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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 10 · 7 November 2026 · 16:15

Auxerre vs Paris FC tip, odds and prediction, 7 November 2026, Ligue 1

LDWLW
VS
1Auxerre4.30
XDraw4.07
2Paris FC1.87

Top odds available · Updated 2/11/26, 08:31

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Auxerre and Paris FC meet on 7 November 2026 · 16:15 at Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps (Auxerre). Paris FC (52%) are favourites in our book. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.

Auxerre vs Paris FC: tip and prediction
Result
Paris FC to win
1.87
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.47
Combo
Paris FC & over 2.5 goals
2.98
34% · fair combo odds
52%chance of the result
65%goals tip: chance
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Paris FC (X2) – probability 77%, odds up to 1.26.

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Auxerre vs Paris FC: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available4.304.071.87
Market average4.123.841.81
Lowest odds3.903.701.75
Megapari4.314.041.87
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.241.2177.2%
Over 2.5 goals1.771.7255.5%
Under 2.5 goals2.222.1444.5%
Over 3.5 goals2.782.7134.8%
BTTS – yes1.671.6456.6%
BTTS – no2.202.1543.4%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 08:31. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.5%.

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Megapari: prices for this match

Bet with Megapari →

Partner odds, refreshed 2/11/26, 14:46. A click takes you to this match at Megapari. 18+

Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Auxerre 1–1 Paris FC, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Auxerre 13th (10 points), Paris FC 4th (17 points).
  • Form in the competition: Auxerre 3W 1D 5L (13:23), Paris FC 5W 2D 2L (16:10).
  • H2H: 15 matches: Auxerre 4W 6D 5L, goals 16–16.
  • Absences: Auxerre 0, Paris FC 0.

Who will win Auxerre vs Paris FC?

Auxerre23%
Draw25%
Paris FC52%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Auxerre vs Paris FC: more betting markets

Over 1.5 goals77.2% · fair odds 1.30 · best 1.24
Likely
Draw or Paris FC (X2)77.0% · fair odds 1.30 · best 1.26
Likely
Under 3.5 goals65.2% · fair odds 1.53 · best 1.47
Likely
Both teams score: yes56.6% · fair odds 1.77 · best 1.67
Possible
Over 2.5 goals55.5% · fair odds 1.80 · best 1.77
Possible
Paris FC to win52.3% · fair odds 1.91 · best 1.87
Possible
Under 2.5 goals44.5% · fair odds 2.25 · best 2.22
Outsider
Both teams score: no43.4% · fair odds 2.30 · best 2.20
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals34.8% · fair odds 2.87 · best 2.78
Outsider
Draw24.7% · fair odds 4.05 · best 4.07
Outsider
Auxerre to win23.0% · fair odds 4.34 · best 4.30
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.89 · Under 1.89
probability of over 50.0%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 111.1%
0 : 110.1%
1 : 29.7%
0 : 28.9%
1 : 06.4%
2 : 16.1%

Auxerre vs Paris FC: injuries, suspensions, absences

Auxerre

  • No reported absences

Paris FC

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Auxerre vs Paris FC: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Paris Saint Germain96-2-121:1020
2Lille95-3-112:618
3Lyon95-2-215:717
4Paris FC95-2-216:1017
5Rennes95-1-320:1916
6Marseille95-0-420:1315
7Monaco94-3-212:1015
8Nice94-2-313:1214
9Lens94-1-416:1313
10Lorient83-3-27:612
11Toulouse92-4-312:1310
12Strasbourg93-1-517:1910
13Auxerre93-1-513:2310
14Stade Brestois 2982-3-314:129
15Angers92-2-59:178
16Estac Troyes92-2-57:168
17Le Mans91-4-411:187
18Le Havre90-2-79:202

Recent matches

Auxerre

1 NovLStrasbourg 5–1 Auxerre
25 OctDAuxerre 1–1 Le Mans
18 OctWLe Havre 1–3 Auxerre
11 OctLRennes 4–1 Auxerre
20 SeptWAuxerre 2–1 Stade Brestois 29

Paris FC

1 NovWParis FC 3–1 Monaco
24 OctLLens 2–1 Paris FC
18 OctWParis FC 4–3 Rennes
10 OctLLorient 1–0 Paris FC
19 SeptWParis FC 2–1 Strasbourg

Home and away

Auxerre at home4 matches: 2W 1D 1L, goals 5–5
Paris FC away4 matches: 1W 1D 2L, goals 4–5

Auxerre vs Paris FC: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Auxerre: 13th, 10 points from 9 matches (3W 1D 5L). Paris FC: 4th, 17 points (5W 2D 2L).
  2. Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Auxerre 1.4 scored and 2.6 conceded, Paris FC 1.8 scored and 1.1 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Auxerre: 3W 1D 5L, goals 13–23; Paris FC: 5W 2D 2L, goals 16–10.
  4. Head to head. Head to head over 15 meetings: Auxerre 4 wins, Paris FC 5 wins, plus 6 draws; goals 16–16.

What to expect

We make Paris FC the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (11.1%). We expect goals and an open game.

On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.47), with a probability of 65% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 57% and over 2.5 goals is 55%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 15; Auxerre 4 wins, 6 draws, Paris FC 5 wins.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 2.1 per match.
  3. This competition, scored–conceded: Auxerre 13–23, Paris FC 16–10.
  4. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 55%.
  5. Not available: Auxerre 0, Paris FC 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 57%, odds up to 1.67). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Auxerre: no absences. Not available for Paris FC: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Auxerre vs Paris FC: the numbers side by side

AuxerreParis FC
44%Form56%
44%Attack56%
40%Defence60%
75%Head to head25%
83%Goals17%
55.8%Overall44.2%

Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.

Form in the competition

AuxerreLDWLW
Paris FCWLWLW

Auxerre vs Paris FC: head to head

All matches
4Auxerre
6Draws
5Paris FC
8/2/26 · Auxerre 0–0 Paris FC
29/11/25 · Paris FC 1–1 Auxerre
4/5/24 · Auxerre 2–0 Paris FC
7/10/23 · Paris FC 0–2 Auxerre
1/2/22 · Auxerre 1–2 Paris FC
16/8/21 · Paris FC 1–1 Auxerre

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin5.5%

Auxerre vs Paris FC: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Auxerre vs Paris FC?

On the result, our pick is Paris FC to win (1.87); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.47). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Paris FC (X2).

Who will win Auxerre vs Paris FC?

As we see it: Auxerre to win 23%, the draw 25%, Paris FC to win 52%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

7 November 2026, 16:15, at Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps, Auxerre.

Who will be missing?

Auxerre: no absences. Paris FC: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 55% chance (odds 1.77), against 45% for under 2.5 (odds 2.22).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 57% (odds 1.67).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–1 (11.1%), 0–1 (10.1%), 1–2 (9.7%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29 2 NovToulouse vs Strasbourg 6 NovParis Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes 7 NovRennes vs Lille 8 NovAngers vs Nice 8 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.