Bet with MINO CASINO →Lens v Toulouse takes place on 21 November 2026 · 19:45 at Stade Bollaert-Delelis (Lens). We back Lens (49%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.
Lens vs Toulouse: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 2.02 | 4.07 | 3.66 |
| Market average | 1.95 | 3.84 | 3.59 |
| Lowest odds | 1.90 | 3.60 | 3.50 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.19 | 1.16 | 80.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.63 | 1.59 | 60.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.49 | 2.44 | 39.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.43 | 2.39 | 39.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.55 | 1.52 | 61.6% |
| BTTS – no | 2.47 | 2.43 | 38.4% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 08:31. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.3%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Lens 1–1 Toulouse, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Lens 9th (13 points), Toulouse 11th (10 points).
- Absences: Lens 0, Toulouse 0.
Who will win Lens vs Toulouse?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Lens vs Toulouse: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Most likely correct scores
Lens vs Toulouse: injuries, suspensions, absences
Lens
- No reported absences
Toulouse
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Lens vs Toulouse: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 6-2-1 | 21:10 | 20 |
| 2 |  Lille | 9 | 5-3-1 | 12:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  Lyon | 9 | 5-2-2 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 4 |  Paris FC | 9 | 5-2-2 | 16:10 | 17 |
| 5 |  Rennes | 9 | 5-1-3 | 20:19 | 16 |
| 6 |  Marseille | 9 | 5-0-4 | 20:13 | 15 |
| 7 |  Monaco | 9 | 4-3-2 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Nice | 9 | 4-2-3 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 9 | Lens | 9 | 4-1-4 | 16:13 | 13 |
| 10 |  Lorient | 8 | 3-3-2 | 7:6 | 12 |
| 11 | Toulouse | 9 | 2-4-3 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 12 |  Strasbourg | 9 | 3-1-5 | 17:19 | 10 |
| 13 |  Auxerre | 9 | 3-1-5 | 13:23 | 10 |
| 14 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 14:12 | 9 |
| 15 |  Angers | 9 | 2-2-5 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 16 |  Estac Troyes | 9 | 2-2-5 | 7:16 | 8 |
| 17 |  Le Mans | 9 | 1-4-4 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 9 | 0-2-7 | 9:20 | 2 |
Recent matches
Lens
Home and away
Lens vs Toulouse: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Lens: 9th, 13 points from 9 matches (4W 1D 4L). Toulouse: 11th, 10 points (2W 4D 3L).
What to expect
We make Lens the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (10.5%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.55), with a probability of 62% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 62% and over 2.5 goals is 61%.
Main points of the prediction
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 61%.
- Not available: Lens 0, Toulouse 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 62%, odds up to 1.55). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Lens: no absences. Not available for Toulouse: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Returns calculator
Lens vs Toulouse: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Lens vs Toulouse?
On the result, our pick is Lens to win (2.02); on goals, Both teams to score (1.55). Prefer less risk? Go for Lens or draw (1X).
Who will win Lens vs Toulouse?
As we see it: Lens to win 49%, the draw 25%, Toulouse to win 26%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
21 November 2026, 19:45, at Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens.
Who will be missing?
Lens: no absences. Toulouse: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 61% chance (odds 1.63), against 39% for under 2.5 (odds 2.49).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 62% (odds 1.55).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (10.5%), 2–1 (9.5%), 1–0 (8.1%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.