Bet with MINO CASINO →Lens and Marseille meet on 8 November 2026 · 19:45 at Stade Bollaert-Delelis (Lens). Lens (46%) are favourites in our book. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.
Lens vs Marseille: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 2.12 | 4.16 | 3.30 |
| Market average | 2.06 | 3.91 | 3.16 |
| Lowest odds | 2.00 | 3.75 | 3.10 |
| Megapari | 2.12 | 4.16 | 3.31 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.15 | 1.12 | 83.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.50 | 1.45 | 64.9% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.75 | 2.67 | 35.1% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.23 | 2.16 | 44.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.44 | 1.41 | 66.0% |
| BTTS – no | 2.88 | 2.74 | 34.0% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 08:31. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.8%.
Megapari: prices for this match
Partner odds, refreshed 2/11/26, 15:11. A click takes you to this match at Megapari. 18+
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Lens 1–1 Marseille, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Lens 9th (13 points), Marseille 6th (15 points).
- Form in the competition: Lens 4W 1D 4L (16:13), Marseille 5W 0D 4L (20:13).
- H2H: 17 matches: Lens 7W 2D 8L, goals 18–28.
- Absences: Lens 0, Marseille 0.
Who will win Lens vs Marseille?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Lens vs Marseille: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Lens vs Marseille: injuries, suspensions, absences
Lens
- No reported absences
Marseille
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Lens vs Marseille: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 6-2-1 | 21:10 | 20 |
| 2 |  Lille | 9 | 5-3-1 | 12:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  Lyon | 9 | 5-2-2 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 4 |  Paris FC | 9 | 5-2-2 | 16:10 | 17 |
| 5 |  Rennes | 9 | 5-1-3 | 20:19 | 16 |
| 6 | Marseille | 9 | 5-0-4 | 20:13 | 15 |
| 7 |  Monaco | 9 | 4-3-2 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Nice | 9 | 4-2-3 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 9 | Lens | 9 | 4-1-4 | 16:13 | 13 |
| 10 |  Lorient | 8 | 3-3-2 | 7:6 | 12 |
| 11 |  Toulouse | 9 | 2-4-3 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 12 |  Strasbourg | 9 | 3-1-5 | 17:19 | 10 |
| 13 |  Auxerre | 9 | 3-1-5 | 13:23 | 10 |
| 14 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 14:12 | 9 |
| 15 |  Angers | 9 | 2-2-5 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 16 |  Estac Troyes | 9 | 2-2-5 | 7:16 | 8 |
| 17 |  Le Mans | 9 | 1-4-4 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 9 | 0-2-7 | 9:20 | 2 |
Recent matches
Lens
Home and away
Lens vs Marseille: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Lens: 9th, 13 points from 9 matches (4W 1D 4L). Marseille: 6th, 15 points (5W 0D 4L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Lens 1.8 scored and 1.4 conceded, Marseille 2.2 scored and 1.4 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Lens: 4W 1D 4L, goals 16–13; Marseille: 5W 0D 4L, goals 20–13.
- Head to head. Head to head over 17 meetings: Lens 7 wins, Marseille 8 wins, plus 2 draws; goals 18–28.
What to expect
We make Lens the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (9.9%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.50), with a probability of 65% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 66% and over 2.5 goals is 65%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 17; Lens 7 wins, 2 draws, Marseille 8 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.7 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Lens 16–13, Marseille 20–13.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 65%.
- Not available: Lens 0, Marseille 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Other option: Under 3.5 goals (probability 56%, odds up to 1.76). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Lens: no absences. Not available for Marseille: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Lens vs Marseille: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
LensLWWWLMarseilleWWWWLLens vs Marseille: head to head
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Lens vs Marseille: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Lens vs Marseille?
On the result, our pick is Lens to win (2.12); on goals, Over 2.5 goals (1.50). Prefer less risk? Go for Lens or draw (1X).
Who will win Lens vs Marseille?
As we see it: Lens to win 46%, the draw 24%, Marseille to win 30%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
8 November 2026, 19:45, at Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens.
Who will be missing?
Lens: no absences. Marseille: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 65% chance (odds 1.50), against 35% for under 2.5 (odds 2.75).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 66% (odds 1.44).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (9.9%), 2–1 (9.2%), 1–2 (7.2%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.