Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 4–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
FC Porto and Estoril meet on 31 October 2026 · 20:30 at Estádio do Dragão (Porto), under referee Miguel Bertolo Nogueira. FC Porto (80%) are favourites in our book. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.
FC Porto vs Estoril: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.21 | 8.05 | 18.00 |
| Market average | 1.17 | 7.11 | 15.03 |
| Lowest odds | 1.14 | 5.32 | 9.64 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.18 | 1.14 | 82.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.67 | 1.51 | 62.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.73 | 2.50 | 37.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.40 | 2.23 | 42.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 2.50 | 2.31 | 40.6% |
| BTTS – no | 1.65 | 1.57 | 59.4% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 31/10/26, 14:10. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.4%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: FC Porto 2–0 Estoril, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: FC Porto 1st (30 points), Estoril 18th (2 points).
- Form in the competition: FC Porto 9W 0D 0L (21:4), Estoril 0W 2D 7L (5:15).
- H2H: 25 matches: FC Porto 18W 3D 4L, goals 56–21.
- Absences: FC Porto 0, Estoril 0.
Who will win FC Porto vs Estoril?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
FC Porto vs Estoril: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
FC Porto vs Estoril: injuries, suspensions, absences
FC Porto
- No reported absences
Estoril
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
FC Porto vs Estoril: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 10 | 10-0-0 | 25:4 | 30 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 9 | 7-1-1 | 26:8 | 22 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 10 | 6-3-1 | 23:11 | 21 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 10 | 6-3-1 | 15:6 | 21 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 10 | 6-2-2 | 13:7 | 20 |
| 6 |  Académico Viseu | 10 | 6-2-2 | 15:12 | 20 |
| 7 |  GIL Vicente | 9 | 4-2-3 | 8:7 | 14 |
| 8 |  SC Braga | 10 | 4-2-4 | 12:11 | 14 |
| 9 |  Moreirense | 10 | 4-2-4 | 13:17 | 14 |
| 10 |  Alverca | 9 | 3-2-4 | 13:13 | 11 |
| 11 |  Famalicão | 10 | 2-4-4 | 14:14 | 10 |
| 12 |  Estrela | 10 | 2-4-4 | 15:19 | 10 |
| 13 |  Vitória SC | 9 | 2-2-5 | 10:10 | 8 |
| 14 |  Marítimo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 9:21 | 8 |
| 15 |  Nacional | 10 | 2-1-7 | 10:19 | 7 |
| 16 |  Rio Ave | 10 | 2-1-7 | 9:23 | 7 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 10 | 2-1-7 | 5:19 | 7 |
| 18 | Estoril | 10 | 0-2-8 | 5:19 | 2 |
Recent matches
FC Porto
Home and away
FC Porto vs Estoril: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. FC Porto: 1st, 30 points from 10 matches (10W 0D 0L). Estoril: 18th, 2 points (0W 2D 8L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: FC Porto 2.3 scored and 0.4 conceded, Estoril 0.6 scored and 1.7 conceded.
- Form in the competition. FC Porto: 9W 0D 0L, goals 21–4; Estoril: 0W 2D 7L, goals 5–15.
- Head to head. Head to head over 25 meetings: FC Porto 18 wins, Estoril 4 wins, plus 3 draws; goals 56–21.
What to expect
We make FC Porto the favourites. The projected scoreline is 3–1, close to 4 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 2–0 (13.8%). We expect goals and an open game.
The result only pays 1.21, so the goals markets are an option too: Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.67), with a probability of 62% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 41% and over 2.5 goals is 62%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 25; FC Porto 18 wins, 3 draws, Estoril 4 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 3.1 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: FC Porto 21–4, Estoril 5–15.
- Projected: close to 4 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 62%.
- Not available: FC Porto 0, Estoril 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: no
Other option: Both teams score: no (probability 59%, odds up to 1.65). We project close to 4 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for FC Porto: no absences. Not available for Estoril: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
FC Porto vs Estoril: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
FC PortoWWWWWEstorilLLLLLFC Porto vs Estoril: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
FC Porto vs Estoril: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for FC Porto vs Estoril?
On the result, our pick is FC Porto to win (1.21); on goals, Over 2.5 goals (1.67). Prefer less risk? Go for FC Porto or draw (1X).
Who will win FC Porto vs Estoril?
As we see it: FC Porto to win 80%, the draw 13%, Estoril to win 6%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
31 October 2026, 20:30, at Estádio do Dragão, Porto. Referee: Miguel Bertolo Nogueira.
Who will be missing?
FC Porto: no absences. Estoril: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 62% chance (odds 1.67), against 38% for under 2.5 (odds 2.73).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 41% (odds 2.50).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 2–0 (13.8%), 3–0 (11.9%), 1–0 (10.6%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.