GIL Vicente: 7th, 14 points from 9 matches (4W 2D 3L). Vitória SC: 13th, 8 points (2W 2D 5L).
  2. Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: GIL Vicente 0.9 scored and 0.8 conceded, Vitória SC 1.1 scored and 1.1 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. GIL Vicente: 4W 2D 3L, goals 8–7; Vitória SC: 2W 2D 5L, goals 10–10.
  4. Head to head. Head to head over 23 meetings: GIL Vicente 7 wins, Vitória SC 10 wins, plus 6 draws; goals 26–37.

What to expect

We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 1–1, close to 2 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (13.0%). We see a fairly level contest.

The two signals clash: on table position the GIL Vicente look stronger, yet the bookmakers rate the away side a little higher. A game like that is hard to predict, so playing it safer with your bets makes sense.

On goals we like Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.70), with a probability of 57% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 50% and over 2.5 goals is 43%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 23; GIL Vicente 7 wins, 6 draws, Vitória SC 10 wins.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 2.7 per match.
  3. This competition, scored–conceded: GIL Vicente 8–7, Vitória SC 10–10.
  4. Projected: close to 2 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 43%.
  5. Not available: GIL Vicente 0, Vitória SC 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 50%, odds up to 1.91). We project close to 2 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for GIL Vicente: no absences. Not available for Vitória SC: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

GIL Vicente vs Vitória SC: the numbers side by side

GIL VicenteVitória SC
58%Form42%
42%Attack58%
45%Defence55%
7%Head to head93%
10%Goals90%
40.3%Overall59.7%

Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.

Form in the competition

GIL VicenteLWWDL
Vitória SCWLDLD

GIL Vicente vs Vitória SC: head to head

All matches
7GIL Vicente
6Draws
10Vitória SC
18/4/26 · GIL Vicente 0–1 Vitória SC
8/12/25 · Vitória SC 0–0 GIL Vicente
11/4/25 · GIL Vicente 0–1 Vitória SC
2/12/24 · Vitória SC 4–0 GIL Vicente
8/2/24 · Vitória SC 3–1 GIL Vicente
28/1/24 · GIL Vicente 1–0 Vitória SC

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin5.8%

GIL Vicente vs Vitória SC: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for GIL Vicente vs Vitória SC?

On the result, our pick is Draw or Vitória SC (X2) (1.44); on goals, Under 2.5 goals (1.70). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Vitória SC (X2).

Who will win GIL Vicente vs Vitória SC?

As we see it: GIL Vicente to win 33%, the draw 30%, Vitória SC to win 37%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

2 November 2026, 20:15, at Estádio Cidade de Barcelos, Barcelos. Referee: Helder Carvalho.

Who will be missing?

GIL Vicente: no absences. Vitória SC: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 43% chance (odds 2.27), against 57% for under 2.5 (odds 1.70).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 50% (odds 1.91).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–1 (13.0%), 0–1 (11.3%), 1–0 (10.4%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

Benfica vs Alverca 2 NovFamalicão vs Arouca 6 NovNacional vs Académico Viseu 7 NovSporting CP vs Moreirense 7 NovSanta Clara vs GIL Vicente 8 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.