Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Toulouse entertain Estac Troyes on 25 October 2026 · 16:15 at Stadium Municipal (Toulouse), with Geoffrey Kubler the man in the middle. Toulouse (63%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
Toulouse vs Estac Troyes: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.57 | 4.70 | 6.50 |
| Market average | 1.52 | 4.47 | 6.11 |
| Lowest odds | 1.50 | 4.20 | 5.50 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.19 | 1.17 | 80.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.64 | 1.58 | 60.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.49 | 2.41 | 39.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.45 | 2.39 | 39.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.70 | 1.65 | 56.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.25 | 2.14 | 43.6% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 25/10/26, 13:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 4.6%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Toulouse 2–1 Estac Troyes, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Toulouse 11th (10 points), Estac Troyes 16th (8 points).
- Form in the competition: Toulouse 2W 3D 2L (12:11), Estac Troyes 1W 1D 5L (5:16).
- H2H: 12 matches: Toulouse 7W 5D 0L, goals 23–5.
- Absences: Toulouse 2, Estac Troyes 4.
Who will win Toulouse vs Estac Troyes?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Toulouse vs Estac Troyes: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Toulouse vs Estac Troyes: injuries, suspensions, absences
Toulouse
- M. Nifloreinjury · will miss the match
- S. Oppongcalf injury · will miss the match
Estac Troyes
- I. Bourahip injury · will miss the match
- Y. Koneknee injury · will miss the match
- A. Ouzenadjiknee injury · will miss the match
- Y. Titiabsence · will miss the match
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Toulouse vs Estac Troyes: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 6-2-1 | 21:10 | 20 |
| 2 |  Lille | 9 | 5-3-1 | 12:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  Lyon | 9 | 5-2-2 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 4 |  Paris FC | 9 | 5-2-2 | 16:10 | 17 |
| 5 |  Rennes | 9 | 5-1-3 | 20:19 | 16 |
| 6 |  Marseille | 9 | 5-0-4 | 20:13 | 15 |
| 7 |  Monaco | 9 | 4-3-2 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Nice | 9 | 4-2-3 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 9 |  Lens | 9 | 4-1-4 | 16:13 | 13 |
| 10 |  Lorient | 8 | 3-3-2 | 7:6 | 12 |
| 11 | Toulouse | 9 | 2-4-3 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 12 |  Strasbourg | 9 | 3-1-5 | 17:19 | 10 |
| 13 |  Auxerre | 9 | 3-1-5 | 13:23 | 10 |
| 14 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 14:12 | 9 |
| 15 |  Angers | 9 | 2-2-5 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 16 | Estac Troyes | 9 | 2-2-5 | 7:16 | 8 |
| 17 |  Le Mans | 9 | 1-4-4 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 9 | 0-2-7 | 9:20 | 2 |
Recent matches
Toulouse
Home and away
Toulouse vs Estac Troyes: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Toulouse: 11th, 10 points from 9 matches (2W 4D 3L). Estac Troyes: 16th, 8 points (2W 2D 5L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Toulouse 1.7 scored and 1.6 conceded, Estac Troyes 0.7 scored and 2.3 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Toulouse: 2W 3D 2L, goals 12–11; Estac Troyes: 1W 1D 5L, goals 5–16.
- Head to head. Head to head over 12 meetings: Toulouse 7 wins, Estac Troyes 0 wins, plus 5 draws; goals 23–5.
What to expect
We make Toulouse the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 2–1 (9.9%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.61), with a probability of 60% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 56% and over 2.5 goals is 60%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 12; Toulouse 7 wins, 5 draws, Estac Troyes 0 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.3 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Toulouse 12–11, Estac Troyes 5–16.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 60%.
- Not available: Toulouse 2, Estac Troyes 4.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Other option: Over 2.5 goals (probability 60%, odds up to 1.64). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Toulouse: M. Niflore, S. Oppong. Not available for Estac Troyes: I. Boura, Y. Kone, A. Ouzenadji, Y. Titi. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Toulouse vs Estac Troyes: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
ToulouseLDWDWEstac TroyesWDLLLToulouse vs Estac Troyes: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Toulouse vs Estac Troyes: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Toulouse vs Estac Troyes?
On the result, our pick is Toulouse to win (1.57); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.61). Prefer less risk? Go for Toulouse or draw (1X).
Who will win Toulouse vs Estac Troyes?
As we see it: Toulouse to win 63%, the draw 21%, Estac Troyes to win 16%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
25 October 2026, 16:15, at Stadium Municipal, Toulouse. Referee: Geoffrey Kubler.
Who will be missing?
Toulouse: M. Niflore, S. Oppong. Estac Troyes: I. Boura, Y. Kone, A. Ouzenadji, Y. Titi. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 60% chance (odds 1.64), against 40% for under 2.5 (odds 2.49).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 56% (odds 1.70).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 2–1 (9.9%), 2–0 (9.9%), 1–1 (9.5%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.