Bet with MINO CASINO →Sporting CP v Moreirense takes place on 7 November 2026 · 20:30 at Estádio José Alvalade (Lisbon). We back Sporting CP (81%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.
Sporting CP vs Moreirense: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.18 | 8.50 | 15.50 |
| Market average | 1.16 | 7.72 | 13.87 |
| Lowest odds | 1.14 | 7.00 | 13.00 |
| Megapari | 1.13 | 9.10 | 17.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.13 | 1.10 | 84.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.42 | 1.40 | 66.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.86 | 2.75 | 33.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.10 | 2.05 | 46.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 2.00 | 1.98 | 46.6% |
| BTTS – no | 1.75 | 1.73 | 53.4% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 09:01. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.4%.
Megapari: prices for this match
Partner odds, refreshed 2/11/26, 14:46. A click takes you to this match at Megapari. 18+
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Sporting CP 2–0 Moreirense, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Sporting CP 3rd (21 points), Moreirense 9th (14 points).
- Form in the competition: Sporting CP 6W 3D 1L (23:11), Moreirense 4W 2D 4L (13:17).
- H2H: 24 matches: Sporting CP 18W 5D 1L, goals 49–17.
- Absences: Sporting CP 0, Moreirense 0.
Who will win Sporting CP vs Moreirense?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Sporting CP vs Moreirense: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Most likely correct scores
Sporting CP vs Moreirense: injuries, suspensions, absences
Sporting CP
- No reported absences
Moreirense
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Sporting CP vs Moreirense: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 10 | 10-0-0 | 25:4 | 30 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 9 | 7-1-1 | 26:8 | 22 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 10 | 6-3-1 | 23:11 | 21 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 10 | 6-3-1 | 15:6 | 21 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 10 | 6-2-2 | 13:7 | 20 |
| 6 |  Académico Viseu | 10 | 6-2-2 | 15:12 | 20 |
| 7 |  GIL Vicente | 9 | 4-2-3 | 8:7 | 14 |
| 8 |  SC Braga | 10 | 4-2-4 | 12:11 | 14 |
| 9 | Moreirense | 10 | 4-2-4 | 13:17 | 14 |
| 10 |  Alverca | 9 | 3-2-4 | 13:13 | 11 |
| 11 |  Famalicão | 10 | 2-4-4 | 14:14 | 10 |
| 12 |  Estrela | 10 | 2-4-4 | 15:19 | 10 |
| 13 |  Vitória SC | 9 | 2-2-5 | 10:10 | 8 |
| 14 |  Marítimo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 9:21 | 8 |
| 15 |  Nacional | 10 | 2-1-7 | 10:19 | 7 |
| 16 |  Rio Ave | 10 | 2-1-7 | 9:23 | 7 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 10 | 2-1-7 | 5:19 | 7 |
| 18 |  Estoril | 10 | 0-2-8 | 5:19 | 2 |
Recent matches
Sporting CP
Home and away
Sporting CP vs Moreirense: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Sporting CP: 3rd, 21 points from 10 matches (6W 3D 1L). Moreirense: 9th, 14 points (4W 2D 4L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Sporting CP 2.3 scored and 1.1 conceded, Moreirense 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Sporting CP: 6W 3D 1L, goals 23–11; Moreirense: 4W 2D 4L, goals 13–17.
- Head to head. Head to head over 24 meetings: Sporting CP 18 wins, Moreirense 1 win, plus 5 draws; goals 49–17.
What to expect
We make Sporting CP the favourites. The projected scoreline is 3–1, close to 4 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 2–0 (12.6%). We expect goals and an open game.
The result only pays 1.18, so the goals markets are an option too: Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.80), with a probability of 54% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 47% and over 2.5 goals is 66%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 24; Sporting CP 18 wins, 5 draws, Moreirense 1 win.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.8 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Sporting CP 23–11, Moreirense 13–17.
- Projected: close to 4 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 66%.
- Not available: Sporting CP 0, Moreirense 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: no
Other option: Both teams score: no (probability 53%, odds up to 1.75). We project close to 4 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Sporting CP: no absences. Not available for Moreirense: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Sporting CP vs Moreirense: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
Sporting CPWLWDDMoreirenseWWLDWSporting CP vs Moreirense: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Sporting CP vs Moreirense: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Sporting CP vs Moreirense?
On the result, our pick is Sporting CP to win (1.18); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.80). Prefer less risk? Go for Sporting CP or draw (1X).
Who will win Sporting CP vs Moreirense?
As we see it: Sporting CP to win 81%, the draw 12%, Moreirense to win 7%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
7 November 2026, 20:30, at Estádio José Alvalade, Lisbon.
Who will be missing?
Sporting CP: no absences. Moreirense: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 66% chance (odds 1.42), against 34% for under 2.5 (odds 2.86).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 47% (odds 2.00).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 2–0 (12.6%), 3–0 (11.6%), 1–0 (9.2%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.