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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 9 · 1 November 2026 · 14:00

Strasbourg vs Auxerre tip, odds and prediction, 1 November 2026, Ligue 1

5–1
LDWLW
1Strasbourg1.88
XDraw4.16
2Auxerre4.16

Top odds available · Updated 1/11/26, 13:03

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TipOddsProbabilityMore tipsAbsencesTableAnalysisComparisonH2HFAQ

Played: final score 5–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Strasbourg v Auxerre takes place on 1 November 2026 · 14:00 at Stade de la Meinau (Strasbourg); Guillaume Paradis will referee. We back Strasbourg (52%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.

Strasbourg vs Auxerre: tip and prediction
Result
Strasbourg to win
1.88
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.59
Combo
Strasbourg & over 2.5 goals
2.80
36% · fair combo odds
52%chance of the result
61%goals tip: chance
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Strasbourg or draw (1X) – probability 76%, odds up to 1.27.

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Strasbourg vs Auxerre: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available1.884.164.16
Market average1.853.913.98
Lowest odds1.803.703.73
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.201.1680.5%
Over 2.5 goals1.661.5960.0%
Under 2.5 goals2.462.3840.0%
Over 3.5 goals2.492.4139.1%
BTTS – yes1.571.5460.6%
BTTS – no2.502.3739.4%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 1/11/26, 13:03. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 4.9%.

All bookmakers →

Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Strasbourg 1–1 Auxerre, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Strasbourg 12th (10 points), Auxerre 13th (10 points).
  • Form in the competition: Strasbourg 2W 1D 5L (12:18), Auxerre 3W 1D 4L (12:18).
  • H2H: 10 matches: Strasbourg 6W 1D 3L, goals 13–6.
  • Absences: Strasbourg 3, Auxerre 4.

Who will win Strasbourg vs Auxerre?

Strasbourg52%
Draw24%
Auxerre24%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Strasbourg vs Auxerre: more betting markets

Over 1.5 goals80.5% · fair odds 1.24 · best 1.20
Likely
Strasbourg or draw (1X)76.0% · fair odds 1.32 · best 1.27
Likely
Under 3.5 goals60.9% · fair odds 1.64 · best 1.59
Likely
Both teams score: yes60.6% · fair odds 1.65 · best 1.57
Likely
Over 2.5 goals60.0% · fair odds 1.67 · best 1.66
Likely
Strasbourg to win51.6% · fair odds 1.94 · best 1.88
Possible
Under 2.5 goals40.0% · fair odds 2.50 · best 2.46
Outsider
Both teams score: no39.4% · fair odds 2.54 · best 2.50
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals39.1% · fair odds 2.56 · best 2.49
Outsider
Draw24.4% · fair odds 4.10 · best 4.16
Outsider
Auxerre to win24.0% · fair odds 4.17 · best 4.16
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.90 · Under 1.86
probability of over 49.5%
Cardsline 3.5 cards
Over 1.79 · Under 1.97
probability of over 52.3%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 110.5%
2 : 19.7%
1 : 08.8%
2 : 08.1%
1 : 26.3%
3 : 16.0%

Strasbourg vs Auxerre: injuries, suspensions, absences

Strasbourg

  • J. Panichelliknee injury · will miss the match
  • S. Amo-Ameyawnot in the squad · doubtful
  • F. Baldeabsence · doubtful

Auxerre

  • A. Diousseknee injury · will miss the match
  • S. Fofanagroin injury · will miss the match
  • R. Labeau Lascaryinjury · will miss the match
  • B. Okohknee injury · will miss the match

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Strasbourg vs Auxerre: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Paris Saint Germain96-2-121:1020
2Lille95-3-112:618
3Lyon95-2-215:717
4Paris FC95-2-216:1017
5Rennes95-1-320:1916
6Marseille95-0-420:1315
7Monaco94-3-212:1015
8Nice94-2-313:1214
9Lens94-1-416:1313
10Lorient83-3-27:612
11Toulouse92-4-312:1310
12Strasbourg93-1-517:1910
13Auxerre93-1-513:2310
14Stade Brestois 2982-3-314:129
15Angers92-2-59:178
16Estac Troyes92-2-57:168
17Le Mans91-4-411:187
18Le Havre90-2-79:202

Recent matches

Strasbourg

1 NovWStrasbourg 5–1 Auxerre
25 OctLRennes 3–0 Strasbourg
17 OctLStrasbourg 1–3 Paris Saint Germain
11 OctLNice 2–1 Strasbourg
19 SeptLParis FC 2–1 Strasbourg

Auxerre

1 NovLStrasbourg 5–1 Auxerre
25 OctDAuxerre 1–1 Le Mans
18 OctWLe Havre 1–3 Auxerre
11 OctLRennes 4–1 Auxerre
20 SeptWAuxerre 2–1 Stade Brestois 29

Home and away

Strasbourg at home4 matches: 2W 1D 1L, goals 9–6
Auxerre away5 matches: 1W 0D 4L, goals 8–18

Strasbourg vs Auxerre: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Strasbourg: 12th, 10 points from 9 matches (3W 1D 5L). Auxerre: 13th, 10 points (3W 1D 5L).
  2. Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Strasbourg 1.5 scored and 2.3 conceded, Auxerre 1.5 scored and 2.3 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Strasbourg: 2W 1D 5L, goals 12–18; Auxerre: 3W 1D 4L, goals 12–18.
  4. Head to head. Head to head over 10 meetings: Strasbourg 6 wins, Auxerre 3 wins, plus 1 draw; goals 13–6.

What to expect

We make Strasbourg the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (10.5%). We expect goals and an open game.

On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.59), with a probability of 61% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 61% and over 2.5 goals is 60%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Meetings: 10; Strasbourg 6 wins, 1 draw, Auxerre 3 wins.
  2. Average goals in their meetings: 1.9 per match.
  3. This competition, scored–conceded: Strasbourg 12–18, Auxerre 12–18.
  4. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 60%.
  5. Not available: Strasbourg 3, Auxerre 4.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 61%, odds up to 1.57). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Strasbourg: J. Panichelli, S. Amo-Ameyaw, F. Balde. Not available for Auxerre: A. Diousse, S. Fofana, R. Labeau Lascary, B. Okoh. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Strasbourg vs Auxerre: the numbers side by side

StrasbourgAuxerre
9%Form91%
33%Attack67%
39%Defence61%
93%Head to head7%
90%Goals10%
53.2%Overall46.8%

Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.

Form in the competition

StrasbourgWLLLL
AuxerreLDWLW

Strasbourg vs Auxerre: head to head

All matches
6Strasbourg
1Draws
3Auxerre
7/3/26 · Auxerre 0–0 Strasbourg
29/10/25 · Strasbourg 3–0 Auxerre
2/3/25 · Auxerre 0–1 Strasbourg
5/1/25 · Strasbourg 3–1 Auxerre
19/3/23 · Strasbourg 2–0 Auxerre
27/8/22 · Auxerre 1–0 Strasbourg

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin4.9%

Strasbourg vs Auxerre: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Strasbourg vs Auxerre?

On the result, our pick is Strasbourg to win (1.88); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.59). Prefer less risk? Go for Strasbourg or draw (1X).

Who will win Strasbourg vs Auxerre?

As we see it: Strasbourg to win 52%, the draw 24%, Auxerre to win 24%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

1 November 2026, 14:00, at Stade de la Meinau, Strasbourg. Referee: Guillaume Paradis.

Who will be missing?

Strasbourg: J. Panichelli, S. Amo-Ameyaw, F. Balde. Auxerre: A. Diousse, S. Fofana, R. Labeau Lascary, B. Okoh. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 60% chance (odds 1.66), against 40% for under 2.5 (odds 2.46).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 61% (odds 1.57).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–1 (10.5%), 2–1 (9.7%), 1–0 (8.8%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29 2 NovToulouse vs Strasbourg 6 NovAuxerre vs Paris FC 7 NovParis Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes 7 NovRennes vs Lille 8 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.