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Ligue 1 · Matchweek 7 · 18 October 2026 · 14:00

Angers vs Marseille tip, odds and prediction, 18 October 2026, Ligue 1

LDLLW
2–5
1Angers3.93
XDraw3.90
2Marseille2.04

Top odds available · Updated 18/10/26, 12:00

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Played: final score 2–5. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Angers and Marseille meet on 18 October 2026 · 14:00 at Stade Raymond-Kopa (Angers), under referee J. Pignard. Marseille (49%) are favourites in our book. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.

Angers vs Marseille: tip and prediction
Result
Marseille to win
2.04
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.56
49%chance of the result
62%goals tip: chance
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Marseille (X2) – probability 74%, odds up to 1.31.

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Angers vs Marseille: odds from several bookmakers

Match result1X2
Top odds available3.933.902.04
Market average3.753.781.95
Lowest odds3.603.501.90
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.201.1779.4%
Over 2.5 goals1.681.6358.6%
Under 2.5 goals2.382.3141.4%
Over 3.5 goals2.572.4638.0%
BTTS – yes1.571.5360.6%
BTTS – no2.452.3639.4%

Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 18/10/26, 12:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 4.5%.

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Match at a glance

  • Likely result: Angers 1–1 Marseille, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Angers 15th (8 points), Marseille 6th (15 points).
  • Absences: Angers 0, Marseille 0.

Who will win Angers vs Marseille?

Angers26%
Draw25%
Marseille49%

To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.

Angers vs Marseille: more betting markets

Over 1.5 goals79.4% · fair odds 1.26 · best 1.20
Likely
Draw or Marseille (X2)74.4% · fair odds 1.34 · best 1.31
Likely
Under 3.5 goals62.0% · fair odds 1.61 · best 1.56
Likely
Both teams score: yes60.6% · fair odds 1.65 · best 1.57
Likely
Over 2.5 goals58.6% · fair odds 1.71 · best 1.68
Possible
Marseille to win49.1% · fair odds 2.04 · best 2.04
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals41.4% · fair odds 2.41 · best 2.38
Outsider
Both teams score: no39.4% · fair odds 2.54 · best 2.45
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals38.0% · fair odds 2.63 · best 2.57
Outsider
Angers to win25.6% · fair odds 3.91 · best 3.93
Outsider
Draw25.3% · fair odds 3.95 · best 3.90
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.

Corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.81 · Under 1.92
probability of over 51.5%
Cardsline 3.5 cards
Over 1.73 · Under 2.04
probability of over 54.1%

Most likely correct scores

1 : 110.7%
1 : 29.6%
0 : 18.5%
0 : 27.7%
2 : 16.7%
2 : 26.0%

Angers vs Marseille: injuries, suspensions, absences

Angers

  • No reported absences

Marseille

  • No reported absences

Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Angers vs Marseille: form and table

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Paris Saint Germain96-2-121:1020
2Lille95-3-112:618
3Lyon95-2-215:717
4Paris FC95-2-216:1017
5Rennes95-1-320:1916
6Marseille95-0-420:1315
7Monaco94-3-212:1015
8Nice94-2-313:1214
9Lens94-1-416:1313
10Lorient83-3-27:612
11Toulouse92-4-312:1310
12Strasbourg93-1-517:1910
13Auxerre93-1-513:2310
14Stade Brestois 2982-3-314:129
15Angers92-2-59:178
16Estac Troyes92-2-57:168
17Le Mans91-4-411:187
18Le Havre90-2-79:202

Recent matches

Angers

1 NovLLyon 2–0 Angers
25 OctDAngers 0–0 Lorient
18 OctLAngers 2–5 Marseille
10 OctLStade Brestois 29 5–1 Angers
19 SeptWAngers 2–0 Estac Troyes

Marseille

1 NovWMarseille 2–0 Toulouse
25 OctWMarseille 4–3 Le Havre
22 OctLSturm Graz 1–0 Marseille
18 OctWAngers 2–5 Marseille
15 OctLMarseille 0–1 Olympiakos Piraeus

Home and away

Angers at home5 matches: 1W 1D 3L, goals 5–9
Marseille away4 matches: 2W 0D 2L, goals 7–5

Angers vs Marseille: our match analysis

Why this is our tip

  1. Table. Angers: 15th, 8 points from 9 matches (2W 2D 5L). Marseille: 6th, 15 points (5W 0D 4L).

What to expect

We make Marseille the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (10.7%). We expect goals and an open game.

On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.56), with a probability of 62% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 61% and over 2.5 goals is 59%.

Main points of the prediction

  1. Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 59%.
  2. Not available: Angers 0, Marseille 0.

Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes

Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 61%, odds up to 1.57). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.

Absences

Not available for Angers: no absences. Not available for Marseille: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.

Returns calculator

Potential return0 €
Net profit0 €
Implied probability0%
Market margin4.5%

Angers vs Marseille: common questions

Which bet do we recommend for Angers vs Marseille?

On the result, our pick is Marseille to win (2.04); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.56). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Marseille (X2).

Who will win Angers vs Marseille?

As we see it: Angers to win 26%, the draw 25%, Marseille to win 49%.

What is the kick-off time and venue?

18 October 2026, 14:00, at Stade Raymond-Kopa, Angers. Referee: J. Pignard.

Who will be missing?

Angers: no absences. Marseille: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.

Will the game go over 2.5 goals?

We give over 2.5 goals a 59% chance (odds 1.68), against 41% for under 2.5 (odds 2.38).

Will both teams score?

By our numbers, both sides scoring is 61% (odds 1.57).

What correct score is most probable?

In order: 1–1 (10.7%), 1–2 (9.6%), 0–1 (8.5%).

Where do your predictions come from?

It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.

More predictions

Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29 2 NovToulouse vs Strasbourg 6 NovAuxerre vs Paris FC 7 NovParis Saint Germain vs Estac Troyes 7 NovRennes vs Lille 8 Nov

18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.