Auxerre and Paris FC meet on 7 November 2026 · 16:15 at Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps (Auxerre). Paris FC (52%) are favourites in our book. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.
Auxerre vs Paris FC: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 4.30 | 4.07 | 1.87 |
| Market average | 4.12 | 3.84 | 1.81 |
| Lowest odds | 3.90 | 3.70 | 1.75 |
| Megapari | 4.31 | 4.04 | 1.87 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.24 | 1.21 | 77.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.77 | 1.72 | 55.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.22 | 2.14 | 44.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.78 | 2.71 | 34.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.64 | 56.6% |
| BTTS – no | 2.20 | 2.15 | 43.4% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 08:31. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.5%.
Megapari: prices for this match
Partner odds, refreshed 2/11/26, 14:46. A click takes you to this match at Megapari. 18+
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Auxerre 1–1 Paris FC, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Auxerre 13th (10 points), Paris FC 4th (17 points).
- Form in the competition: Auxerre 3W 1D 5L (13:23), Paris FC 5W 2D 2L (16:10).
- H2H: 15 matches: Auxerre 4W 6D 5L, goals 16–16.
- Absences: Auxerre 0, Paris FC 0.
Who will win Auxerre vs Paris FC?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Auxerre vs Paris FC: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Auxerre vs Paris FC: injuries, suspensions, absences
Auxerre
- No reported absences
Paris FC
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Auxerre vs Paris FC: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 6-2-1 | 21:10 | 20 | |
| 2 | 9 | 5-3-1 | 12:6 | 18 | |
| 3 | 9 | 5-2-2 | 15:7 | 17 | |
| 4 | 9 | 5-2-2 | 16:10 | 17 | |
| 5 | 9 | 5-1-3 | 20:19 | 16 | |
| 6 | 9 | 5-0-4 | 20:13 | 15 | |
| 7 | 9 | 4-3-2 | 12:10 | 15 | |
| 8 | 9 | 4-2-3 | 13:12 | 14 | |
| 9 | 9 | 4-1-4 | 16:13 | 13 | |
| 10 | 8 | 3-3-2 | 7:6 | 12 | |
| 11 | 9 | 2-4-3 | 12:13 | 10 | |
| 12 | 9 | 3-1-5 | 17:19 | 10 | |
| 13 | 9 | 3-1-5 | 13:23 | 10 | |
| 14 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 14:12 | 9 | |
| 15 | 9 | 2-2-5 | 9:17 | 8 | |
| 16 | 9 | 2-2-5 | 7:16 | 8 | |
| 17 | 9 | 1-4-4 | 11:18 | 7 | |
| 18 | 9 | 0-2-7 | 9:20 | 2 |
Recent matches
Auxerre
Home and away
Auxerre vs Paris FC: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Auxerre: 13th, 10 points from 9 matches (3W 1D 5L). Paris FC: 4th, 17 points (5W 2D 2L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Auxerre 1.4 scored and 2.6 conceded, Paris FC 1.8 scored and 1.1 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Auxerre: 3W 1D 5L, goals 13–23; Paris FC: 5W 2D 2L, goals 16–10.
- Head to head. Head to head over 15 meetings: Auxerre 4 wins, Paris FC 5 wins, plus 6 draws; goals 16–16.
What to expect
We make Paris FC the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (11.1%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.47), with a probability of 65% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 57% and over 2.5 goals is 55%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 15; Auxerre 4 wins, 6 draws, Paris FC 5 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.1 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Auxerre 13–23, Paris FC 16–10.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 55%.
- Not available: Auxerre 0, Paris FC 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 57%, odds up to 1.67). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Auxerre: no absences. Not available for Paris FC: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Auxerre vs Paris FC: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
Auxerre vs Paris FC: head to head
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Auxerre vs Paris FC: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Auxerre vs Paris FC?
On the result, our pick is Paris FC to win (1.87); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.47). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Paris FC (X2).
Who will win Auxerre vs Paris FC?
As we see it: Auxerre to win 23%, the draw 25%, Paris FC to win 52%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
7 November 2026, 16:15, at Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps, Auxerre.
Who will be missing?
Auxerre: no absences. Paris FC: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 55% chance (odds 1.77), against 45% for under 2.5 (odds 2.22).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 57% (odds 1.67).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (11.1%), 0–1 (10.1%), 1–2 (9.7%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
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