Bet with MINO CASINO →Marseille v Le Mans takes place on 22 November 2026 · 19:45 at Orange Vélodrome (Marseille). We back Marseille (70%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.
Marseille vs Le Mans: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.40 | 5.77 | 7.90 |
| Market average | 1.37 | 5.37 | 7.70 |
| Lowest odds | 1.36 | 4.75 | 7.50 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.11 | 1.08 | 85.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.40 | 1.38 | 68.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 3.00 | 2.94 | 31.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.07 | 2.03 | 47.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.60 | 58.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.24 | 2.22 | 41.9% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 08:31. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 4.6%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Marseille 2–1 Le Mans, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Marseille 6th (15 points), Le Mans 17th (7 points).
- Absences: Marseille 0, Le Mans 0.
Who will win Marseille vs Le Mans?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Marseille vs Le Mans: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Most likely correct scores
Marseille vs Le Mans: injuries, suspensions, absences
Marseille
- No reported absences
Le Mans
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Marseille vs Le Mans: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 6-2-1 | 21:10 | 20 |
| 2 |  Lille | 9 | 5-3-1 | 12:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  Lyon | 9 | 5-2-2 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 4 |  Paris FC | 9 | 5-2-2 | 16:10 | 17 |
| 5 |  Rennes | 9 | 5-1-3 | 20:19 | 16 |
| 6 | Marseille | 9 | 5-0-4 | 20:13 | 15 |
| 7 |  Monaco | 9 | 4-3-2 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Nice | 9 | 4-2-3 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 9 |  Lens | 9 | 4-1-4 | 16:13 | 13 |
| 10 |  Lorient | 8 | 3-3-2 | 7:6 | 12 |
| 11 |  Toulouse | 9 | 2-4-3 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 12 |  Strasbourg | 9 | 3-1-5 | 17:19 | 10 |
| 13 |  Auxerre | 9 | 3-1-5 | 13:23 | 10 |
| 14 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 14:12 | 9 |
| 15 |  Angers | 9 | 2-2-5 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 16 |  Estac Troyes | 9 | 2-2-5 | 7:16 | 8 |
| 17 | Le Mans | 9 | 1-4-4 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 9 | 0-2-7 | 9:20 | 2 |
Recent matches
Marseille
Home and away
Marseille vs Le Mans: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Marseille: 6th, 15 points from 9 matches (5W 0D 4L). Le Mans: 17th, 7 points (1W 4D 4L).
What to expect
We make Marseille the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 2–1 (9.4%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.62), with a probability of 58% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 58% and over 2.5 goals is 68%.
Main points of the prediction
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 68%.
- Not available: Marseille 0, Le Mans 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 58%, odds up to 1.62). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Marseille: no absences. Not available for Le Mans: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Returns calculator
Marseille vs Le Mans: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Marseille vs Le Mans?
On the result, our pick is Marseille to win (1.40); on goals, Both teams to score (1.62). Prefer less risk? Go for Marseille or draw (1X).
Who will win Marseille vs Le Mans?
As we see it: Marseille to win 70%, the draw 18%, Le Mans to win 12%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
22 November 2026, 19:45, at Orange Vélodrome, Marseille.
Who will be missing?
Marseille: no absences. Le Mans: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 68% chance (odds 1.40), against 32% for under 2.5 (odds 3.00).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 58% (odds 1.62).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 2–1 (9.4%), 2–0 (9.4%), 3–1 (7.9%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.