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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 10 · 6 November 2026 · 19:45

Toulouse vs Strasbourg tip, odds and prediction, 6 November 2026, Ligue 1

VS
1Toulouse2.11
XDraw3.98
2Strasbourg3.51

Top odds available · Updated 2/11/26, 08:31

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Toulouse v Strasbourg takes place on 6 November 2026 · 19:45 at Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse). We back Toulouse (46%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.

Toulouse vs Strasbourg: tip and prediction
Result
Toulouse to win
2.11
Goals
Both teams to score
1.55
46%chance of the result
62%goals tip: chance
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Toulouse or draw (1X) – probability 71%, odds up to 1.36.

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Toulouse vs Strasbourg: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available2.113.983.51
Market average2.063.783.32
Lowest odds2.003.603.20
Megapari2.093.993.51
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.201.1780.2%
Over 2.5 goals1.661.6059.4%
Under 2.5 goals2.422.3440.6%
Over 3.5 goals2.542.4638.4%
BTTS – yes1.551.5161.7%
BTTS – no2.502.4438.3%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 08:31. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.3%.

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Megapari: prices for this match

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Partner odds, refreshed 2/11/26, 14:46. A click takes you to this match at Megapari. 18+

Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Toulouse 1–1 Strasbourg, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Toulouse 11th (10 points), Strasbourg 12th (10 points).
  • Form in the competition: Toulouse 2W 4D 2L (12:11), Strasbourg 3W 1D 5L (17:19).
  • H2H: 14 matches: Toulouse 3W 4D 7L, goals 16–22.
  • Absences: Toulouse 0, Strasbourg 0.

Who will win Toulouse vs Strasbourg?

Toulouse46%
Draw25%
Strasbourg29%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Toulouse vs Strasbourg: more betting markets

Over 1.5 goals80.2% · fair odds 1.25 · best 1.20
Likely
Toulouse or draw (1X)71.4% · fair odds 1.40 · best 1.36
Likely
Both teams score: yes61.7% · fair odds 1.62 · best 1.55
Likely
Under 3.5 goals61.6% · fair odds 1.62 · best 1.57
Likely
Over 2.5 goals59.4% · fair odds 1.68 · best 1.66
Possible
Toulouse to win46.2% · fair odds 2.16 · best 2.11
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals40.6% · fair odds 2.46 · best 2.42
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals38.4% · fair odds 2.60 · best 2.54
Outsider
Both teams score: no38.3% · fair odds 2.61 · best 2.50
Outsider
Strasbourg to win28.6% · fair odds 3.49 · best 3.51
Outsider
Draw25.2% · fair odds 3.97 · best 3.98
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 8.5 corners
Over 1.83 · Under 1.95
probability of over 51.6%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 110.6%
2 : 19.3%
1 : 07.9%
1 : 27.2%
2 : 06.9%
2 : 26.3%

Toulouse vs Strasbourg: injuries, suspensions, absences

Toulouse

  • No reported absences

Strasbourg

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Toulouse vs Strasbourg: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Paris Saint Germain96-2-121:1020
2Lille95-3-112:618
3Lyon95-2-215:717
4Paris FC95-2-216:1017
5Rennes95-1-320:1916
6Marseille95-0-420:1315
7Monaco94-3-212:1015
8Nice94-2-313:1214
9Lens94-1-416:1313
10Lorient83-3-27:612
11Toulouse92-4-312:1310
12Strasbourg93-1-517:1910
13Auxerre93-1-513:2310
14Stade Brestois 2982-3-314:129
15Angers92-2-59:178
16Estac Troyes92-2-57:168
17Le Mans91-4-411:187
18Le Havre90-2-79:202

Recent matches

Toulouse

1 NovLMarseille 2–0 Toulouse
25 OctDToulouse 0–0 Estac Troyes
16 OctWLe Mans 0–3 Toulouse
10 OctDMonaco 2–2 Toulouse
19 SeptWToulouse 3–2 Le Havre

Strasbourg

1 NovWStrasbourg 5–1 Auxerre
25 OctLRennes 3–0 Strasbourg
17 OctLStrasbourg 1–3 Paris Saint Germain
11 OctLNice 2–1 Strasbourg
19 SeptLParis FC 2–1 Strasbourg

Home and away

Toulouse at home4 matches: 1W 1D 2L, goals 3–5
Strasbourg away5 matches: 1W 0D 4L, goals 8–13

Toulouse vs Strasbourg: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Toulouse: 11th, 10 points from 9 matches (2W 4D 3L). Strasbourg: 12th, 10 points (3W 1D 5L).
  2. Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Toulouse 1.5 scored and 1.4 conceded, Strasbourg 1.9 scored and 2.1 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Toulouse: 2W 4D 2L, goals 12–11; Strasbourg: 3W 1D 5L, goals 17–19.
  4. Head to head. Head to head over 14 meetings: Toulouse 3 wins, Strasbourg 7 wins, plus 4 draws; goals 16–22.

What to expect

We make Toulouse the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (10.6%). We expect goals and an open game.

On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.55), with a probability of 62% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 62% and over 2.5 goals is 59%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 14; Toulouse 3 wins, 4 draws, Strasbourg 7 wins.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 2.7 per match.
  3. This competition, scored–conceded: Toulouse 12–11, Strasbourg 17–19.
  4. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 59%.
  5. Not available: Toulouse 0, Strasbourg 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 62%, odds up to 1.55). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Toulouse: no absences. Not available for Strasbourg: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Toulouse vs Strasbourg: the numbers side by side

ToulouseStrasbourg
75%Form25%
56%Attack44%
65%Defence35%
50%Head to head50%
50%Goals50%
56.7%Overall43.3%

Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.

Form in the competition

ToulouseLDWDW
StrasbourgWLLLL

Toulouse vs Strasbourg: head to head

All matches
3Toulouse
4Draws
7Strasbourg
3/5/26 · Strasbourg 1–2 Toulouse
6/12/25 · Toulouse 1–0 Strasbourg
16/3/25 · Strasbourg 2–1 Toulouse
12/1/25 · Toulouse 1–2 Strasbourg
7/4/24 · Toulouse 0–0 Strasbourg
27/8/23 · Strasbourg 2–0 Toulouse

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin5.3%

Toulouse vs Strasbourg: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Toulouse vs Strasbourg?

On the result, our pick is Toulouse to win (2.11); on goals, Both teams to score (1.55). Prefer less risk? Go for Toulouse or draw (1X).

Who will win Toulouse vs Strasbourg?

As we see it: Toulouse to win 46%, the draw 25%, Strasbourg to win 29%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

6 November 2026, 19:45, at Stadium de Toulouse, Toulouse.

Who will be missing?

Toulouse: no absences. Strasbourg: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 59% chance (odds 1.66), against 41% for under 2.5 (odds 2.42).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 62% (odds 1.55).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–1 (10.6%), 2–1 (9.3%), 1–0 (7.9%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29 2 NovAuxerre vs Paris FC 7 NovParis Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes 7 NovRennes vs Lille 8 NovAngers vs Nice 8 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.