Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Lorient v Monaco takes place on 18 October 2026 · 16:15 at Stade du Moustoir (Lorient); M. Bollengier will referee. We back Monaco (46%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.
Lorient vs Monaco: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 3.82 | 3.50 | 2.15 |
| Market average | 3.64 | 3.43 | 2.08 |
| Lowest odds | 3.50 | 3.30 | 2.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.31 | 1.29 | 72.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.05 | 1.97 | 48.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.91 | 1.87 | 51.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.43 | 3.31 | 28.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.76 | 52.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.00 | 1.96 | 47.3% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 18/10/26, 13:01. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 4.7%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Lorient 1–1 Monaco, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Lorient 10th (12 points), Monaco 7th (15 points).
- Absences: Lorient 0, Monaco 0.
Who will win Lorient vs Monaco?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Lorient vs Monaco: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Lorient vs Monaco: injuries, suspensions, absences
Lorient
- No reported absences
Monaco
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Lorient vs Monaco: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 6-2-1 | 21:10 | 20 |
| 2 |  Lille | 9 | 5-3-1 | 12:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  Lyon | 9 | 5-2-2 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 4 |  Paris FC | 9 | 5-2-2 | 16:10 | 17 |
| 5 |  Rennes | 9 | 5-1-3 | 20:19 | 16 |
| 6 |  Marseille | 9 | 5-0-4 | 20:13 | 15 |
| 7 | Monaco | 9 | 4-3-2 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Nice | 9 | 4-2-3 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 9 |  Lens | 9 | 4-1-4 | 16:13 | 13 |
| 10 | Lorient | 8 | 3-3-2 | 7:6 | 12 |
| 11 |  Toulouse | 9 | 2-4-3 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 12 |  Strasbourg | 9 | 3-1-5 | 17:19 | 10 |
| 13 |  Auxerre | 9 | 3-1-5 | 13:23 | 10 |
| 14 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 14:12 | 9 |
| 15 |  Angers | 9 | 2-2-5 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 16 |  Estac Troyes | 9 | 2-2-5 | 7:16 | 8 |
| 17 |  Le Mans | 9 | 1-4-4 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 9 | 0-2-7 | 9:20 | 2 |
Recent matches
Lorient
Home and away
Lorient vs Monaco: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Lorient: 10th, 12 points from 8 matches (3W 3D 2L). Monaco: 7th, 15 points (4W 3D 2L).
What to expect
We make Monaco the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (12.3%). We see a fairly level contest.
On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.80), with a probability of 53% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 53% and over 2.5 goals is 49%.
Main points of the prediction
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 49%.
- Not available: Lorient 0, Monaco 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 53%, odds up to 1.80). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Lorient: no absences. Not available for Monaco: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
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Lorient vs Monaco: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Lorient vs Monaco?
On the result, our pick is Monaco to win (2.15); on goals, Both teams to score (1.80). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Monaco (X2).
Who will win Lorient vs Monaco?
As we see it: Lorient to win 26%, the draw 28%, Monaco to win 46%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
18 October 2026, 16:15, at Stade du Moustoir, Lorient. Referee: M. Bollengier.
Who will be missing?
Lorient: no absences. Monaco: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 49% chance (odds 2.05), against 51% for under 2.5 (odds 1.91).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 53% (odds 1.80).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (12.3%), 0–1 (11.1%), 1–2 (9.2%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
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18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.