Vitória SC v FC Porto takes place on 8 November 2026 · 18:00 at Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques (Guimarães). We back FC Porto (55%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.
Vitória SC vs FC Porto: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 5.03 | 3.78 | 1.76 |
| Market average | 5.03 | 3.78 | 1.76 |
| Lowest odds | 5.03 | 3.78 | 1.76 |
| Megapari | 5.25 | 3.76 | 1.68 |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 04:59. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 3.2%.
Megapari: prices for this match
Partner odds, refreshed 2/11/26, 12:56. A click takes you to this match at Megapari. 18+
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Vitória SC 0–1 FC Porto, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Vitória SC 13th (8 points), FC Porto 1st (30 points).
- Form in the competition: Vitória SC 2W 2D 5L (10:10), FC Porto 10W 0D 0L (25:4).
- H2H: 38 matches: Vitória SC 4W 5D 29L, goals 25–75.
- Absences: Vitória SC 0, FC Porto 0.
Who will win Vitória SC vs FC Porto?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Vitória SC vs FC Porto: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Most likely correct scores
Vitória SC vs FC Porto: injuries, suspensions, absences
Vitória SC
- No reported absences
FC Porto
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Vitória SC vs FC Porto: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 10-0-0 | 25:4 | 30 | |
| 2 | 9 | 7-1-1 | 26:8 | 22 | |
| 3 | 10 | 6-3-1 | 23:11 | 21 | |
| 4 | 10 | 6-3-1 | 15:6 | 21 | |
| 5 | 10 | 6-2-2 | 13:7 | 20 | |
| 6 | 10 | 6-2-2 | 15:12 | 20 | |
| 7 | 9 | 4-2-3 | 8:7 | 14 | |
| 8 | 10 | 4-2-4 | 12:11 | 14 | |
| 9 | 10 | 4-2-4 | 13:17 | 14 | |
| 10 | 9 | 3-2-4 | 13:13 | 11 | |
| 11 | 10 | 2-4-4 | 14:14 | 10 | |
| 12 | 10 | 2-4-4 | 15:19 | 10 | |
| 13 | 9 | 2-2-5 | 10:10 | 8 | |
| 14 | 10 | 2-2-6 | 9:21 | 8 | |
| 15 | 10 | 2-1-7 | 10:19 | 7 | |
| 16 | 10 | 2-1-7 | 9:23 | 7 | |
| 17 | 10 | 2-1-7 | 5:19 | 7 | |
| 18 | 10 | 0-2-8 | 5:19 | 2 |
Recent matches
Vitória SC
Home and away
Vitória SC vs FC Porto: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Vitória SC: 13th, 8 points from 9 matches (2W 2D 5L). FC Porto: 1st, 30 points (10W 0D 0L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Vitória SC 1.1 scored and 1.1 conceded, FC Porto 2.5 scored and 0.4 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Vitória SC: 2W 2D 5L, goals 10–10; FC Porto: 10W 0D 0L, goals 25–4.
- Head to head. Head to head over 38 meetings: Vitória SC 4 wins, FC Porto 29 wins, plus 5 draws; goals 25–75.
What to expect
We make FC Porto the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 0–1 (14.8%). We see a fairly level contest.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 38; Vitória SC 4 wins, 5 draws, FC Porto 29 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.6 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Vitória SC 10–10, FC Porto 25–4.
- Not available: Vitória SC 0, FC Porto 0.
Alternative tip: Draw
Other option: Draw (probability 26%, odds up to 3.78). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Vitória SC: no absences. Not available for FC Porto: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Vitória SC vs FC Porto: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
Vitória SC vs FC Porto: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Vitória SC vs FC Porto: common questions
Who will win Vitória SC vs FC Porto?
As we see it: Vitória SC to win 19%, the draw 26%, FC Porto to win 55%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
8 November 2026, 18:00, at Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques, Guimarães.
Who will be missing?
Vitória SC: no absences. FC Porto: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 0–1 (14.8%), 1–1 (11.8%), 0–2 (11.5%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
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