Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Estac Troyes and Lens meet on 17 October 2026 · 19:45 at Stade de l'Aube (Troyes), under referee H. Ben El Hadj Salem. Lens (52%) are favourites in our book. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.
Estac Troyes vs Lens: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 4.26 | 3.94 | 1.90 |
| Market average | 4.10 | 3.84 | 1.84 |
| Lowest odds | 3.90 | 3.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.17 | 78.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.72 | 1.66 | 57.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.30 | 2.21 | 43.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.69 | 2.60 | 36.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.58 | 58.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.38 | 2.26 | 41.2% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 17/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 4.7%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Estac Troyes 1–1 Lens, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Estac Troyes 16th (8 points), Lens 9th (13 points).
- Absences: Estac Troyes 0, Lens 0.
Who will win Estac Troyes vs Lens?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Estac Troyes vs Lens: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Estac Troyes vs Lens: injuries, suspensions, absences
Estac Troyes
- No reported absences
Lens
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Estac Troyes vs Lens: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 6-2-1 | 21:10 | 20 |
| 2 |  Lille | 9 | 5-3-1 | 12:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  Lyon | 9 | 5-2-2 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 4 |  Paris FC | 9 | 5-2-2 | 16:10 | 17 |
| 5 |  Rennes | 9 | 5-1-3 | 20:19 | 16 |
| 6 |  Marseille | 9 | 5-0-4 | 20:13 | 15 |
| 7 |  Monaco | 9 | 4-3-2 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Nice | 9 | 4-2-3 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 9 | Lens | 9 | 4-1-4 | 16:13 | 13 |
| 10 |  Lorient | 8 | 3-3-2 | 7:6 | 12 |
| 11 |  Toulouse | 9 | 2-4-3 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 12 |  Strasbourg | 9 | 3-1-5 | 17:19 | 10 |
| 13 |  Auxerre | 9 | 3-1-5 | 13:23 | 10 |
| 14 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 14:12 | 9 |
| 15 |  Angers | 9 | 2-2-5 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 16 | Estac Troyes | 9 | 2-2-5 | 7:16 | 8 |
| 17 |  Le Mans | 9 | 1-4-4 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 9 | 0-2-7 | 9:20 | 2 |
Recent matches
Estac Troyes
Home and away
Estac Troyes vs Lens: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Estac Troyes: 16th, 8 points from 9 matches (2W 2D 5L). Lens: 9th, 13 points (4W 1D 4L).
What to expect
We make Lens the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (10.8%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.51), with a probability of 64% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 59% and over 2.5 goals is 57%.
Main points of the prediction
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 57%.
- Not available: Estac Troyes 0, Lens 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 59%, odds up to 1.62). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Estac Troyes: no absences. Not available for Lens: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
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Estac Troyes vs Lens: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Estac Troyes vs Lens?
On the result, our pick is Lens to win (1.90); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.51). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Lens (X2).
Who will win Estac Troyes vs Lens?
As we see it: Estac Troyes to win 23%, the draw 25%, Lens to win 52%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
17 October 2026, 19:45, at Stade de l'Aube, Troyes. Referee: H. Ben El Hadj Salem.
Who will be missing?
Estac Troyes: no absences. Lens: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 57% chance (odds 1.72), against 43% for under 2.5 (odds 2.30).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 59% (odds 1.62).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (10.8%), 1–2 (9.8%), 0–1 (9.4%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.