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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 7 · 18 October 2026 · 16:15

Le Havre vs Auxerre tip, odds and prediction, 18 October 2026, Ligue 1

1–3
LDWLW
1Le Havre2.34
XDraw3.60
2Auxerre3.22

Top odds available · Updated 18/10/26, 13:01

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Played: final score 1–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Le Havre v Auxerre takes place on 18 October 2026 · 16:15 at Stade Océane (Le Havre); E. Wattellier will referee. We call it a level game. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.

Le Havre vs Auxerre: tip and prediction
Result (even match)
Le Havre or draw (1X)
1.40
Goals
Both teams to score
1.67
69%chance of the result
58%goals tip: chance
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match

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Le Havre vs Auxerre: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available2.343.603.22
Market average2.283.483.13
Lowest odds2.253.303.00
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.261.2276.8%
Over 2.5 goals1.801.7754.1%
Under 2.5 goals2.182.0845.9%
Over 3.5 goals3.202.8333.2%
BTTS – yes1.671.6157.9%
BTTS – no2.282.2242.1%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 18/10/26, 13:01. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 4.7%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Le Havre 1–1 Auxerre, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Le Havre 18th (2 points), Auxerre 13th (10 points).
  • Absences: Le Havre 0, Auxerre 0.

Who will win Le Havre vs Auxerre?

Le Havre42%
Draw27%
Auxerre31%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Le Havre vs Auxerre: more betting markets

Over 1.5 goals76.8% · fair odds 1.30 · best 1.26
Likely
Le Havre or draw (1X)69.4% · fair odds 1.44 · best 1.40
Likely
Under 3.5 goals66.8% · fair odds 1.50 · best 1.44
Likely
Both teams score: yes57.9% · fair odds 1.73 · best 1.67
Possible
Over 2.5 goals54.1% · fair odds 1.85 · best 1.80
Possible
Under 2.5 goals45.9% · fair odds 2.18 · best 2.18
Outsider
Both teams score: no42.1% · fair odds 2.38 · best 2.28
Outsider
Le Havre to win41.9% · fair odds 2.38 · best 2.34
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals33.2% · fair odds 3.01 · best 3.20
Outsider
Auxerre to win30.6% · fair odds 3.27 · best 3.22
Outsider
Draw27.5% · fair odds 3.64 · best 3.60
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.70 · Under 2.05
probability of over 54.7%
Cardsline 3.5 cards
Over 1.72 · Under 2.07
probability of over 54.6%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 111.7%
2 : 19.0%
1 : 09.0%
1 : 27.6%
0 : 17.5%
2 : 06.9%

Le Havre vs Auxerre: injuries, suspensions, absences

Le Havre

  • No reported absences

Auxerre

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Le Havre vs Auxerre: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Paris Saint Germain96-2-121:1020
2Lille95-3-112:618
3Lyon95-2-215:717
4Paris FC95-2-216:1017
5Rennes95-1-320:1916
6Marseille95-0-420:1315
7Monaco94-3-212:1015
8Nice94-2-313:1214
9Lens94-1-416:1313
10Lorient83-3-27:612
11Toulouse92-4-312:1310
12Strasbourg93-1-517:1910
13Auxerre93-1-513:2310
14Stade Brestois 2982-3-314:129
15Angers92-2-59:178
16Estac Troyes92-2-57:168
17Le Mans91-4-411:187
18Le Havre90-2-79:202

Recent matches

Le Havre

30 OctLLe Havre 1–5 Paris Saint Germain
25 OctLMarseille 4–3 Le Havre
18 OctLLe Havre 1–3 Auxerre
10 OctLLille 1–0 Le Havre
19 SeptLToulouse 3–2 Le Havre

Auxerre

1 NovLStrasbourg 5–1 Auxerre
25 OctDAuxerre 1–1 Le Mans
18 OctWLe Havre 1–3 Auxerre
11 OctLRennes 4–1 Auxerre
20 SeptWAuxerre 2–1 Stade Brestois 29

Home and away

Le Havre at home5 matches: 0W 1D 4L, goals 3–11
Auxerre away5 matches: 1W 0D 4L, goals 8–18

Le Havre vs Auxerre: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Le Havre: 18th, 2 points from 9 matches (0W 2D 7L). Auxerre: 13th, 10 points (3W 1D 5L).

What to expect

We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (11.7%). We expect goals and an open game.

The two signals clash: on table position the Auxerre look stronger, yet the bookmakers rate the home side a little higher. A game like that is hard to predict, so playing it safer with your bets makes sense.

On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.67), with a probability of 58% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 58% and over 2.5 goals is 54%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 54%.
  2. Not available: Le Havre 0, Auxerre 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 58%, odds up to 1.67). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Le Havre: no absences. Not available for Auxerre: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin4.7%

Le Havre vs Auxerre: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Le Havre vs Auxerre?

On the result, our pick is Le Havre or draw (1X) (1.40); on goals, Both teams to score (1.67). Prefer less risk? Go for Le Havre or draw (1X).

Who will win Le Havre vs Auxerre?

As we see it: Le Havre to win 42%, the draw 27%, Auxerre to win 31%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

18 October 2026, 16:15, at Stade Océane, Le Havre. Referee: E. Wattellier.

Who will be missing?

Le Havre: no absences. Auxerre: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 54% chance (odds 1.80), against 46% for under 2.5 (odds 2.18).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 58% (odds 1.67).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–1 (11.7%), 2–1 (9.0%), 1–0 (9.0%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29 2 NovToulouse vs Strasbourg 6 NovAuxerre vs Paris FC 7 NovParis Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes 7 NovRennes vs Lille 8 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.