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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 11 · 21 November 2026 · 19:45

Monaco vs Auxerre tip, odds and prediction, 21 November 2026, Ligue 1

LDLDW
VS
LDWLW
1Monaco1.44
XDraw5.44
2Auxerre7.30

Top odds available · Updated 2/11/26, 08:31

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Monaco and Auxerre meet on 21 November 2026 · 19:45 at Stade Louis II (Monaco). Monaco (68%) are favourites in our book. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.

Monaco vs Auxerre: tip and prediction
Result
Monaco to win
1.44
Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.47
Combo
Monaco & over 2.5 goals
2.02
49% · fair combo odds
68%chance of the result
66%goals tip: chance
2–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Monaco or draw (1X) – probability 86%, odds up to 1.13.

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Monaco vs Auxerre: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available1.445.447.30
Market average1.415.066.96
Lowest odds1.384.756.50
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.151.1283.6%
Over 2.5 goals1.471.4465.7%
Under 2.5 goals2.802.7534.3%
Over 3.5 goals2.182.1345.1%
BTTS – yes1.701.6456.9%
BTTS – no2.202.1643.1%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 08:31. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.3%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Monaco 2–1 Auxerre, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Monaco 7th (15 points), Auxerre 13th (10 points).
  • Absences: Monaco 0, Auxerre 0.

Who will win Monaco vs Auxerre?

Monaco68%
Draw19%
Auxerre14%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Monaco vs Auxerre: more betting markets

Monaco or draw (1X)86.3% · fair odds 1.16 · best 1.13
Likely
Over 1.5 goals83.6% · fair odds 1.20 · best 1.15
Likely
Monaco to win67.5% · fair odds 1.48 · best 1.44
Likely
Over 2.5 goals65.7% · fair odds 1.52 · best 1.47
Likely
Both teams score: yes56.9% · fair odds 1.76 · best 1.70
Possible
Under 3.5 goals54.9% · fair odds 1.82 · best 1.79
Possible
Over 3.5 goals45.1% · fair odds 2.22 · best 2.18
Outsider
Both teams score: no43.1% · fair odds 2.32 · best 2.20
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals34.3% · fair odds 2.91 · best 2.80
Outsider
Draw18.8% · fair odds 5.31 · best 5.44
Outsider
Auxerre to win13.7% · fair odds 7.32 · best 7.30
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Most likely correct scores

2 : 19.7%
2 : 09.7%
1 : 18.2%
1 : 08.2%
3 : 17.6%
3 : 07.6%

Monaco vs Auxerre: injuries, suspensions, absences

Monaco

  • No reported absences

Auxerre

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Monaco vs Auxerre: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Paris Saint Germain96-2-121:1020
2Lille95-3-112:618
3Lyon95-2-215:717
4Paris FC95-2-216:1017
5Rennes95-1-320:1916
6Marseille95-0-420:1315
7Monaco94-3-212:1015
8Nice94-2-313:1214
9Lens94-1-416:1313
10Lorient83-3-27:612
11Toulouse92-4-312:1310
12Strasbourg93-1-517:1910
13Auxerre93-1-513:2310
14Stade Brestois 2982-3-314:129
15Angers92-2-59:178
16Estac Troyes92-2-57:168
17Le Mans91-4-411:187
18Le Havre90-2-79:202

Recent matches

Monaco

1 NovLParis FC 3–1 Monaco
25 OctDMonaco 1–1 Lille
22 OctWMonaco 3–0 SC Freiburg
18 OctLLorient 1–0 Monaco
15 OctWCSKA Sofia 1–2 Monaco

Auxerre

1 NovLStrasbourg 5–1 Auxerre
25 OctDAuxerre 1–1 Le Mans
18 OctWLe Havre 1–3 Auxerre
11 OctLRennes 4–1 Auxerre
20 SeptWAuxerre 2–1 Stade Brestois 29

Home and away

Monaco at home4 matches: 2W 2D 0L, goals 7–4
Auxerre away5 matches: 1W 0D 4L, goals 8–18

Monaco vs Auxerre: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Monaco: 7th, 15 points from 9 matches (4W 3D 2L). Auxerre: 13th, 10 points (3W 1D 5L).

What to expect

We make Monaco the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 2–1 (9.7%). We expect goals and an open game.

On goals we like Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.47), with a probability of 66% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 57% and over 2.5 goals is 66%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 66%.
  2. Not available: Monaco 0, Auxerre 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 57%, odds up to 1.70). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Monaco: no absences. Not available for Auxerre: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin5.3%

Monaco vs Auxerre: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Monaco vs Auxerre?

On the result, our pick is Monaco to win (1.44); on goals, Over 2.5 goals (1.47). Prefer less risk? Go for Monaco or draw (1X).

Who will win Monaco vs Auxerre?

As we see it: Monaco to win 68%, the draw 19%, Auxerre to win 14%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

21 November 2026, 19:45, at Stade Louis II, Monaco.

Who will be missing?

Monaco: no absences. Auxerre: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 66% chance (odds 1.47), against 34% for under 2.5 (odds 2.80).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 57% (odds 1.70).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 2–1 (9.7%), 2–0 (9.7%), 1–1 (8.2%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29 2 NovToulouse vs Strasbourg 6 NovAuxerre vs Paris FC 7 NovParis Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes 7 NovRennes vs Lille 8 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.