Bet with MINO CASINO →Famalicão and Arouca meet on 6 November 2026 · 20:45 at Estádio Municipal de Famalicão (Vila Nova de Famalicão). Famalicão (48%) are favourites in our book. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.
Famalicão vs Arouca: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 2.00 | 3.61 | 3.92 |
| Market average | 1.95 | 3.46 | 3.77 |
| Lowest odds | 1.91 | 3.30 | 3.60 |
| Megapari | 1.97 | 3.52 | 3.84 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.29 | 1.27 | 73.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.96 | 1.91 | 49.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.92 | 1.87 | 50.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.30 | 3.25 | 28.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.75 | 1.74 | 53.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.00 | 1.97 | 46.9% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 09:01. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.8%.
Megapari: prices for this match
Partner odds, refreshed 2/11/26, 15:11. A click takes you to this match at Megapari. 18+
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Famalicão 1–1 Arouca, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Famalicão 11th (10 points), Arouca 5th (20 points).
- Form in the competition: Famalicão 2W 4D 4L (14:14), Arouca 6W 2D 2L (13:7).
- H2H: 15 matches: Famalicão 5W 4D 6L, goals 14–15.
- Absences: Famalicão 0, Arouca 0.
Who will win Famalicão vs Arouca?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Famalicão vs Arouca: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Most likely correct scores
Famalicão vs Arouca: injuries, suspensions, absences
Famalicão
- No reported absences
Arouca
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Famalicão vs Arouca: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 10 | 10-0-0 | 25:4 | 30 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 9 | 7-1-1 | 26:8 | 22 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 10 | 6-3-1 | 23:11 | 21 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 10 | 6-3-1 | 15:6 | 21 |
| 5 | Arouca | 10 | 6-2-2 | 13:7 | 20 |
| 6 |  Académico Viseu | 10 | 6-2-2 | 15:12 | 20 |
| 7 |  GIL Vicente | 9 | 4-2-3 | 8:7 | 14 |
| 8 |  SC Braga | 10 | 4-2-4 | 12:11 | 14 |
| 9 |  Moreirense | 10 | 4-2-4 | 13:17 | 14 |
| 10 |  Alverca | 9 | 3-2-4 | 13:13 | 11 |
| 11 | Famalicão | 10 | 2-4-4 | 14:14 | 10 |
| 12 |  Estrela | 10 | 2-4-4 | 15:19 | 10 |
| 13 |  Vitória SC | 9 | 2-2-5 | 10:10 | 8 |
| 14 |  Marítimo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 9:21 | 8 |
| 15 |  Nacional | 10 | 2-1-7 | 10:19 | 7 |
| 16 |  Rio Ave | 10 | 2-1-7 | 9:23 | 7 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 10 | 2-1-7 | 5:19 | 7 |
| 18 |  Estoril | 10 | 0-2-8 | 5:19 | 2 |
Recent matches
Famalicão
Home and away
Famalicão vs Arouca: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Famalicão: 11th, 10 points from 10 matches (2W 4D 4L). Arouca: 5th, 20 points (6W 2D 2L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Famalicão 1.4 scored and 1.4 conceded, Arouca 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Famalicão: 2W 4D 4L, goals 14–14; Arouca: 6W 2D 2L, goals 13–7.
- Head to head. Head to head over 15 meetings: Famalicão 5 wins, Arouca 6 wins, plus 4 draws; goals 14–15.
What to expect
We make Famalicão the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (12.1%). We see a fairly level contest.
The two signals clash: on table position the Arouca look stronger, yet the bookmakers rate the home side a little higher. A game like that is hard to predict, so playing it safer with your bets makes sense.
On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.75), with a probability of 53% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 53% and over 2.5 goals is 49%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 15; Famalicão 5 wins, 4 draws, Arouca 6 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 1.9 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Famalicão 14–14, Arouca 13–7.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 49%.
- Not available: Famalicão 0, Arouca 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 53%, odds up to 1.75). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Famalicão: no absences. Not available for Arouca: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Famalicão vs Arouca: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
FamalicãoLWLWDAroucaWWWDLFamalicão vs Arouca: head to head
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Famalicão vs Arouca: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Famalicão vs Arouca?
On the result, our pick is Famalicão to win (2.00); on goals, Both teams to score (1.75). Prefer less risk? Go for Famalicão or draw (1X).
Who will win Famalicão vs Arouca?
As we see it: Famalicão to win 48%, the draw 27%, Arouca to win 25%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
6 November 2026, 20:45, at Estádio Municipal de Famalicão, Vila Nova de Famalicão.
Who will be missing?
Famalicão: no absences. Arouca: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 49% chance (odds 1.96), against 51% for under 2.5 (odds 1.92).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 53% (odds 1.75).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (12.1%), 1–0 (11.5%), 2–1 (9.4%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.