Bet with MINO CASINO →Le Mans v Monaco takes place on 8 November 2026 · 16:15 at Stade Marie-Marvingt (Le Mans). We back Monaco (54%) as favourites. Further down: the tip, the probability of each result, absences and our view of the game.
Le Mans vs Monaco: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 4.41 | 4.31 | 1.80 |
| Market average | 4.20 | 4.04 | 1.75 |
| Lowest odds | 4.00 | 3.80 | 1.70 |
| Megapari | 4.41 | 4.31 | 1.80 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.19 | 1.16 | 80.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.64 | 1.59 | 59.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.46 | 2.36 | 40.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.48 | 2.40 | 39.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.56 | 59.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.38 | 2.31 | 40.3% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 2/11/26, 08:31. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 5.7%.
Megapari: prices for this match
Partner odds, refreshed 2/11/26, 15:11. A click takes you to this match at Megapari. 18+
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Le Mans 1–1 Monaco, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Le Mans 17th (7 points), Monaco 7th (15 points).
- Form in the competition: Le Mans 1W 4D 4L (11:18), Monaco 4W 3D 1L (11:7).
- H2H: 4 matches: Le Mans 0W 1D 3L, goals 5–8.
- Absences: Le Mans 0, Monaco 0.
Who will win Le Mans vs Monaco?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Le Mans vs Monaco: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Le Mans vs Monaco: injuries, suspensions, absences
Le Mans
- No reported absences
Monaco
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Le Mans vs Monaco: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 6-2-1 | 21:10 | 20 |
| 2 |  Lille | 9 | 5-3-1 | 12:6 | 18 |
| 3 |  Lyon | 9 | 5-2-2 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 4 |  Paris FC | 9 | 5-2-2 | 16:10 | 17 |
| 5 |  Rennes | 9 | 5-1-3 | 20:19 | 16 |
| 6 |  Marseille | 9 | 5-0-4 | 20:13 | 15 |
| 7 | Monaco | 9 | 4-3-2 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 8 |  Nice | 9 | 4-2-3 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 9 |  Lens | 9 | 4-1-4 | 16:13 | 13 |
| 10 |  Lorient | 8 | 3-3-2 | 7:6 | 12 |
| 11 |  Toulouse | 9 | 2-4-3 | 12:13 | 10 |
| 12 |  Strasbourg | 9 | 3-1-5 | 17:19 | 10 |
| 13 |  Auxerre | 9 | 3-1-5 | 13:23 | 10 |
| 14 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 8 | 2-3-3 | 14:12 | 9 |
| 15 |  Angers | 9 | 2-2-5 | 9:17 | 8 |
| 16 |  Estac Troyes | 9 | 2-2-5 | 7:16 | 8 |
| 17 | Le Mans | 9 | 1-4-4 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 9 | 0-2-7 | 9:20 | 2 |
Recent matches
Le Mans
Home and away
Le Mans vs Monaco: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Le Mans: 17th, 7 points from 9 matches (1W 4D 4L). Monaco: 7th, 15 points (4W 3D 2L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Le Mans 1.2 scored and 2.0 conceded, Monaco 1.4 scored and 0.9 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Le Mans: 1W 4D 4L, goals 11–18; Monaco: 4W 3D 1L, goals 11–7.
- Head to head. Head to head over 4 meetings: Le Mans 0 wins, Monaco 3 wins, plus 1 draw; goals 5–8.
What to expect
We make Monaco the favourites. The projected scoreline is 1–2, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (10.3%). We expect goals and an open game.
On goals we like Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.57), with a probability of 61% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 60% and over 2.5 goals is 60%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 4; Le Mans 0 wins, 1 draw, Monaco 3 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 3.3 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Le Mans 11–18, Monaco 11–7.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 60%.
- Not available: Le Mans 0, Monaco 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Other option: Over 2.5 goals (probability 60%, odds up to 1.64). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Le Mans: no absences. Not available for Monaco: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Le Mans vs Monaco: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
Le MansLDLLWMonacoLDLDWLe Mans vs Monaco: head to head
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Le Mans vs Monaco: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Le Mans vs Monaco?
On the result, our pick is Monaco to win (1.80); on goals, Under 3.5 goals (1.57). Prefer less risk? Go for Draw or Monaco (X2).
Who will win Le Mans vs Monaco?
As we see it: Le Mans to win 23%, the draw 23%, Monaco to win 54%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
8 November 2026, 16:15, at Stade Marie-Marvingt, Le Mans.
Who will be missing?
Le Mans: no absences. Monaco: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 60% chance (odds 1.64), against 40% for under 2.5 (odds 2.46).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 60% (odds 1.57).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (10.3%), 1–2 (9.8%), 0–1 (9.0%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.