Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 2–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Lens v Paris FC takes place on 24 October 2026 · 19:45 at Stade Bollaert-Delelis (Lens); M. Vernice will referee. We call it a level game. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.
Lens vs Paris FC: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 2.65 | 3.66 | 2.77 |
| Market average | 2.56 | 3.53 | 2.69 |
| Lowest odds | 2.45 | 3.30 | 2.62 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.22 | 1.19 | 79.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.69 | 1.64 | 57.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.36 | 2.27 | 42.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.64 | 2.53 | 37.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.53 | 1.50 | 62.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.50 | 2.45 | 37.9% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 24/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 4.8%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Lens 1–1 Paris FC, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Lens 9th (13 points), Paris FC 4th (17 points).
- Form in the competition: Lens 3W 1D 3L (14:11), Paris FC 4W 2D 1L (12:7).
- H2H: 14 matches: Lens 7W 4D 3L, goals 18–10.
- Absences: Lens 5, Paris FC 2.
Who will win Lens vs Paris FC?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Lens vs Paris FC: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Lens vs Paris FC: injuries, suspensions, absences
Lens
- O. Edouardinjury · will miss the match
- I. Ganiouknee injury · will miss the match
- J. Graditmuscle injury · will miss the match
- M. Nawrockiknee injury · will miss the match
- A. Simamuscle injury · will miss the match
Paris FC
- J. Ikonethigh injury · will miss the match
- N. Sanguimuscle injury · will miss the match
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Lens vs Paris FC: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 6-2-1 | 21:10 | 20 |
| 2 |  Lille | 9 | 5-3-1 | 12:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  Lyon | 9 | 5-2-2 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 4 | Paris FC | 9 | 5-2-2 | 16:10 | 17 |
| 5 |  Rennes | 9 | 5-1-3 | 20:19 | 16 |
| 6 |  Marseille | 9 | 5-0-4 | 20:13 | 15 |
| 7 |  Monaco | 9 | 4-3-2 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Nice | 9 | 4-2-3 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 9 | Lens | 9 | 4-1-4 | 16:13 | 13 |
| 10 |  Lorient | 8 | 3-3-2 | 7:6 | 12 |
| 11 |  Toulouse | 9 | 2-4-3 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 12 |  Strasbourg | 9 | 3-1-5 | 17:19 | 10 |
| 13 |  Auxerre | 9 | 3-1-5 | 13:23 | 10 |
| 14 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 14:12 | 9 |
| 15 |  Angers | 9 | 2-2-5 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 16 |  Estac Troyes | 9 | 2-2-5 | 7:16 | 8 |
| 17 |  Le Mans | 9 | 1-4-4 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 9 | 0-2-7 | 9:20 | 2 |
Recent matches
Lens
Home and away
Lens vs Paris FC: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Lens: 9th, 13 points from 9 matches (4W 1D 4L). Paris FC: 4th, 17 points (5W 2D 2L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Lens 2.0 scored and 1.6 conceded, Paris FC 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Lens: 3W 1D 3L, goals 14–11; Paris FC: 4W 2D 1L, goals 12–7.
- Head to head. Head to head over 14 meetings: Lens 7 wins, Paris FC 3 wins, plus 4 draws; goals 18–10.
What to expect
We see a fairly level contest. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (11.4%). We expect goals and an open game.
The two signals clash: on table position the Paris FC look stronger, yet the bookmakers rate the home side a little higher. A game like that is hard to predict, so playing it safer with your bets makes sense.
On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.54), with a probability of 63% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 62% and over 2.5 goals is 58%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 14; Lens 7 wins, 4 draws, Paris FC 3 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.0 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Lens 14–11, Paris FC 12–7.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 58%.
- Not available: Lens 5, Paris FC 2.
Alternative tip: Lens or draw (1X)
Other option: Lens or draw (1X) (probability 64%, odds up to 1.50). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Lens: O. Edouard, I. Ganiou, J. Gradit, M. Nawrocki, A. Sima. Not available for Paris FC: J. Ikone, N. Sangui. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Lens vs Paris FC: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
LensLWWWLParis FCWLWLWLens vs Paris FC: head to head
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Lens vs Paris FC: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Lens vs Paris FC?
On the result, our pick is Lens or draw (1X) (1.50); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.54). Prefer less risk? Go for Lens or draw (1X).
Who will win Lens vs Paris FC?
As we see it: Lens to win 37%, the draw 27%, Paris FC to win 36%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
24 October 2026, 19:45, at Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens. Referee: M. Vernice.
Who will be missing?
Lens: O. Edouard, I. Ganiou, J. Gradit, M. Nawrocki, A. Sima. Paris FC: J. Ikone, N. Sangui. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 58% chance (odds 1.69), against 42% for under 2.5 (odds 2.36).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 62% (odds 1.53).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (11.4%), 2–1 (8.5%), 1–2 (8.3%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.