Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Lille v Lens takes place on 30 October 2026 · 20:05 at Stade Pierre-Mauroy (Lille); Jérôme Brisard will referee. We call it a level game. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.
Lille vs Lens: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 2.76 | 3.37 | 2.83 |
| Market average | 2.64 | 3.27 | 2.71 |
| Lowest odds | 2.38 | 3.10 | 2.56 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.35 | 1.31 | 71.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.08 | 1.99 | 47.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.02 | 1.83 | 52.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.64 | 3.48 | 27.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.78 | 1.74 | 53.5% |
| BTTS – no | 2.05 | 2.01 | 46.5% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 30/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.5%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Lille 1–1 Lens, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Lille 2nd (18 points), Lens 9th (13 points).
- Form in the competition: Lille 4W 3D 1L (11:6), Lens 4W 1D 3L (16:12).
- H2H: 18 matches: Lille 11W 4D 3L, goals 31–14.
- Absences: Lille 4, Lens 6.
Who will win Lille vs Lens?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Lille vs Lens: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Lille vs Lens: injuries, suspensions, absences
Lille
- H. Igamaneknee injury · will miss the match
- T. Nianzoured card · will miss the match
- T. Santosknee injury · will miss the match
- A. Uedafoot injury · will miss the match
Lens
- N. Celiknot in the squad · will miss the match
- J. Chavezabsence · will miss the match
- O. Edouardgroin injury · will miss the match
- I. Ganiouknee injury · will miss the match
- M. Nawrockiknee injury · will miss the match
- A. Simamuscle injury · will miss the match
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Lille vs Lens: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 6-2-1 | 21:10 | 20 |
| 2 | Lille | 9 | 5-3-1 | 12:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  Lyon | 9 | 5-2-2 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 4 |  Paris FC | 9 | 5-2-2 | 16:10 | 17 |
| 5 |  Rennes | 9 | 5-1-3 | 20:19 | 16 |
| 6 |  Marseille | 9 | 5-0-4 | 20:13 | 15 |
| 7 |  Monaco | 9 | 4-3-2 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Nice | 9 | 4-2-3 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 9 | Lens | 9 | 4-1-4 | 16:13 | 13 |
| 10 |  Lorient | 8 | 3-3-2 | 7:6 | 12 |
| 11 |  Toulouse | 9 | 2-4-3 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 12 |  Strasbourg | 9 | 3-1-5 | 17:19 | 10 |
| 13 |  Auxerre | 9 | 3-1-5 | 13:23 | 10 |
| 14 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 14:12 | 9 |
| 15 |  Angers | 9 | 2-2-5 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 16 |  Estac Troyes | 9 | 2-2-5 | 7:16 | 8 |
| 17 |  Le Mans | 9 | 1-4-4 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 9 | 0-2-7 | 9:20 | 2 |
Recent matches
Lille
Home and away
Lille vs Lens: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Lille: 2nd, 18 points from 9 matches (5W 3D 1L). Lens: 9th, 13 points (4W 1D 4L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Lille 1.4 scored and 0.8 conceded, Lens 2.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Lille: 4W 3D 1L, goals 11–6; Lens: 4W 1D 3L, goals 16–12.
- Head to head. Head to head over 18 meetings: Lille 11 wins, Lens 3 wins, plus 4 draws; goals 31–14.
What to expect
We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 1–1, close to 2 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (12.7%). We see a fairly level contest.
On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.78), with a probability of 54% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 54% and over 2.5 goals is 48%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 18; Lille 11 wins, 4 draws, Lens 3 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.5 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Lille 11–6, Lens 16–12.
- Projected: close to 2 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 48%.
- Not available: Lille 4, Lens 6.
Alternative tip: Lille or draw (1X)
Other option: Lille or draw (1X) (probability 65%, odds up to 1.50). We project close to 2 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Lille: H. Igamane, T. Nianzou, T. Santos, A. Ueda. Not available for Lens: N. Celik, J. Chavez, O. Edouard, I. Ganiou, M. Nawrocki, A. Sima. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Lille vs Lens: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
LilleWDDWLLensLWWWLLille vs Lens: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Lille vs Lens: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Lille vs Lens?
On the result, our pick is Lille or draw (1X) (1.50); on goals, Both teams to score (1.78). Prefer less risk? Go for Lille or draw (1X).
Who will win Lille vs Lens?
As we see it: Lille to win 36%, the draw 29%, Lens to win 35%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
30 October 2026, 20:05, at Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Lille. Referee: Jérôme Brisard.
Who will be missing?
Lille: H. Igamane, T. Nianzou, T. Santos, A. Ueda. Lens: N. Celik, J. Chavez, O. Edouard, I. Ganiou, M. Nawrocki, A. Sima. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 48% chance (odds 2.08), against 52% for under 2.5 (odds 2.02).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 54% (odds 1.78).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (12.7%), 1–0 (10.2%), 0–1 (9.8%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.