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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 10 · 7 November 2026 · 19:45

Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes tip, odds and prediction, 7 November 2026, Ligue 1

1Paris Saint Germain1.16
XDraw10.61
2Estac Troyes18.50

Top odds available · Updated 2/11/26, 08:31

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Paris Saint Germain entertain Estac Troyes on 7 November 2026 · 19:45 at Parc des Princes (Paris). Paris Saint Germain (83%) are our favourites. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.

Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes: tip and prediction
Result
Paris Saint Germain to win
1.16
Goals
Over 3.5 goals
1.79
Combo
Paris Saint Germain & over 2.5 goals
1.50
67% · fair combo odds
83%chance of the result
55%goals tip: chance
3–0likely score
≈ 4 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Paris Saint Germain or draw (1X) – probability 94%, odds up to 1.03. The result alone pays short odds, so we would back a goals tip with it.

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Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available1.1610.6118.50
Market average1.148.9216.12
Lowest odds1.117.9014.00
Megapari1.169.8518.50
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.091.0688.0%
Over 2.5 goals1.301.2674.2%
Under 2.5 goals3.803.6425.8%
Over 3.5 goals1.791.7455.0%
BTTS – yes1.951.8650.2%
BTTS – no1.951.8749.8%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 08:31. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.5%.

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Megapari: prices for this match

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Partner odds, refreshed 2/11/26, 15:11. A click takes you to this match at Megapari. 18+

Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Paris Saint Germain 3–0 Estac Troyes, roughly 4 goals in total.
  • Table: Paris Saint Germain 1st (20 points), Estac Troyes 16th (8 points).
  • Form in the competition: Paris Saint Germain 6W 2D 1L (21:10), Estac Troyes 2W 2D 5L (7:16).
  • H2H: 10 matches: Paris Saint Germain 9W 1D 0L, goals 33–8.
  • Absences: Paris Saint Germain 0, Estac Troyes 0.

Who will win Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes?

Paris Saint Germain83%
Draw11%
Estac Troyes6%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes: more betting markets

Paris Saint Germain or draw (1X)94.1% · fair odds 1.06 · best 1.03
Likely
Over 1.5 goals88.0% · fair odds 1.14 · best 1.09
Likely
Paris Saint Germain to win83.4% · fair odds 1.20 · best 1.16
Likely
Over 2.5 goals74.2% · fair odds 1.35 · best 1.30
Likely
Over 3.5 goals55.0% · fair odds 1.82 · best 1.79
Possible
Both teams score: yes50.2% · fair odds 1.99 · best 1.95
Possible
Both teams score: no49.8% · fair odds 2.01 · best 1.95
Outsider
Under 3.5 goals45.0% · fair odds 2.22 · best 2.18
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals25.8% · fair odds 3.88 · best 3.80
Outsider
Draw10.7% · fair odds 9.33 · best 10.61
Outsider
Estac Troyes to win5.9% · fair odds 16.89 · best 18.50
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.88 · Under 1.84
probability of over 49.5%

Most likely correct scores

3 : 010.6%
2 : 010.2%
4 : 08.2%
3 : 17.9%
2 : 17.7%
1 : 06.6%

Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes: injuries, suspensions, absences

Paris Saint Germain

  • No reported absences

Estac Troyes

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Paris Saint Germain96-2-121:1020
2Lille95-3-112:618
3Lyon95-2-215:717
4Paris FC95-2-216:1017
5Rennes95-1-320:1916
6Marseille95-0-420:1315
7Monaco94-3-212:1015
8Nice94-2-313:1214
9Lens94-1-416:1313
10Lorient83-3-27:612
11Toulouse92-4-312:1310
12Strasbourg93-1-517:1910
13Auxerre93-1-513:2310
14Stade Brestois 2982-3-314:129
15Angers92-2-59:178
16Estac Troyes92-2-57:168
17Le Mans91-4-411:187
18Le Havre90-2-79:202

Recent matches

Paris Saint Germain

30 OctWLe Havre 1–5 Paris Saint Germain
26 OctWParis Saint Germain 2–0 Lyon
20 OctWParis Saint Germain 4–2 Barcelona
17 OctWStrasbourg 1–3 Paris Saint Germain
14 OctWManchester City 2–4 Paris Saint Germain

Estac Troyes

31 OctWEstac Troyes 2–0 Le Mans
25 OctDToulouse 0–0 Estac Troyes
17 OctLEstac Troyes 1–3 Lens
11 OctLEstac Troyes 0–2 Marseille
19 SeptLAngers 2–0 Estac Troyes

Home and away

Paris Saint Germain at home3 matches: 2W 0D 1L, goals 6–3
Estac Troyes away4 matches: 1W 1D 2L, goals 2–5

Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Paris Saint Germain: 1st, 20 points from 9 matches (6W 2D 1L). Estac Troyes: 16th, 8 points (2W 2D 5L).
  2. Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Paris Saint Germain 2.3 scored and 1.1 conceded, Estac Troyes 0.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Paris Saint Germain: 6W 2D 1L, goals 21–10; Estac Troyes: 2W 2D 5L, goals 7–16.
  4. Head to head. Head to head over 10 meetings: Paris Saint Germain 9 wins, Estac Troyes 0 wins, plus 1 draw; goals 33–8.

What to expect

We make Paris Saint Germain the favourites. The projected scoreline is 3–1, close to 4 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 3–0 (10.6%). We expect goals and an open game.

The result only pays 1.16, so the goals markets are an option too: Over 3.5 goals (odds 1.79), with a probability of 55% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 50% and over 2.5 goals is 74%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 10; Paris Saint Germain 9 wins, 1 draw, Estac Troyes 0 wins.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 4.1 per match.
  3. This competition, scored–conceded: Paris Saint Germain 21–10, Estac Troyes 7–16.
  4. Projected: close to 4 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 74%.
  5. Not available: Paris Saint Germain 0, Estac Troyes 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 50%, odds up to 1.95). We project close to 4 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Paris Saint Germain: no absences. Not available for Estac Troyes: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes: the numbers side by side

Paris Saint GermainEstac Troyes
79%Form21%
83%Attack17%
64%Defence36%
93%Head to head7%
65%Goals35%
77.3%Overall22.7%

Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.

Form in the competition

Paris Saint GermainWWWWW
Estac TroyesWDLLL

Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes: head to head

All matches
9Paris Saint Germain
1Draws
0Estac Troyes
7/5/23 · Estac Troyes 1–3 Paris Saint Germain
29/10/22 · Paris Saint Germain 4–3 Estac Troyes
8/5/22 · Paris Saint Germain 2–2 Estac Troyes
7/8/21 · Estac Troyes 1–2 Paris Saint Germain
3/3/18 · Estac Troyes 0–2 Paris Saint Germain
29/11/17 · Paris Saint Germain 2–0 Estac Troyes

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin5.5%

Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes?

On the result, our pick is Paris Saint Germain to win (1.16); on goals, Over 3.5 goals (1.79). Prefer less risk? Go for Paris Saint Germain or draw (1X).

Who will win Paris Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes?

As we see it: Paris Saint Germain to win 83%, the draw 11%, Estac Troyes to win 6%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

7 November 2026, 19:45, at Parc des Princes, Paris.

Who will be missing?

Paris Saint Germain: no absences. Estac Troyes: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 74% chance (odds 1.30), against 26% for under 2.5 (odds 3.80).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 50% (odds 1.95).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 3–0 (10.6%), 2–0 (10.2%), 4–0 (8.2%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29 2 NovToulouse vs Strasbourg 6 NovAuxerre vs Paris FC 7 NovRennes vs Lille 8 NovAngers vs Nice 8 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.