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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 9 · 2 November 2026 · 19:45

Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29 tip, odds and prediction, 2 November 2026, Ligue 1

1Lorient2.56
XDraw3.39
2Stade Brestois 293.10

Top odds available · Updated 2/11/26, 08:31

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Lorient and Stade Brestois 29 meet on 2 November 2026 · 19:45 at Stade du Moustoir (Lorient), under referee Jeremie Pignard. We see an evenly balanced game. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.

Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
Lorient or draw (1X)
1.44
Goals
Under 2.5 goals
1.83
68%chance of the result
55%goals tip: chance
1–1likely score
≈ 2 goalstotal in the match

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Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available2.563.393.10
Market average2.483.222.95
Lowest odds2.412.962.65
Megapari2.493.313.21
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.371.3669.5%
Over 2.5 goals2.182.1045.4%
Under 2.5 goals1.831.7554.6%
Over 3.5 goals4.003.7525.2%
BTTS – yes1.851.8051.8%
BTTS – no1.951.9348.2%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 08:31. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.4%.

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Megapari: prices for this match

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Partner odds, refreshed 2/11/26, 14:46. A click takes you to this match at Megapari. 18+

Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Lorient 1–1 Stade Brestois 29, roughly 2 goals in total.
  • Table: Lorient 10th (12 points), Stade Brestois 29 14th (9 points).
  • Form in the competition: Lorient 3W 3D 2L (7:6), Stade Brestois 29 2W 3D 3L (14:12).
  • H2H: 27 matches: Lorient 11W 5D 11L, goals 39–40.
  • Absences: Lorient 2, Stade Brestois 29 3.

Who will win Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29?

Lorient38%
Draw30%
Stade Brestois 2932%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29: more betting markets

Under 3.5 goals74.8% · fair odds 1.34 · best 1.29
Likely
Over 1.5 goals69.5% · fair odds 1.44 · best 1.37
Likely
Lorient or draw (1X)67.8% · fair odds 1.47 · best 1.44
Likely
Under 2.5 goals54.6% · fair odds 1.83 · best 1.83
Possible
Both teams score: yes51.8% · fair odds 1.93 · best 1.85
Possible
Both teams score: no48.2% · fair odds 2.07 · best 1.95
Outsider
Over 2.5 goals45.4% · fair odds 2.20 · best 2.18
Outsider
Lorient to win38.3% · fair odds 2.61 · best 2.56
Outsider
Stade Brestois 29 to win32.2% · fair odds 3.11 · best 3.10
Outsider
Draw29.5% · fair odds 3.39 · best 3.39
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals25.2% · fair odds 3.96 · best 4.00
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 8.5 corners
Over 1.69 · Under 2.06
probability of over 54.9%
Cardsline 3.5 cards
Over 1.68 · Under 2.13
probability of over 56.0%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 112.9%
1 : 011.2%
0 : 19.9%
0 : 08.6%
2 : 18.4%
1 : 27.4%

Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29: injuries, suspensions, absences

Lorient

  • B. Fadigamuscle injury · will miss the match
  • P. Katserismuscle injury · will miss the match

Stade Brestois 29

  • B. Chardonnetcalf injury · will miss the match
  • R. Le Guenbroken leg · will miss the match
  • G. Versiniabsence · doubtful

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Paris Saint Germain96-2-121:1020
2Lille95-3-112:618
3Lyon95-2-215:717
4Paris FC95-2-216:1017
5Rennes95-1-320:1916
6Marseille95-0-420:1315
7Monaco94-3-212:1015
8Nice94-2-313:1214
9Lens94-1-416:1313
10Lorient83-3-27:612
11Toulouse92-4-312:1310
12Strasbourg93-1-517:1910
13Auxerre93-1-513:2310
14Stade Brestois 2982-3-314:129
15Angers92-2-59:178
16Estac Troyes92-2-57:168
17Le Mans91-4-411:187
18Le Havre90-2-79:202

Recent matches

Lorient

25 OctDAngers 0–0 Lorient
18 OctWLorient 1–0 Monaco
10 OctWLorient 1–0 Paris FC
19 SeptLLe Mans 2–1 Lorient
12 SeptDLorient 2–2 Toulouse

Stade Brestois 29

23 OctLStade Brestois 29 1–2 Nice
17 OctDLille 1–1 Stade Brestois 29
10 OctWStade Brestois 29 5–1 Angers
20 SeptLAuxerre 2–1 Stade Brestois 29
13 SeptLStade Brestois 29 0–1 Paris Saint Germain

Home and away

Lorient at home4 matches: 2W 1D 1L, goals 5–4
Stade Brestois 29 away4 matches: 1W 2D 1L, goals 6–6

Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Lorient: 10th, 12 points from 8 matches (3W 3D 2L). Stade Brestois 29: 14th, 9 points (2W 3D 3L).
  2. Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Lorient 0.9 scored and 0.8 conceded, Stade Brestois 29 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Lorient: 3W 3D 2L, goals 7–6; Stade Brestois 29: 2W 3D 3L, goals 14–12.
  4. Head to head. Head to head over 27 meetings: Lorient 11 wins, Stade Brestois 29 11 wins, plus 5 draws; goals 39–40.

What to expect

We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 1–1, close to 2 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (12.9%). We see a fairly level contest.

On goals we like Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.83), with a probability of 55% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 52% and over 2.5 goals is 45%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 27; Lorient 11 wins, 5 draws, Stade Brestois 29 11 wins.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 2.9 per match.
  3. This competition, scored–conceded: Lorient 7–6, Stade Brestois 29 14–12.
  4. Projected: close to 2 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 45%.
  5. Not available: Lorient 2, Stade Brestois 29 3.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 52%, odds up to 1.85). We project close to 2 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Lorient: B. Fadiga, P. Katseris. Not available for Stade Brestois 29: B. Chardonnet, R. Le Guen, G. Versini. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29: the numbers side by side

LorientStade Brestois 29
67%Form33%
38%Attack62%
64%Defence36%
15%Head to head85%
27%Goals73%
43.7%Overall56.3%

Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.

Form in the competition

LorientDWWLD
Stade Brestois 29LDWLL

Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29: head to head

All matches
11Lorient
5Draws
11Stade Brestois 29
7/2/26 · Stade Brestois 29 2–0 Lorient
19/10/25 · Lorient 3–3 Stade Brestois 29
20/7/24 · Lorient 1–1 Stade Brestois 29
31/3/24 · Lorient 0–1 Stade Brestois 29
20/12/23 · Stade Brestois 29 4–0 Lorient
7/5/23 · Lorient 2–1 Stade Brestois 29

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin5.4%

Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29?

On the result, our pick is Lorient or draw (1X) (1.44); on goals, Under 2.5 goals (1.83). Prefer less risk? Go for Lorient or draw (1X).

Who will win Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29?

As we see it: Lorient to win 38%, the draw 30%, Stade Brestois 29 to win 32%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

2 November 2026, 19:45, at Stade du Moustoir, Lorient. Referee: Jeremie Pignard.

Who will be missing?

Lorient: B. Fadiga, P. Katseris. Stade Brestois 29: B. Chardonnet, R. Le Guen, G. Versini. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 45% chance (odds 2.18), against 55% for under 2.5 (odds 1.83).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 52% (odds 1.85).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–1 (12.9%), 1–0 (11.2%), 0–1 (9.9%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

Toulouse vs Strasbourg 6 NovAuxerre vs Paris FC 7 NovParis Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes 7 NovRennes vs Lille 8 NovAngers vs Nice 8 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.