Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Auxerre v Le Mans takes place on 25 October 2026 · 16:15 at Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps (Auxerre); Willy Delajod will referee. We back Auxerre (45%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.
Auxerre vs Le Mans: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 2.16 | 3.70 | 3.54 |
| Market average | 2.11 | 3.62 | 3.37 |
| Lowest odds | 2.05 | 3.40 | 3.25 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.23 | 1.21 | 77.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.77 | 1.70 | 56.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.22 | 2.17 | 44.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.77 | 2.70 | 35.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.58 | 59.0% |
| BTTS – no | 2.38 | 2.27 | 41.0% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 25/10/26, 13:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 4.8%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Auxerre 1–1 Le Mans, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Auxerre 13th (10 points), Le Mans 17th (7 points).
- Form in the competition: Auxerre 3W 0D 4L (11:17), Le Mans 1W 3D 3L (10:15).
- H2H: 6 matches: Auxerre 3W 2D 1L, goals 9–7.
- Absences: Auxerre 6, Le Mans 4.
Who will win Auxerre vs Le Mans?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Auxerre vs Le Mans: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Auxerre vs Le Mans: injuries, suspensions, absences
Auxerre
- A. Diousseknee injury · will miss the match
- S. Fofanagroin injury · will miss the match
- R. Labeau Lascaryinjury · will miss the match
- B. Okohknee injury · will miss the match
- M. Senayahamstring injury · will miss the match
- T. Siwemuscle injury · will miss the match
Le Mans
- A. Bourabaaankle injury · will miss the match
- E. Colasinjury · will miss the match
- Y. Laroucigroin injury · will miss the match
- H. Voyerthigh injury · will miss the match
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Auxerre vs Le Mans: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 6-2-1 | 21:10 | 20 |
| 2 |  Lille | 9 | 5-3-1 | 12:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  Lyon | 9 | 5-2-2 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 4 |  Paris FC | 9 | 5-2-2 | 16:10 | 17 |
| 5 |  Rennes | 9 | 5-1-3 | 20:19 | 16 |
| 6 |  Marseille | 9 | 5-0-4 | 20:13 | 15 |
| 7 |  Monaco | 9 | 4-3-2 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Nice | 9 | 4-2-3 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 9 |  Lens | 9 | 4-1-4 | 16:13 | 13 |
| 10 |  Lorient | 8 | 3-3-2 | 7:6 | 12 |
| 11 |  Toulouse | 9 | 2-4-3 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 12 |  Strasbourg | 9 | 3-1-5 | 17:19 | 10 |
| 13 | Auxerre | 9 | 3-1-5 | 13:23 | 10 |
| 14 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 14:12 | 9 |
| 15 |  Angers | 9 | 2-2-5 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 16 |  Estac Troyes | 9 | 2-2-5 | 7:16 | 8 |
| 17 | Le Mans | 9 | 1-4-4 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 9 | 0-2-7 | 9:20 | 2 |
Recent matches
Auxerre
Home and away
Auxerre vs Le Mans: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Auxerre: 13th, 10 points from 9 matches (3W 1D 5L). Le Mans: 17th, 7 points (1W 4D 4L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Auxerre 1.6 scored and 2.4 conceded, Le Mans 1.4 scored and 2.1 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Auxerre: 3W 0D 4L, goals 11–17; Le Mans: 1W 3D 3L, goals 10–15.
- Head to head. Head to head over 6 meetings: Auxerre 3 wins, Le Mans 1 win, plus 2 draws; goals 9–7.
What to expect
We make Auxerre the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (11.3%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.48), with a probability of 65% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 59% and over 2.5 goals is 56%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 6; Auxerre 3 wins, 2 draws, Le Mans 1 win.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.7 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Auxerre 11–17, Le Mans 10–15.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 56%.
- Not available: Auxerre 6, Le Mans 4.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 59%, odds up to 1.62). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Auxerre: A. Diousse, S. Fofana, R. Labeau Lascary, B. Okoh, M. Senaya, T. Siwe. Not available for Le Mans: A. Bourabaa, E. Colas, Y. Larouci, H. Voyer. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Auxerre vs Le Mans: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
AuxerreLDWLWLe MansLDLLWAuxerre vs Le Mans: head to head
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Auxerre vs Le Mans: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Auxerre vs Le Mans?
On the result, our pick is Auxerre to win (2.16); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.48). Prefer less risk? Go for Auxerre or draw (1X).
Who will win Auxerre vs Le Mans?
As we see it: Auxerre to win 45%, the draw 26%, Le Mans to win 28%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
25 October 2026, 16:15, at Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps, Auxerre. Referee: Willy Delajod.
Who will be missing?
Auxerre: A. Diousse, S. Fofana, R. Labeau Lascary, B. Okoh, M. Senaya, T. Siwe. Le Mans: A. Bourabaa, E. Colas, Y. Larouci, H. Voyer. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 56% chance (odds 1.77), against 44% for under 2.5 (odds 2.22).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 59% (odds 1.62).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (11.3%), 2–1 (9.4%), 1–0 (9.1%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.