Paris Saint Germain entertain Estac Troyes on 7 November 2026 · 19:45 at Parc des Princes (Paris). Paris Saint Germain (83%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.16 | 10.61 | 18.50 |
| Market average | 1.14 | 8.92 | 16.12 |
| Lowest odds | 1.11 | 7.90 | 14.00 |
| Megapari | 1.16 | 9.85 | 18.50 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.09 | 1.06 | 88.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.30 | 1.26 | 74.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.80 | 3.64 | 25.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.79 | 1.74 | 55.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.95 | 1.86 | 50.2% |
| BTTS – no | 1.95 | 1.87 | 49.8% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 08:31. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.5%.
Megapari: prices for this match
Partner odds, refreshed 2/11/26, 15:11. A click takes you to this match at Megapari. 18+
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Paris Saint Germain 3–0 Estac Troyes, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Paris Saint Germain 1st (20 points), Estac Troyes 16th (8 points).
- Form in the competition: Paris Saint Germain 6W 2D 1L (21:10), Estac Troyes 2W 2D 5L (7:16).
- H2H: 10 matches: Paris Saint Germain 9W 1D 0L, goals 33–8.
- Absences: Paris Saint Germain 0, Estac Troyes 0.
Who will win Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes: injuries, suspensions, absences
Paris Saint Germain
- No reported absences
Estac Troyes
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 6-2-1 | 21:10 | 20 | |
| 2 | 9 | 5-3-1 | 12:6 | 18 | |
| 3 | 9 | 5-2-2 | 15:7 | 17 | |
| 4 | 9 | 5-2-2 | 16:10 | 17 | |
| 5 | 9 | 5-1-3 | 20:19 | 16 | |
| 6 | 9 | 5-0-4 | 20:13 | 15 | |
| 7 | 9 | 4-3-2 | 12:10 | 15 | |
| 8 | 9 | 4-2-3 | 13:12 | 14 | |
| 9 | 9 | 4-1-4 | 16:13 | 13 | |
| 10 | 8 | 3-3-2 | 7:6 | 12 | |
| 11 | 9 | 2-4-3 | 12:13 | 10 | |
| 12 | 9 | 3-1-5 | 17:19 | 10 | |
| 13 | 9 | 3-1-5 | 13:23 | 10 | |
| 14 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 14:12 | 9 | |
| 15 | 9 | 2-2-5 | 9:17 | 8 | |
| 16 | 9 | 2-2-5 | 7:16 | 8 | |
| 17 | 9 | 1-4-4 | 11:18 | 7 | |
| 18 | 9 | 0-2-7 | 9:20 | 2 |
Recent matches
Paris Saint Germain
Home and away
Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Paris Saint Germain: 1st, 20 points from 9 matches (6W 2D 1L). Estac Troyes: 16th, 8 points (2W 2D 5L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Paris Saint Germain 2.3 scored and 1.1 conceded, Estac Troyes 0.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Paris Saint Germain: 6W 2D 1L, goals 21–10; Estac Troyes: 2W 2D 5L, goals 7–16.
- Head to head. Head to head over 10 meetings: Paris Saint Germain 9 wins, Estac Troyes 0 wins, plus 1 draw; goals 33–8.
What to expect
We make Paris Saint Germain the favourites. The projected scoreline is 3–1, close to 4 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 3–0 (10.6%). We expect goals and an open game.
The result only pays 1.16, so the goals markets are an option too: Over 3.5 goals (odds 1.79), with a probability of 55% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 50% and over 2.5 goals is 74%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 10; Paris Saint Germain 9 wins, 1 draw, Estac Troyes 0 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 4.1 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Paris Saint Germain 21–10, Estac Troyes 7–16.
- Projected: close to 4 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 74%.
- Not available: Paris Saint Germain 0, Estac Troyes 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 50%, odds up to 1.95). We project close to 4 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Paris Saint Germain: no absences. Not available for Estac Troyes: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes?
On the result, our pick is Paris Saint Germain to win (1.16); on goals, Over 3.5 goals (1.79). Prefer less risk? Go for Paris Saint Germain or draw (1X).
Who will win Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes?
As we see it: Paris Saint Germain to win 83%, the draw 11%, Estac Troyes to win 6%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
7 November 2026, 19:45, at Parc des Princes, Paris.
Who will be missing?
Paris Saint Germain: no absences. Estac Troyes: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 74% chance (odds 1.30), against 26% for under 2.5 (odds 3.80).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 50% (odds 1.95).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 3–0 (10.6%), 2–0 (10.2%), 4–0 (8.2%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
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18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.
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