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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 9 · 31 October 2026 · 19:45

Estac Troyes vs Le Mans tip, odds and prediction, 31 October 2026, Ligue 1

2–0
LDLLW
1Estac Troyes2.30
XDraw3.50
2Le Mans3.54

Top odds available · Updated 31/10/26, 17:09

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Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Estac Troyes and Le Mans meet on 31 October 2026 · 19:45 at Stade de l'Aube (Troyes), under referee Azzedine Souifi. We see an evenly balanced game. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.

Estac Troyes vs Le Mans: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
Estac Troyes or draw (1X)
1.35
Goals
Both teams to score
1.80
72%chance of the result
54%goals tip: chance
1–1likely score
≈ 2 goalstotal in the match

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Estac Troyes vs Le Mans: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available2.303.503.54
Market average2.193.343.35
Lowest odds2.153.082.70
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.321.3072.3%
Over 2.5 goals2.001.9349.5%
Under 2.5 goals1.981.8950.5%
Over 3.5 goals3.403.2528.9%
BTTS – yes1.801.7354.1%
BTTS – no2.152.0345.9%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 31/10/26, 17:09. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.6%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Estac Troyes 1–1 Le Mans, roughly 2 goals in total.
  • Table: Estac Troyes 16th (8 points), Le Mans 17th (7 points).
  • Form in the competition: Estac Troyes 1W 2D 5L (5:16), Le Mans 1W 4D 3L (11:16).
  • H2H: 8 matches: Estac Troyes 3W 2D 3L, goals 9–9.
  • Absences: Estac Troyes 2, Le Mans 3.

Who will win Estac Troyes vs Le Mans?

Estac Troyes43%
Draw28%
Le Mans28%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Estac Troyes vs Le Mans: more betting markets

Over 1.5 goals72.3% · fair odds 1.38 · best 1.32
Likely
Estac Troyes or draw (1X)71.7% · fair odds 1.40 · best 1.35
Likely
Under 3.5 goals71.1% · fair odds 1.41 · best 1.35
Likely
Both teams score: yes54.1% · fair odds 1.85 · best 1.80
Possible
Under 2.5 goals50.5% · fair odds 1.98 · best 1.98
Possible
Over 2.5 goals49.5% · fair odds 2.02 · best 2.00
Outsider
Both teams score: no45.9% · fair odds 2.18 · best 2.15
Outsider
Estac Troyes to win43.2% · fair odds 2.31 · best 2.30
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals28.9% · fair odds 3.46 · best 3.40
Outsider
Draw28.4% · fair odds 3.52 · best 3.50
Outsider
Le Mans to win28.3% · fair odds 3.53 · best 3.54
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 8.5 corners
Over 1.72 · Under 2.03
probability of over 54.2%
Cardsline 3.5 cards
Over 1.66 · Under 2.19
probability of over 56.9%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 112.4%
1 : 010.8%
2 : 19.0%
0 : 18.5%
2 : 07.8%
0 : 07.4%

Estac Troyes vs Le Mans: injuries, suspensions, absences

Estac Troyes

  • Y. Koneknee injury · will miss the match
  • A. Ouzenadjiknee injury · will miss the match

Le Mans

  • A. Bourabaaankle injury · will miss the match
  • E. Colasinjury · will miss the match
  • D. Sidibefoot injury · will miss the match

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Estac Troyes vs Le Mans: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Paris Saint Germain96-2-121:1020
2Lille95-3-112:618
3Lyon95-2-215:717
4Paris FC95-2-216:1017
5Rennes95-1-320:1916
6Marseille95-0-420:1315
7Monaco94-3-212:1015
8Nice94-2-313:1214
9Lens94-1-416:1313
10Lorient83-3-27:612
11Toulouse92-4-312:1310
12Strasbourg93-1-517:1910
13Auxerre93-1-513:2310
14Stade Brestois 2982-3-314:129
15Angers92-2-59:178
16Estac Troyes92-2-57:168
17Le Mans91-4-411:187
18Le Havre90-2-79:202

Recent matches

Estac Troyes

31 OctWEstac Troyes 2–0 Le Mans
25 OctDToulouse 0–0 Estac Troyes
17 OctLEstac Troyes 1–3 Lens
11 OctLEstac Troyes 0–2 Marseille
19 SeptLAngers 2–0 Estac Troyes

Le Mans

31 OctLEstac Troyes 2–0 Le Mans
25 OctDAuxerre 1–1 Le Mans
16 OctLLe Mans 0–3 Toulouse
10 OctLParis Saint Germain 3–1 Le Mans
19 SeptWLe Mans 2–1 Lorient

Home and away

Estac Troyes at home5 matches: 1W 1D 3L, goals 5–11
Le Mans away5 matches: 0W 2D 3L, goals 5–10

Estac Troyes vs Le Mans: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Estac Troyes: 16th, 8 points from 9 matches (2W 2D 5L). Le Mans: 17th, 7 points (1W 4D 4L).
  2. Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Estac Troyes 0.6 scored and 2.0 conceded, Le Mans 1.4 scored and 2.0 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Estac Troyes: 1W 2D 5L, goals 5–16; Le Mans: 1W 4D 3L, goals 11–16.
  4. Head to head. Head to head over 8 meetings: Estac Troyes 3 wins, Le Mans 3 wins, plus 2 draws; goals 9–9.

What to expect

We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 1–1, close to 2 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (12.4%). We see a fairly level contest.

On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.80), with a probability of 54% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 54% and over 2.5 goals is 49%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 8; Estac Troyes 3 wins, 2 draws, Le Mans 3 wins.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 2.3 per match.
  3. This competition, scored–conceded: Estac Troyes 5–16, Le Mans 11–16.
  4. Projected: close to 2 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 49%.
  5. Not available: Estac Troyes 2, Le Mans 3.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 54%, odds up to 1.80). We project close to 2 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Estac Troyes: Y. Kone, A. Ouzenadji. Not available for Le Mans: A. Bourabaa, E. Colas, D. Sidibe. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Estac Troyes vs Le Mans: the numbers side by side

Estac TroyesLe Mans
17%Form83%
14%Attack86%
53%Defence47%
62%Head to head38%
50%Goals50%
37.2%Overall62.8%

Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.

Form in the competition

Estac TroyesWDLLL
Le MansLDLLW

Estac Troyes vs Le Mans: head to head

All matches
3Estac Troyes
2Draws
3Le Mans
31/10/26 · Estac Troyes 2–0 Le Mans
31/1/26 · Estac Troyes 0–2 Le Mans
3/10/25 · Le Mans 2–2 Estac Troyes
18/10/19 · Estac Troyes 2–1 Le Mans
24/2/12 · Estac Troyes 2–1 Le Mans
26/9/11 · Le Mans 1–1 Estac Troyes

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin5.6%

Estac Troyes vs Le Mans: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Estac Troyes vs Le Mans?

On the result, our pick is Estac Troyes or draw (1X) (1.35); on goals, Both teams to score (1.80). Prefer less risk? Go for Estac Troyes or draw (1X).

Who will win Estac Troyes vs Le Mans?

As we see it: Estac Troyes to win 43%, the draw 28%, Le Mans to win 28%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

31 October 2026, 19:45, at Stade de l'Aube, Troyes. Referee: Azzedine Souifi.

Who will be missing?

Estac Troyes: Y. Kone, A. Ouzenadji. Le Mans: A. Bourabaa, E. Colas, D. Sidibe. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 49% chance (odds 2.00), against 51% for under 2.5 (odds 1.98).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 54% (odds 1.80).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–1 (12.4%), 1–0 (10.8%), 2–1 (9.0%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29 2 NovToulouse vs Strasbourg 6 NovAuxerre vs Paris FC 7 NovParis Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes 7 NovRennes vs Lille 8 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.