Bet with MINO CASINO →Estrela entertain Benfica on 8 November 2026 · 20:30 at Campo Municipal dos Prazeres (Amadora). Benfica (79%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
Estrela vs Benfica: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 12.80 | 7.48 | 1.22 |
| Market average | 12.80 | 7.48 | 1.22 |
| Lowest odds | 12.80 | 7.48 | 1.22 |
| Megapari | 14.50 | 7.40 | 1.18 |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 04:59. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 3.1%.
Megapari: prices for this match
Partner odds, refreshed 2/11/26, 15:11. A click takes you to this match at Megapari. 18+
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Estrela 0–2 Benfica, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Estrela 12th (10 points), Benfica 2nd (22 points).
- Form in the competition: Estrela 2W 4D 4L (15:19), Benfica 7W 1D 1L (26:8).
- H2H: 9 matches: Estrela 0W 0D 9L, goals 5–29.
- Absences: Estrela 0, Benfica 0.
Who will win Estrela vs Benfica?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Estrela vs Benfica: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Most likely correct scores
Estrela vs Benfica: injuries, suspensions, absences
Estrela
- No reported absences
Benfica
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Estrela vs Benfica: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 10 | 10-0-0 | 25:4 | 30 |
| 2 | Benfica | 9 | 7-1-1 | 26:8 | 22 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 10 | 6-3-1 | 23:11 | 21 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 10 | 6-3-1 | 15:6 | 21 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 10 | 6-2-2 | 13:7 | 20 |
| 6 |  Académico Viseu | 10 | 6-2-2 | 15:12 | 20 |
| 7 |  GIL Vicente | 9 | 4-2-3 | 8:7 | 14 |
| 8 |  SC Braga | 10 | 4-2-4 | 12:11 | 14 |
| 9 |  Moreirense | 10 | 4-2-4 | 13:17 | 14 |
| 10 |  Alverca | 9 | 3-2-4 | 13:13 | 11 |
| 11 |  Famalicão | 10 | 2-4-4 | 14:14 | 10 |
| 12 | Estrela | 10 | 2-4-4 | 15:19 | 10 |
| 13 |  Vitória SC | 9 | 2-2-5 | 10:10 | 8 |
| 14 |  Marítimo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 9:21 | 8 |
| 15 |  Nacional | 10 | 2-1-7 | 10:19 | 7 |
| 16 |  Rio Ave | 10 | 2-1-7 | 9:23 | 7 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 10 | 2-1-7 | 5:19 | 7 |
| 18 |  Estoril | 10 | 0-2-8 | 5:19 | 2 |
Recent matches
Estrela
Home and away
Estrela vs Benfica: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Estrela: 12th, 10 points from 10 matches (2W 4D 4L). Benfica: 2nd, 22 points (7W 1D 1L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Estrela 1.5 scored and 1.9 conceded, Benfica 2.9 scored and 0.9 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Estrela: 2W 4D 4L, goals 15–19; Benfica: 7W 1D 1L, goals 26–8.
- Head to head. Head to head over 9 meetings: Estrela 0 wins, Benfica 9 wins, plus 0 draws; goals 5–29.
What to expect
We make Benfica the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–3, close to 4 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 0–2 (10.6%). We expect goals and an open game.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 9; Estrela 0 wins, 0 draws, Benfica 9 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 3.8 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Estrela 15–19, Benfica 26–8.
- Not available: Estrela 0, Benfica 0.
Alternative tip: Draw
Other option: Draw (probability 13%, odds up to 7.48). We project close to 4 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Estrela: no absences. Not available for Benfica: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Estrela vs Benfica: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
EstrelaLLLLDBenficaWWLWWEstrela vs Benfica: head to head
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Estrela vs Benfica: common questions
Who will win Estrela vs Benfica?
As we see it: Estrela to win 8%, the draw 13%, Benfica to win 79%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
8 November 2026, 20:30, at Campo Municipal dos Prazeres, Amadora.
Who will be missing?
Estrela: no absences. Benfica: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 0–2 (10.6%), 0–3 (10.0%), 1–2 (8.4%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.