Bet with MINO CASINO →Played: final score 1–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Estoril and Moreirense meet on 25 October 2026 · 15:30 at Estádio António Coimbra da Mota (Estoril), under referee C. Macedo. Estoril (52%) are favourites in our book. Scroll on for our tip, the chance of each result, team news and our analysis.
Estoril vs Moreirense: odds from several bookmakers
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top odds available | 1.88 | 3.75 | 4.44 |
| Market average | 1.82 | 3.61 | 4.24 |
| Lowest odds | 1.75 | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.32 | 1.29 | 72.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.01 | 1.93 | 49.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.90 | 1.86 | 51.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.42 | 3.30 | 28.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.83 | 1.80 | 51.5% |
| BTTS – no | 1.95 | 1.92 | 48.5% |
Our odds combine the prices of several bookmakers and were refreshed 25/10/26, 13:39. Use them for guidance only, since one operator may quote differently. The margin averages 6.3%.
Match at a glance
- Likely result: Estoril 1–1 Moreirense, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Estoril 18th (2 points), Moreirense 9th (14 points).
- Form in the competition: Estoril 0W 2D 6L (4:12), Moreirense 2W 2D 4L (8:15).
- H2H: 19 matches: Estoril 6W 7D 6L, goals 26–25.
- Absences: Estoril 0, Moreirense 0.
Who will win Estoril vs Moreirense?
To reach this estimate we remove the margin from several bookmakers' odds. Nothing about the outcome is guaranteed.
Estoril vs Moreirense: more betting markets
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Whenever the best odds on offer top the fair odds, that price is value. Likely: ≥ 60%; possible: 50–60%; outsider: anything under 50%.
Corners and cards
Most likely correct scores
Estoril vs Moreirense: injuries, suspensions, absences
Estoril
- No reported absences
Moreirense
- No reported absences
Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Estoril vs Moreirense: form and table
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 10 | 10-0-0 | 25:4 | 30 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 9 | 7-1-1 | 26:8 | 22 |
| 3 |  Sporting CP | 10 | 6-3-1 | 23:11 | 21 |
| 4 |  Santa Clara | 10 | 6-3-1 | 15:6 | 21 |
| 5 |  Arouca | 10 | 6-2-2 | 13:7 | 20 |
| 6 |  Académico Viseu | 10 | 6-2-2 | 15:12 | 20 |
| 7 |  GIL Vicente | 9 | 4-2-3 | 8:7 | 14 |
| 8 |  SC Braga | 10 | 4-2-4 | 12:11 | 14 |
| 9 | Moreirense | 10 | 4-2-4 | 13:17 | 14 |
| 10 |  Alverca | 9 | 3-2-4 | 13:13 | 11 |
| 11 |  Famalicão | 10 | 2-4-4 | 14:14 | 10 |
| 12 |  Estrela | 10 | 2-4-4 | 15:19 | 10 |
| 13 |  Vitória SC | 9 | 2-2-5 | 10:10 | 8 |
| 14 |  Marítimo | 10 | 2-2-6 | 9:21 | 8 |
| 15 |  Nacional | 10 | 2-1-7 | 10:19 | 7 |
| 16 |  Rio Ave | 10 | 2-1-7 | 9:23 | 7 |
| 17 |  Casa Pia | 10 | 2-1-7 | 5:19 | 7 |
| 18 | Estoril | 10 | 0-2-8 | 5:19 | 2 |
Recent matches
Estoril
Home and away
Estoril vs Moreirense: our match analysis
Why this is our tip
- Table. Estoril: 18th, 2 points from 10 matches (0W 2D 8L). Moreirense: 9th, 14 points (4W 2D 4L).
- Attack and defence. Goals per game in this competition: Estoril 0.5 scored and 1.5 conceded, Moreirense 1.0 scored and 1.9 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Estoril: 0W 2D 6L, goals 4–12; Moreirense: 2W 2D 4L, goals 8–15.
- Head to head. Head to head over 19 meetings: Estoril 6 wins, Moreirense 6 wins, plus 7 draws; goals 26–25.
What to expect
We make Estoril the favourites. The projected scoreline is 2–1, close to 3 goals in the game, and the outcome we rate highest is 1–1 (11.7%). We see a fairly level contest.
The two signals clash: on table position the Moreirense look stronger, yet the bookmakers rate the home side a little higher. A game like that is hard to predict, so playing it safer with your bets makes sense.
On goals we like Both teams to score (odds 1.83), with a probability of 51% by our reckoning. By our numbers, both teams scoring is 51% and over 2.5 goals is 49%.
Main points of the prediction
- Meetings: 19; Estoril 6 wins, 7 draws, Moreirense 6 wins.
- Average goals in their meetings: 2.7 per match.
- This competition, scored–conceded: Estoril 4–12, Moreirense 8–15.
- Projected: close to 3 goals; probability of over 2.5 goals 49%.
- Not available: Estoril 0, Moreirense 0.
Alternative tip: Both teams score: yes
Other option: Both teams score: yes (probability 51%, odds up to 1.83). We project close to 3 goals, which points the same way.
Absences
Not available for Estoril: no absences. Not available for Moreirense: no absences. Line-ups can still change, so look at the team news again before kick-off.
Estoril vs Moreirense: the numbers side by side
Only this season's games feed into these numbers, so treat them with care: the sample is small.
Form in the competition
EstorilLLLLLMoreirenseWWLDWEstoril vs Moreirense: head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Estoril vs Moreirense: common questions
Which bet do we recommend for Estoril vs Moreirense?
On the result, our pick is Estoril to win (1.88); on goals, Both teams to score (1.83). Prefer less risk? Go for Estoril or draw (1X).
Who will win Estoril vs Moreirense?
As we see it: Estoril to win 52%, the draw 26%, Moreirense to win 22%.
What is the kick-off time and venue?
25 October 2026, 15:30, at Estádio António Coimbra da Mota, Estoril. Referee: C. Macedo.
Who will be missing?
Estoril: no absences. Moreirense: no absences. Absences can still change up to kick-off.
Will the game go over 2.5 goals?
We give over 2.5 goals a 49% chance (odds 2.01), against 51% for under 2.5 (odds 1.90).
Will both teams score?
By our numbers, both sides scoring is 51% (odds 1.83).
What correct score is most probable?
In order: 1–1 (11.7%), 1–0 (11.7%), 2–1 (9.6%).
Where do your predictions come from?
It all starts with bookmaker odds: we take prices from several firms, remove the margin, average them and convert the result into probabilities. A Poisson model then supplies the expected goals and the most probable scorelines. Form, previous meetings and absences are shown alongside as background. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win.
More predictions
18+ · Betting is never risk-free. We share our predictions to inform you, and they cannot promise that a bet will win. Gamble with care.