Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Estac Troyes and Le Mans meet on 31 October 2026 · 19:45 at Stade de l'Aube (Troyes), under referee Azzedine Souifi. We see an evenly balanced game. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.
Estac Troyes vs Le Mans: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 2.30 | 3.50 | 3.54 |
| Market average | 2.19 | 3.34 | 3.35 |
| Lowest odds | 2.15 | 3.08 | 2.70 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.32 | 1.30 | 72.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.00 | 1.93 | 49.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.98 | 1.89 | 50.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.40 | 3.25 | 28.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.73 | 54.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.15 | 2.03 | 45.9% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 31/10/26, 17:09. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.6%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Estac Troyes 1–1 Le Mans, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Estac Troyes 16th (8 points), Le Mans 17th (7 points).
- Form in the competition: Estac Troyes 1W 2D 5L (5:16), Le Mans 1W 4D 3L (11:16).
- H2H: 8 matches: Estac Troyes 3W 2D 3L, goals 9–9.
- Absences: Estac Troyes 2, Le Mans 3.
Who will win Estac Troyes vs Le Mans?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Estac Troyes vs Le Mans: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Estac Troyes vs Le Mans: injuries, suspensions, absences
Estac Troyes
- Y. Koneknee injury · will miss the match
- A. Ouzenadjiknee injury · will miss the match
Le Mans
- A. Bourabaaankle injury · will miss the match
- E. Colasinjury · will miss the match
- D. Sidibefoot injury · will miss the match
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Estac Troyes vs Le Mans: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 6-2-1 | 21:10 | 20 | |
| 2 | 9 | 5-3-1 | 12:6 | 18 | |
| 3 | 9 | 5-2-2 | 15:7 | 17 | |
| 4 | 9 | 5-2-2 | 16:10 | 17 | |
| 5 | 9 | 5-1-3 | 20:19 | 16 | |
| 6 | 9 | 5-0-4 | 20:13 | 15 | |
| 7 | 9 | 4-3-2 | 12:10 | 15 | |
| 8 | 9 | 4-2-3 | 13:12 | 14 | |
| 9 | 9 | 4-1-4 | 16:13 | 13 | |
| 10 | 8 | 3-3-2 | 7:6 | 12 | |
| 11 | 9 | 2-4-3 | 12:13 | 10 | |
| 12 | 9 | 3-1-5 | 17:19 | 10 | |
| 13 | 9 | 3-1-5 | 13:23 | 10 | |
| 14 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 14:12 | 9 | |
| 15 | 9 | 2-2-5 | 9:17 | 8 | |
| 16 | 9 | 2-2-5 | 7:16 | 8 | |
| 17 | 9 | 1-4-4 | 11:18 | 7 | |
| 18 | 9 | 0-2-7 | 9:20 | 2 |
Recent matches
Estac Troyes
Home and away
Estac Troyes vs Le Mans: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Estac Troyes: 16th, 8 points from 9 matches (2W 2D 5L). Le Mans: 17th, 7 points (1W 4D 4L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Estac Troyes 0.6 scored and 2.0 conceded, Le Mans 1.4 scored and 2.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Estac Troyes: 1W 2D 5L, goals 5–16; Le Mans: 1W 4D 3L, goals 11–16.
- Head to head. Head to head over 8 meetings: Estac Troyes 3 wins, Le Mans 3 wins, plus 2 draws; goals 9–9.
What to expect
We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 1–1, close to 2 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (12.4%). We see a fairly level contest.
On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.80), with a probability of 54% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 54% and over 2.5 goals is 49%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 8; Estac Troyes 3 wins, 2 draws, Le Mans 3 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.3 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Estac Troyes 5–16, Le Mans 11–16.
- Projected: close to 2 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 49%.
- Not available: Estac Troyes 2, Le Mans 3.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 54%, odds up to 1.80). We project close to 2 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Estac Troyes: Y. Kone, A. Ouzenadji. Not available for Le Mans: A. Bourabaa, E. Colas, D. Sidibe. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Estac Troyes vs Le Mans: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
Estac Troyes vs Le Mans: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Estac Troyes vs Le Mans: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Estac Troyes vs Le Mans?
On the result, our pick is Estac Troyes or draw (1X) (1.35); on goals, Both teams to score (1.80). Prefer less risk? Go for Estac Troyes or draw (1X).
Who will win Estac Troyes vs Le Mans?
As we see it: Estac Troyes to win 43%, the draw 28%, Le Mans to win 28%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
31 October 2026, 19:45, at Stade de l'Aube, Troyes. Referee: Azzedine Souifi.
Who will be missing?
Estac Troyes: Y. Kone, A. Ouzenadji. Le Mans: A. Bourabaa, E. Colas, D. Sidibe. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 49% chance (odds 2.00), against 51% for under 2.5 (odds 1.98).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 54% (odds 1.80).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (12.4%), 1–0 (10.8%), 2–1 (9.0%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.
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