Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 3–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Paris FC entertain Monaco on 1 November 2026 · 16:15 at Stade Jean-Bouin (Paris), with Jeremy Stinat the man in the middle. We do not see a favourite here. Read on for our tip, the estimated probabilities, missing players and match analysis.
Paris FC vs Monaco: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 2.57 | 3.70 | 2.82 |
| Market average | 2.49 | 3.52 | 2.74 |
| Lowest odds | 2.39 | 3.21 | 2.62 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.27 | 1.23 | 76.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.83 | 1.77 | 54.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.17 | 2.08 | 46.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.00 | 2.83 | 33.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.65 | 1.59 | 58.6% |
| BTTS – no | 2.38 | 2.25 | 41.4% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 1/11/26, 13:03. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.2%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Paris FC 1–1 Monaco, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Paris FC 4th (17 points), Monaco 7th (15 points).
- Form in the competition: Paris FC 4W 2D 2L (13:9), Monaco 4W 3D 1L (11:7).
- H2H: 2 matches: Paris FC 2W 0D 0L, goals 5–1.
- Absences: Paris FC 6, Monaco 3.
Who will win Paris FC vs Monaco?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Paris FC vs Monaco: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Paris FC vs Monaco: injuries, suspensions, absences
Paris FC
- L. Koleoshomuscle injury · will miss the match
- N. Sanguimuscle injury · will miss the match
- A. Camarahamstring injury · doubtful
- S. Cherguiknee injury · doubtful
- J. Ikonethigh injury · doubtful
- K. Trappillness · doubtful
Monaco
- A. Fatihamstring injury · will miss the match
- S. Idumbogroin injury · will miss the match
- M. Salisuabsence · will miss the match
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Paris FC vs Monaco: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 6-2-1 | 21:10 | 20 |
| 2 |  Lille | 9 | 5-3-1 | 12:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  Lyon | 9 | 5-2-2 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 4 | Paris FC | 9 | 5-2-2 | 16:10 | 17 |
| 5 |  Rennes | 9 | 5-1-3 | 20:19 | 16 |
| 6 |  Marseille | 9 | 5-0-4 | 20:13 | 15 |
| 7 | Monaco | 9 | 4-3-2 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Nice | 9 | 4-2-3 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 9 |  Lens | 9 | 4-1-4 | 16:13 | 13 |
| 10 |  Lorient | 8 | 3-3-2 | 7:6 | 12 |
| 11 |  Toulouse | 9 | 2-4-3 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 12 |  Strasbourg | 9 | 3-1-5 | 17:19 | 10 |
| 13 |  Auxerre | 9 | 3-1-5 | 13:23 | 10 |
| 14 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 14:12 | 9 |
| 15 |  Angers | 9 | 2-2-5 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 16 |  Estac Troyes | 9 | 2-2-5 | 7:16 | 8 |
| 17 |  Le Mans | 9 | 1-4-4 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 9 | 0-2-7 | 9:20 | 2 |
Recent matches
Paris FC
Home and away
Paris FC vs Monaco: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Paris FC: 4th, 17 points from 9 matches (5W 2D 2L). Monaco: 7th, 15 points (4W 3D 2L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Paris FC 1.6 scored and 1.1 conceded, Monaco 1.4 scored and 0.9 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Paris FC: 4W 2D 2L, goals 13–9; Monaco: 4W 3D 1L, goals 11–7.
- Head to head. Head to head over 2 meetings: Paris FC 2 wins, Monaco 0 wins, plus 0 draws; goals 5–1.
What to expect
We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 1–1, close to 2 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (11.9%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.46), with a probability of 67% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 59% and over 2.5 goals is 54%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 2; Paris FC 2 wins, 0 draws, Monaco 0 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 3.0 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Paris FC 13–9, Monaco 11–7.
- Projected: close to 2 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 54%.
- Not available: Paris FC 6, Monaco 3.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 59%, odds up to 1.65). We project close to 2 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Paris FC: L. Koleosho, N. Sangui, A. Camara, S. Chergui, J. Ikone, K. Trapp. Not available for Monaco: A. Fati, S. Idumbo, M. Salisu. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Paris FC vs Monaco: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
Paris FCWLWLWMonacoLDLDWParis FC vs Monaco: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Paris FC vs Monaco: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Paris FC vs Monaco?
On the result, our pick is Paris FC or draw (1X) (1.49); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.46). Prefer less risk? Go for Paris FC or draw (1X).
Who will win Paris FC vs Monaco?
As we see it: Paris FC to win 38%, the draw 27%, Monaco to win 35%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
1 November 2026, 16:15, at Stade Jean-Bouin, Paris. Referee: Jeremy Stinat.
Who will be missing?
Paris FC: L. Koleosho, N. Sangui, A. Camara, S. Chergui, J. Ikone, K. Trapp. Monaco: A. Fati, S. Idumbo, M. Salisu. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 54% chance (odds 1.83), against 46% for under 2.5 (odds 2.17).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 59% (odds 1.65).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (11.9%), 1–0 (8.8%), 2–1 (8.6%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.