Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 0–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
FC Porto and PSV Eindhoven meet on 20 October 2026 · 20:00 at Estádio do Dragão (Porto), under referee Daniel Siebert. FC Porto (63%) are favourites in our book. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.
FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.57 | 4.78 | 6.13 |
| Market average | 1.53 | 4.57 | 5.77 |
| Lowest odds | 1.50 | 4.27 | 5.50 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.19 | 1.15 | 81.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.60 | 1.53 | 61.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.60 | 2.44 | 38.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.49 | 2.37 | 40.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.67 | 1.63 | 57.0% |
| BTTS – no | 2.30 | 2.17 | 43.0% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 20/10/26, 18:00. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 4.9%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: FC Porto 2–1 PSV Eindhoven, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: FC Porto 34th (0 points), PSV Eindhoven 18th (4 points).
- H2H: 1 match: FC Porto 0W 0D 1L, goals 0–1.
- Absences: FC Porto 0, PSV Eindhoven 0.
Who will win FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven: injuries, suspensions, absences
FC Porto
- No reported absences
PSV Eindhoven
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 3 | 3-0-0 | 14:5 | 9 |
| 2 |  Aston Villa | 3 | 3-0-0 | 12:3 | 9 |
| 3 |  Liverpool | 3 | 3-0-0 | 12:7 | 9 |
| 4 |  Real Madrid | 3 | 3-0-0 | 10:5 | 9 |
| 5 |  Real Betis | 3 | 3-0-0 | 7:4 | 9 |
| 6 |  VfB Stuttgart | 3 | 2-1-0 | 7:2 | 7 |
| 7 |  Arsenal | 3 | 2-1-0 | 6:2 | 7 |
| 8 |  Barcelona | 3 | 2-0-1 | 11:6 | 6 |
| 9 |  Como | 3 | 2-0-1 | 10:5 | 6 |
| 10 |  Manchester City | 3 | 2-0-1 | 9:5 | 6 |
| 11 |  Club Brugge KV | 3 | 2-0-1 | 9:6 | 6 |
| 12 |  Sporting CP | 3 | 2-0-1 | 7:4 | 6 |
| 13 |  Borussia Dortmund | 3 | 2-0-1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 14 |  Bayern München | 3 | 1-2-0 | 10:5 | 5 |
| 15 |  AS Roma | 3 | 1-1-1 | 8:5 | 4 |
| 16 |  Atlético Madrid | 3 | 1-1-1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 17 |  Shakhtar Donetsk | 3 | 1-1-1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 18 | PSV Eindhoven | 3 | 1-1-1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 19 |  Villarreal | 3 | 1-0-2 | 8:8 | 3 |
| 20 |  Inter | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 21 |  Manchester United | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:6 | 3 |
| 22 |  Napoli | 3 | 1-0-2 | 5:7 | 3 |
| 23 |  Galatasaray | 3 | 1-0-2 | 6:9 | 3 |
| 24 |  Lask Linz | 3 | 1-0-2 | 6:9 | 3 |
| 25 |  Sabah FA | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 26 |  Feyenoord | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:8 | 3 |
| 27 |  Lens | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:7 | 3 |
| 28 |  Bodø/Glimt | 3 | 1-0-2 | 4:9 | 3 |
| 29 |  AEK Athens FC | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:8 | 3 |
| 30 |  RB Leipzig | 3 | 1-0-2 | 3:8 | 3 |
| 31 |  Fenerbahçe | 3 | 0-2-1 | 3:9 | 2 |
| 32 |  Slavia Praha | 3 | 0-1-2 | 4:7 | 1 |
| 33 |  Viking | 3 | 0-1-2 | 5:9 | 1 |
| 34 | FC Porto | 3 | 0-0-3 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 35 |  Lille | 3 | 0-0-3 | 4:10 | 0 |
| 36 |  Slovan Bratislava | 3 | 0-0-3 | 1:13 | 0 |
Recent matches
FC Porto
Home and away
FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. FC Porto: 34th, 0 points from 3 matches (0W 0D 3L). PSV Eindhoven: 18th, 4 points (1W 1D 1L).
- Head to head. Head to head over 1 meetings: FC Porto 0 wins, PSV Eindhoven 1 win, plus 0 draws; goals 0–1.
What to expect
We make FC Porto the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 2–1 (9.9%). We expect goals and an open game.
The two signals clash: on table position the PSV Eindhoven look stronger, yet the bookmakers rate the home side a little higher. A game like that is hard to predict, so playing it safer with your bets makes sense.
On goals we like Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.60), with a probability of 61% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 57% and over 2.5 goals is 61%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 1; FC Porto 0 wins, 0 draws, PSV Eindhoven 1 win.
- Average goals in their meetings: 1.0 per match.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 61%.
- Not available: FC Porto 0, PSV Eindhoven 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Other option: Under 3.5 goals (probability 60%, odds up to 1.65). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for FC Porto: no absences. Not available for PSV Eindhoven: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven: head to head
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FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven?
On the result, our pick is FC Porto to win (1.57); on goals, Over 2.5 goals (1.60). Prefer less risk? Go for FC Porto or draw (1X).
Who will win FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven?
As we see it: FC Porto to win 63%, the draw 21%, PSV Eindhoven to win 17%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
20 October 2026, 20:00, at Estádio do Dragão, Porto. Referee: Daniel Siebert.
Who will be missing?
FC Porto: no absences. PSV Eindhoven: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 61% chance (odds 1.60), against 39% for under 2.5 (odds 2.60).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 57% (odds 1.67).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 2–1 (9.9%), 2–0 (9.4%), 1–1 (9.2%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.