Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Le Mans entertain Toulouse on 16 October 2026 · 19:45 at Stade Marie-Marvingt (Le Mans), with A. Petit the man in the middle. We do not see a favourite here. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
Le Mans vs Toulouse: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 3.21 | 3.70 | 2.31 |
| Market average | 3.13 | 3.59 | 2.25 |
| Lowest odds | 3.00 | 3.40 | 2.20 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.18 | 1.17 | 79.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.70 | 1.64 | 58.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.38 | 2.28 | 41.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.67 | 2.50 | 37.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.55 | 1.51 | 61.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.50 | 2.42 | 38.5% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 16/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 4.5%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Le Mans 1–1 Toulouse, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Le Mans 17th (7 points), Toulouse 11th (10 points).
- Absences: Le Mans 0, Toulouse 0.
Who will win Le Mans vs Toulouse?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Le Mans vs Toulouse: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
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Most likely correct scores
Le Mans vs Toulouse: injuries, suspensions, absences
Le Mans
- No reported absences
Toulouse
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Le Mans vs Toulouse: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 6-2-1 | 21:10 | 20 |
| 2 |  Lille | 9 | 5-3-1 | 12:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  Lyon | 9 | 5-2-2 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 4 |  Paris FC | 9 | 5-2-2 | 16:10 | 17 |
| 5 |  Rennes | 9 | 5-1-3 | 20:19 | 16 |
| 6 |  Marseille | 9 | 5-0-4 | 20:13 | 15 |
| 7 |  Monaco | 9 | 4-3-2 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Nice | 9 | 4-2-3 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 9 |  Lens | 9 | 4-1-4 | 16:13 | 13 |
| 10 |  Lorient | 8 | 3-3-2 | 7:6 | 12 |
| 11 | Toulouse | 9 | 2-4-3 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 12 |  Strasbourg | 9 | 3-1-5 | 17:19 | 10 |
| 13 |  Auxerre | 9 | 3-1-5 | 13:23 | 10 |
| 14 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 14:12 | 9 |
| 15 |  Angers | 9 | 2-2-5 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 16 |  Estac Troyes | 9 | 2-2-5 | 7:16 | 8 |
| 17 | Le Mans | 9 | 1-4-4 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 9 | 0-2-7 | 9:20 | 2 |
Recent matches
Le Mans
Home and away
Le Mans vs Toulouse: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Le Mans: 17th, 7 points from 9 matches (1W 4D 4L). Toulouse: 11th, 10 points (2W 4D 3L).
What to expect
We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (11.3%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.57), with a probability of 62% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 62% and over 2.5 goals is 58%.
Main points of the prediction
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 58%.
- Not available: Le Mans 0, Toulouse 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 62%, odds up to 1.55). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Le Mans: no absences. Not available for Toulouse: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
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Le Mans vs Toulouse: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Le Mans vs Toulouse?
On the result, our pick is Draw or Toulouse (X2) (1.40); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.57). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Toulouse (X2).
Who will win Le Mans vs Toulouse?
As we see it: Le Mans to win 31%, the draw 27%, Toulouse to win 43%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
16 October 2026, 19:45, at Stade Marie-Marvingt, Le Mans. Referee: A. Petit.
Who will be missing?
Le Mans: no absences. Toulouse: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 58% chance (odds 1.70), against 42% for under 2.5 (odds 2.38).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 62% (odds 1.55).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (11.3%), 1–2 (9.0%), 0–1 (8.4%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
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18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.