Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 3–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Monaco and SC Freiburg meet on 22 October 2026 · 20:00 at Stade Louis II (Monaco), under referee S. Barrott. We see an evenly balanced game. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.
Monaco vs SC Freiburg: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 2.26 | 3.75 | 3.18 |
| Market average | 2.20 | 3.61 | 3.04 |
| Lowest odds | 2.10 | 3.33 | 2.78 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.17 | 79.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.70 | 1.62 | 58.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.35 | 2.27 | 41.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.57 | 2.46 | 38.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.51 | 61.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.60 | 2.44 | 38.2% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 22/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.2%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Monaco 1–1 SC Freiburg, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Monaco 6th (6 points), SC Freiburg 18th (3 points).
- Absences: Monaco 0, SC Freiburg 0.
Who will win Monaco vs SC Freiburg?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Monaco vs SC Freiburg: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
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Most likely correct scores
Monaco vs SC Freiburg: injuries, suspensions, absences
Monaco
- No reported absences
SC Freiburg
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Monaco vs SC Freiburg: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Panathinaikos | 2 | 2-0-0 | 7:2 | 6 |
| 2 |  FC Lugano | 2 | 2-0-0 | 8:4 | 6 |
| 3 |  Brann | 2 | 2-0-0 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 4 |  Trabzonspor | 2 | 2-0-0 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 5 |  Twente | 2 | 2-0-0 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 6 | Monaco | 2 | 2-0-0 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 7 |  St. Truiden | 2 | 2-0-0 | 3:0 | 6 |
| 8 |  HNK Hajduk Split | 2 | 2-0-0 | 3:1 | 6 |
| 9 |  Brighton | 2 | 1-1-0 | 4:0 | 4 |
| 10 |  FC Copenhagen | 2 | 1-1-0 | 5:2 | 4 |
| 11 |  Universitatea Craiova | 2 | 1-1-0 | 4:2 | 4 |
| 12 |  Mjällby AIF | 2 | 1-1-0 | 3:1 | 4 |
| 13 |  Ajax | 2 | 1-0-1 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 14 |  Borac Banja Luka | 2 | 1-0-1 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 15 |  Atalanta | 2 | 1-0-1 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 16 |  SC Braga | 2 | 1-0-1 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 17 |  Gent | 2 | 1-0-1 | 1:2 | 3 |
| 18 | SC Freiburg | 2 | 1-0-1 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 19 |  FC Nordsjælland | 2 | 0-2-0 | 3:3 | 2 |
| 20 |  Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 2 | 0-2-0 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 21 |  Riga | 2 | 0-2-0 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 22 |  FK Crvena Zvezda | 2 | 0-1-1 | 4:5 | 1 |
| 23 |  CSKA Sofia | 2 | 0-1-1 | 3:4 | 1 |
| 24 |  FK Jablonec | 2 | 0-1-1 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 25 |  FC Midtjylland | 2 | 0-1-1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 26 |  Aarhus | 2 | 0-1-1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 27 |  Pafos | 2 | 0-1-1 | 2:4 | 1 |
| 28 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 2 | 0-1-1 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 29 |  FC Iberia 1999 | 2 | 0-1-1 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 30 |  Getafe | 2 | 0-1-1 | 3:6 | 1 |
| 31 |  Kairat Almaty | 2 | 0-1-1 | 2:6 | 1 |
| 32 |  FC Thun | 2 | 0-0-2 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 33 |  Lincoln Red Imps FC | 2 | 0-0-2 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 34 |  KuPS | 2 | 0-0-2 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 35 |  Inter Club d'Escaldes | 2 | 0-0-2 | 1:5 | 0 |
| 36 |  Kauno Žalgiris | 2 | 0-0-2 | 1:8 | 0 |
Recent matches
Monaco
Home and away
Monaco vs SC Freiburg: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Monaco: 6th, 6 points from 2 matches (2W 0D 0L). SC Freiburg: 18th, 3 points (1W 0D 1L).
What to expect
We make Monaco the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (11.1%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.55), with a probability of 62% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 62% and over 2.5 goals is 58%.
Main points of the prediction
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 58%.
- Not available: Monaco 0, SC Freiburg 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 62%, odds up to 1.57). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Monaco: no absences. Not available for SC Freiburg: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
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Monaco vs SC Freiburg: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Monaco vs SC Freiburg?
On the result, our pick is Monaco or draw (1X) (1.40); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.55). Prefer less risk? Go for Monaco or draw (1X).
Who will win Monaco vs SC Freiburg?
As we see it: Monaco to win 43%, the draw 26%, SC Freiburg to win 31%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
22 October 2026, 20:00, at Stade Louis II, Monaco. Referee: S. Barrott.
Who will be missing?
Monaco: no absences. SC Freiburg: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 58% chance (odds 1.70), against 42% for under 2.5 (odds 2.35).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 62% (odds 1.57).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (11.1%), 2–1 (9.1%), 1–0 (8.2%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
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18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.